Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions

Abstract Global patterns of intraspecific genetic diversity are key to understanding evolutionary and ecological processes. However, insights into the distribution and drivers of genetic diversity remain limited, particularly for marine species. Here, we explain and predict the genetic diversity of...

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Main Authors: Eliza Fragkopoulou, Ester A. Serrão, Olivier De Clerck, Jorge Assis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-05-01
Series:Communications Biology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-025-08023-w
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author Eliza Fragkopoulou
Ester A. Serrão
Olivier De Clerck
Jorge Assis
author_facet Eliza Fragkopoulou
Ester A. Serrão
Olivier De Clerck
Jorge Assis
author_sort Eliza Fragkopoulou
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Global patterns of intraspecific genetic diversity are key to understanding evolutionary and ecological processes. However, insights into the distribution and drivers of genetic diversity remain limited, particularly for marine species. Here, we explain and predict the genetic diversity of cold and temperate brown macroalgae using genetic data from 29 species and a machine-learning algorithm that incorporates contemporary and past climate conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum (~20,000 years ago) based on the niche centroid hypothesis. We apply this model to the distribution of 280 species and predict their global genetic diversity. Our results show reduced genetic diversity away from the niche centroid, identifying past climate conditions as key drivers of contemporary genetic diversity. Regions with high genetic diversity for multiple species emerge, matching biogeographic patterns of species richness. The mapped diversity hotspots establish timely baselines for brown macroalgae biogeography, evolutionary potential and conservation, contributing to the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.
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spelling doaj-art-76a583de87b540049957bb9d27d103da2025-08-20T03:09:20ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Biology2399-36422025-05-018111010.1038/s42003-025-08023-wGlobal intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditionsEliza Fragkopoulou0Ester A. Serrão1Olivier De Clerck2Jorge Assis3Centro de Ciências do Mar do Algarve (CCMAR/CIMAR LA), Campus de Gambelas, Universidade do AlgarveCentro de Ciências do Mar do Algarve (CCMAR/CIMAR LA), Campus de Gambelas, Universidade do AlgarvePhycology Research Group, Biology Department, Ghent UniversityCentro de Ciências do Mar do Algarve (CCMAR/CIMAR LA), Campus de Gambelas, Universidade do AlgarveAbstract Global patterns of intraspecific genetic diversity are key to understanding evolutionary and ecological processes. However, insights into the distribution and drivers of genetic diversity remain limited, particularly for marine species. Here, we explain and predict the genetic diversity of cold and temperate brown macroalgae using genetic data from 29 species and a machine-learning algorithm that incorporates contemporary and past climate conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum (~20,000 years ago) based on the niche centroid hypothesis. We apply this model to the distribution of 280 species and predict their global genetic diversity. Our results show reduced genetic diversity away from the niche centroid, identifying past climate conditions as key drivers of contemporary genetic diversity. Regions with high genetic diversity for multiple species emerge, matching biogeographic patterns of species richness. The mapped diversity hotspots establish timely baselines for brown macroalgae biogeography, evolutionary potential and conservation, contributing to the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-025-08023-w
spellingShingle Eliza Fragkopoulou
Ester A. Serrão
Olivier De Clerck
Jorge Assis
Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
Communications Biology
title Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
title_full Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
title_fullStr Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
title_full_unstemmed Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
title_short Global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
title_sort global intraspecific diversity of marine forests of brown macroalgae predicted by past climate conditions
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-025-08023-w
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