Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change

Abstract The interactions between soil carbon and nitrogen (C‐N) processes with environmental factors, particularly soil moisture, are critical to maintaining soil ecosystem functions. However, the lagged effects of future change in soil moisture on soil C‐N dynamics remain poorly understood. Here,...

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Main Authors: Wanyu Li, Gangsheng Wang, Zirui Mu, Shanshan Qi, Shuhao Zhou, Daifeng Xiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-03-01
Series:Earth's Future
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005521
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author Wanyu Li
Gangsheng Wang
Zirui Mu
Shanshan Qi
Shuhao Zhou
Daifeng Xiang
author_facet Wanyu Li
Gangsheng Wang
Zirui Mu
Shanshan Qi
Shuhao Zhou
Daifeng Xiang
author_sort Wanyu Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The interactions between soil carbon and nitrogen (C‐N) processes with environmental factors, particularly soil moisture, are critical to maintaining soil ecosystem functions. However, the lagged effects of future change in soil moisture on soil C‐N dynamics remain poorly understood. Here, we employed the Microbial‐ENzyme Decomposition model to simulate the long‐term impacts of future soil moisture variation on soil C‐N dynamics using the standardized soil moisture index (SSI) across four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Our results demonstrated that soil C‐N dynamics exhibited both lagged and cumulative responses to moisture fluctuations over extended periods. Active microbes were closely associated with short‐term (3‐month) change in soil moisture, whereas soil organic C (SOC) and total N (TN) exhibited stronger correlations over extended periods (72 months). Under the SSP5‐8.5 scenario, SOC and TN decreased in wet conditions but increased during droughts, with increases of 28.9% and 13.1%, respectively, under extreme drought conditions. We found that the active microbial biomass was significantly more sensitive to soil moisture variation than total microbial biomass, especially under extreme drought conditions. Furthermore, microbes and enzymes were key drivers of soil C‐N transformations, with soil enzymes displaying the highest correlation with SSI (nonlinear correlation coefficient based on mutual information = 0.81). This study establishes a foundational relationship between soil C‐N variables and soil moisture, accounting for lag effects, to enhance our understanding of the complex responses of these variables under future climate change scenarios.
format Article
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spelling doaj-art-76a6f392a04b421bacbc6c3780da12bd2025-08-20T02:16:40ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772025-03-01133n/an/a10.1029/2024EF005521Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture ChangeWanyu Li0Gangsheng Wang1Zirui Mu2Shanshan Qi3Shuhao Zhou4Daifeng Xiang5State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management Wuhan University Wuhan ChinaAbstract The interactions between soil carbon and nitrogen (C‐N) processes with environmental factors, particularly soil moisture, are critical to maintaining soil ecosystem functions. However, the lagged effects of future change in soil moisture on soil C‐N dynamics remain poorly understood. Here, we employed the Microbial‐ENzyme Decomposition model to simulate the long‐term impacts of future soil moisture variation on soil C‐N dynamics using the standardized soil moisture index (SSI) across four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Our results demonstrated that soil C‐N dynamics exhibited both lagged and cumulative responses to moisture fluctuations over extended periods. Active microbes were closely associated with short‐term (3‐month) change in soil moisture, whereas soil organic C (SOC) and total N (TN) exhibited stronger correlations over extended periods (72 months). Under the SSP5‐8.5 scenario, SOC and TN decreased in wet conditions but increased during droughts, with increases of 28.9% and 13.1%, respectively, under extreme drought conditions. We found that the active microbial biomass was significantly more sensitive to soil moisture variation than total microbial biomass, especially under extreme drought conditions. Furthermore, microbes and enzymes were key drivers of soil C‐N transformations, with soil enzymes displaying the highest correlation with SSI (nonlinear correlation coefficient based on mutual information = 0.81). This study establishes a foundational relationship between soil C‐N variables and soil moisture, accounting for lag effects, to enhance our understanding of the complex responses of these variables under future climate change scenarios.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005521soil carbon‐nitrogen‐water coupled processesmicrobial and enzymatic effectslag timefuture climate changeshared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)nonlinear correlation based on mutual information
spellingShingle Wanyu Li
Gangsheng Wang
Zirui Mu
Shanshan Qi
Shuhao Zhou
Daifeng Xiang
Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change
Earth's Future
soil carbon‐nitrogen‐water coupled processes
microbial and enzymatic effects
lag time
future climate change
shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
nonlinear correlation based on mutual information
title Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change
title_full Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change
title_fullStr Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change
title_full_unstemmed Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change
title_short Microbially‐Mediated Soil Carbon‐Nitrogen Dynamics in Response to Future Soil Moisture Change
title_sort microbially mediated soil carbon nitrogen dynamics in response to future soil moisture change
topic soil carbon‐nitrogen‐water coupled processes
microbial and enzymatic effects
lag time
future climate change
shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
nonlinear correlation based on mutual information
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005521
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AT shanshanqi microbiallymediatedsoilcarbonnitrogendynamicsinresponsetofuturesoilmoisturechange
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