Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States

The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on analyzing the failure of transmission lines, specifically considering the effects of wind, ambient temperature, and...

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Main Authors: Prakash KC, Maryam Naghibolhosseini, Mohsen Zayernouri
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Modelling
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3951/5/4/91
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author Prakash KC
Maryam Naghibolhosseini
Mohsen Zayernouri
author_facet Prakash KC
Maryam Naghibolhosseini
Mohsen Zayernouri
author_sort Prakash KC
collection DOAJ
description The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on analyzing the failure of transmission lines, specifically considering the effects of wind, ambient temperature, and current demands, incorporating minimal and significant pre-existing damage. We propose a multiphysics framework to analyze the transmission line failures across sensitive and affected states of the United States, integrating historical data on wind and ambient temperature. By combining numerical simulation with historical data analysis, our research assesses the impact of varying environmental conditions on the reliability of transmission lines. Our methodology begins with a deterministic approach to model temperature and damage evolution, using phase-field modeling for fatigue and damage coupled with electrical and thermal models. Later, we adopt the probability collocation method to investigate the stochastic behavior of the system, enhancing our understanding of uncertainties in model parameters, conducting sensitivity analysis to identify the most significant model parameters, and estimating the probability of failures over time. This approach allows for a comprehensive analysis of factors affecting transmission line reliability, contributing valuable insights into improving power line’s resilience against environmental conditions.
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spelling doaj-art-73b92ff35f074ce0bf9f11e05b18221e2025-08-20T02:43:39ZengMDPI AGModelling2673-39512024-11-01541745177210.3390/modelling5040091Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US StatesPrakash KC0Maryam Naghibolhosseini1Mohsen Zayernouri2Department of Mechanical Engineering, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USADepartment of Communicative Sciences and Disorders, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USADepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USAThe failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on analyzing the failure of transmission lines, specifically considering the effects of wind, ambient temperature, and current demands, incorporating minimal and significant pre-existing damage. We propose a multiphysics framework to analyze the transmission line failures across sensitive and affected states of the United States, integrating historical data on wind and ambient temperature. By combining numerical simulation with historical data analysis, our research assesses the impact of varying environmental conditions on the reliability of transmission lines. Our methodology begins with a deterministic approach to model temperature and damage evolution, using phase-field modeling for fatigue and damage coupled with electrical and thermal models. Later, we adopt the probability collocation method to investigate the stochastic behavior of the system, enhancing our understanding of uncertainties in model parameters, conducting sensitivity analysis to identify the most significant model parameters, and estimating the probability of failures over time. This approach allows for a comprehensive analysis of factors affecting transmission line reliability, contributing valuable insights into improving power line’s resilience against environmental conditions.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3951/5/4/91transmission linefinite element methodprobability collocation methoduncertainty quantificationsensitivity analysisprobability of failure
spellingShingle Prakash KC
Maryam Naghibolhosseini
Mohsen Zayernouri
Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
Modelling
transmission line
finite element method
probability collocation method
uncertainty quantification
sensitivity analysis
probability of failure
title Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
title_full Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
title_fullStr Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
title_full_unstemmed Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
title_short Multiphysics Modeling of Power Transmission Line Failures Across Four US States
title_sort multiphysics modeling of power transmission line failures across four us states
topic transmission line
finite element method
probability collocation method
uncertainty quantification
sensitivity analysis
probability of failure
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-3951/5/4/91
work_keys_str_mv AT prakashkc multiphysicsmodelingofpowertransmissionlinefailuresacrossfourusstates
AT maryamnaghibolhosseini multiphysicsmodelingofpowertransmissionlinefailuresacrossfourusstates
AT mohsenzayernouri multiphysicsmodelingofpowertransmissionlinefailuresacrossfourusstates