“Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy

In the 1980s, one of the fundamental topics of scientific debate was the discussion of the global consequences of nuclear war. At that time, the hypothesis of “nuclear winter” emerged, in which scientists attempted to analyse the theoretical possibility of a sharp cooling of the Earth after mass fir...

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Main Authors: A. S. Ginzburg, N. A. Samoylovskaya
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: MGIMO University Press 2024-03-01
Series:Международная аналитика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/523
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author A. S. Ginzburg
N. A. Samoylovskaya
author_facet A. S. Ginzburg
N. A. Samoylovskaya
author_sort A. S. Ginzburg
collection DOAJ
description In the 1980s, one of the fundamental topics of scientific debate was the discussion of the global consequences of nuclear war. At that time, the hypothesis of “nuclear winter” emerged, in which scientists attempted to analyse the theoretical possibility of a sharp cooling of the Earth after mass fires, and to find natural analogues of a potential climatic catastrophe. In the following decades, the “nuclear winter” hypothesis went through various stages of criticism and reassessment. In the early 2000s, studies of the problem became regional in nature, focusing mainly on the possible consequences of local nuclear conflicts. In this article, the authors analyse the stages of development of research on the “nuclear winter” hypothesis, focusing on the Russian and American approaches, and conclude that the body of work produced by American and Soviet scientists in 1983–1985 represents the first attempts by the scientific community to conceptualise the problem of responsible nuclear policy.
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series Международная аналитика
spelling doaj-art-738e276b9e144157928d932ffb01d04d2025-08-20T02:53:41ZrusMGIMO University PressМеждународная аналитика2587-84762541-96332024-03-0114414916010.46272/2587-8476-2023-14-4-149-160435“Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear PolicyA. S. Ginzburg0N. A. Samoylovskaya1A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Russian Academy of SciencesMGIMO UniversityIn the 1980s, one of the fundamental topics of scientific debate was the discussion of the global consequences of nuclear war. At that time, the hypothesis of “nuclear winter” emerged, in which scientists attempted to analyse the theoretical possibility of a sharp cooling of the Earth after mass fires, and to find natural analogues of a potential climatic catastrophe. In the following decades, the “nuclear winter” hypothesis went through various stages of criticism and reassessment. In the early 2000s, studies of the problem became regional in nature, focusing mainly on the possible consequences of local nuclear conflicts. In this article, the authors analyse the stages of development of research on the “nuclear winter” hypothesis, focusing on the Russian and American approaches, and conclude that the body of work produced by American and Soviet scientists in 1983–1985 represents the first attempts by the scientific community to conceptualise the problem of responsible nuclear policy.https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/523“nuclear winter” hypothesisnuclear thresholdclimate modellingnuclear weaponsresponsible nuclear policy
spellingShingle A. S. Ginzburg
N. A. Samoylovskaya
“Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy
Международная аналитика
“nuclear winter” hypothesis
nuclear threshold
climate modelling
nuclear weapons
responsible nuclear policy
title “Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy
title_full “Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy
title_fullStr “Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy
title_full_unstemmed “Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy
title_short “Nuclear Winter” Hypothesis Research and Responsibilities in Nuclear Policy
title_sort nuclear winter hypothesis research and responsibilities in nuclear policy
topic “nuclear winter” hypothesis
nuclear threshold
climate modelling
nuclear weapons
responsible nuclear policy
url https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/523
work_keys_str_mv AT asginzburg nuclearwinterhypothesisresearchandresponsibilitiesinnuclearpolicy
AT nasamoylovskaya nuclearwinterhypothesisresearchandresponsibilitiesinnuclearpolicy