An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation

Air cargo plays a pivotal role in the global economy by facilitating international trade. Air cargo companies must meticulously plan and price their limited capacity efficiently to gain a competitive advantage and enhance their profitability. To mitigate the risk of empty aircraft, companies can sel...

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Main Authors: Dilhan İlgün Ayhan, S. Emre Alptekin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/10/5344
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author Dilhan İlgün Ayhan
S. Emre Alptekin
author_facet Dilhan İlgün Ayhan
S. Emre Alptekin
author_sort Dilhan İlgün Ayhan
collection DOAJ
description Air cargo plays a pivotal role in the global economy by facilitating international trade. Air cargo companies must meticulously plan and price their limited capacity efficiently to gain a competitive advantage and enhance their profitability. To mitigate the risk of empty aircraft, companies can sell capacity through prior agreements or offer capacity for free sales to generate additional revenue. The intricate nature of the air cargo industry, coupled with the numerous variables that influence pricing within this sector, renders the dynamic determination of prices a complex and arduous undertaking. This study aims to dynamically determine the price for the free sales capacity. The proposed model addresses three critical issues in air cargo revenue management: capacity allocation, demand forecasting, and dynamic pricing. An integrated structure has been developed in which these three distinct issues are interconnected. In this study, CVaR and ANN models are used for capacity allocation, regression, and time series, and ANN models are used for demand forecasting, while the SARSA algorithm, one of the reinforcement learning algorithms, is used for dynamic pricing. The model is implemented using data from a prominent air cargo company, and the results are interpreted, and recommendations are made for future research.
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spelling doaj-art-77a095e7ac9b4c6b8ccc39d2d6db92a42025-08-20T01:56:28ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-05-011510534410.3390/app15105344An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo TransportationDilhan İlgün Ayhan0S. Emre Alptekin1Department of Industrial Engineering, Galatasaray University, 34349 Beşiktaş, Istanbul, TurkeyDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Galatasaray University, 34349 Beşiktaş, Istanbul, TurkeyAir cargo plays a pivotal role in the global economy by facilitating international trade. Air cargo companies must meticulously plan and price their limited capacity efficiently to gain a competitive advantage and enhance their profitability. To mitigate the risk of empty aircraft, companies can sell capacity through prior agreements or offer capacity for free sales to generate additional revenue. The intricate nature of the air cargo industry, coupled with the numerous variables that influence pricing within this sector, renders the dynamic determination of prices a complex and arduous undertaking. This study aims to dynamically determine the price for the free sales capacity. The proposed model addresses three critical issues in air cargo revenue management: capacity allocation, demand forecasting, and dynamic pricing. An integrated structure has been developed in which these three distinct issues are interconnected. In this study, CVaR and ANN models are used for capacity allocation, regression, and time series, and ANN models are used for demand forecasting, while the SARSA algorithm, one of the reinforcement learning algorithms, is used for dynamic pricing. The model is implemented using data from a prominent air cargo company, and the results are interpreted, and recommendations are made for future research.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/10/5344dynamic pricingair cargocapacity allocationdemand forecastingSARSA algorithm
spellingShingle Dilhan İlgün Ayhan
S. Emre Alptekin
An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation
Applied Sciences
dynamic pricing
air cargo
capacity allocation
demand forecasting
SARSA algorithm
title An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation
title_full An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation
title_fullStr An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation
title_full_unstemmed An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation
title_short An Integrated Capacity Allocation and Dynamic Pricing Model Designed for Air Cargo Transportation
title_sort integrated capacity allocation and dynamic pricing model designed for air cargo transportation
topic dynamic pricing
air cargo
capacity allocation
demand forecasting
SARSA algorithm
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/10/5344
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