Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network

Modeling organizational dynamics of terrorist network is a critical issue in computational analysis of terrorism research. The first step for effective counterterrorism and strategic intervention is to investigate how the terrorists operate with the relational network and what affects the performanc...

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Main Authors: Bo Li, Duoyong Sun, Renqi Zhu, Ze Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/237809
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author Bo Li
Duoyong Sun
Renqi Zhu
Ze Li
author_facet Bo Li
Duoyong Sun
Renqi Zhu
Ze Li
author_sort Bo Li
collection DOAJ
description Modeling organizational dynamics of terrorist network is a critical issue in computational analysis of terrorism research. The first step for effective counterterrorism and strategic intervention is to investigate how the terrorists operate with the relational network and what affects the performance. In this paper, we investigate the organizational dynamics by employing a computational experimentation methodology. The hierarchical cellular network model and the organizational dynamics model are developed for modeling the hybrid relational structure and complex operational processes, respectively. To intuitively elucidate this method, the agent based modeling is used to simulate the terrorist network and test the performance in diverse scenarios. Based on the experimental results, we show how the changes of operational environments affect the development of terrorist organization in terms of its recovery and capacity to perform future tasks. The potential strategies are also discussed, which can be used to restrain the activities of terrorists.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2015-01-01
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-755d56f59a14433fb0782d9bc80cf0d72025-02-03T07:24:36ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2015-01-01201510.1155/2015/237809237809Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist NetworkBo Li0Duoyong Sun1Renqi Zhu2Ze Li3College of Information System and Management, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410072, ChinaCollege of Information System and Management, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410072, ChinaCollege of Information System and Management, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410072, ChinaCollege of Information System and Management, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410072, ChinaModeling organizational dynamics of terrorist network is a critical issue in computational analysis of terrorism research. The first step for effective counterterrorism and strategic intervention is to investigate how the terrorists operate with the relational network and what affects the performance. In this paper, we investigate the organizational dynamics by employing a computational experimentation methodology. The hierarchical cellular network model and the organizational dynamics model are developed for modeling the hybrid relational structure and complex operational processes, respectively. To intuitively elucidate this method, the agent based modeling is used to simulate the terrorist network and test the performance in diverse scenarios. Based on the experimental results, we show how the changes of operational environments affect the development of terrorist organization in terms of its recovery and capacity to perform future tasks. The potential strategies are also discussed, which can be used to restrain the activities of terrorists.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/237809
spellingShingle Bo Li
Duoyong Sun
Renqi Zhu
Ze Li
Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network
title_full Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network
title_fullStr Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network
title_full_unstemmed Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network
title_short Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network
title_sort agent based modeling on organizational dynamics of terrorist network
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/237809
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AT duoyongsun agentbasedmodelingonorganizationaldynamicsofterroristnetwork
AT renqizhu agentbasedmodelingonorganizationaldynamicsofterroristnetwork
AT zeli agentbasedmodelingonorganizationaldynamicsofterroristnetwork