INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA
The method of interval estimation of resource consumption volumes is considered with the random nature of a multitude of random factors. The necessity of taking into account errors in the values of functions and arguments when estimating the parameters of mathematical models is shown. To take into a...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Publishing House of the State University of Management
2018-12-01
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| Series: | Вестник университета |
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| Online Access: | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1227 |
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| author | Y. Gagarin S. Gagarina |
| author_facet | Y. Gagarin S. Gagarina |
| author_sort | Y. Gagarin |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The method of interval estimation of resource consumption volumes is considered with the random nature of a multitude of random factors. The necessity of taking into account errors in the values of functions and arguments when estimating the parameters of mathematical models is shown. To take into account the random nature of the initial information when estimating the parameters of the models, it is proposed to use methods of confluent analysis. A method has been developed that allows one to obtain point and interval estimates of model parameters, as well as interval estimates of functional dependencies with stochastic initial data. The developed method is used in predicting the volume of energy consumption at a housing and utilities complex enterprise. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-750b5f26d6714b41b4931b76512d6e4b |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1816-4277 2686-8415 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2018-12-01 |
| publisher | Publishing House of the State University of Management |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник университета |
| spelling | doaj-art-750b5f26d6714b41b4931b76512d6e4b2025-02-04T08:27:57ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152018-12-01012647010.26425/1816-4277-2018-12-64-701227INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATAY. Gagarin0S. Gagarina1Московский государственный технический университет имени Н. Э. БауманаКалужский государственный университет имени К. Э. ЦиолковскогоThe method of interval estimation of resource consumption volumes is considered with the random nature of a multitude of random factors. The necessity of taking into account errors in the values of functions and arguments when estimating the parameters of mathematical models is shown. To take into account the random nature of the initial information when estimating the parameters of the models, it is proposed to use methods of confluent analysis. A method has been developed that allows one to obtain point and interval estimates of model parameters, as well as interval estimates of functional dependencies with stochastic initial data. The developed method is used in predicting the volume of energy consumption at a housing and utilities complex enterprise.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1227interval estimationresource consumptionsource data uncertaintyforecastingconfluent analysis |
| spellingShingle | Y. Gagarin S. Gagarina INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA Вестник университета interval estimation resource consumption source data uncertainty forecasting confluent analysis |
| title | INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA |
| title_full | INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA |
| title_fullStr | INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA |
| title_full_unstemmed | INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA |
| title_short | INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF THE VOLUMES OF RESOURCE CONSUMPTION AT THE STOCHASTIC BASIC DATA |
| title_sort | interval estimation of the volumes of resource consumption at the stochastic basic data |
| topic | interval estimation resource consumption source data uncertainty forecasting confluent analysis |
| url | https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/1227 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ygagarin intervalestimationofthevolumesofresourceconsumptionatthestochasticbasicdata AT sgagarina intervalestimationofthevolumesofresourceconsumptionatthestochasticbasicdata |