Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks

These days, wind energy plays an increasingly crucial role in the energy sector, posing challenges in its management and operation. Given the current upgrade of Vietnam's 500 kV grid infrastructure, wind farms are concentrated in specific regions. This concentration can lead to significant pow...

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Main Authors: Thanh Hai Dinh, Trung Tinh Tran, Nguyen Duy Phuong Do
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Can Tho University Publisher 2025-03-01
Series:CTU Journal of Innovation and Sustainable Development
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ctujs.ctu.edu.vn/index.php/ctujs/article/view/1036
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author Thanh Hai Dinh
Trung Tinh Tran
Nguyen Duy Phuong Do
author_facet Thanh Hai Dinh
Trung Tinh Tran
Nguyen Duy Phuong Do
author_sort Thanh Hai Dinh
collection DOAJ
description These days, wind energy plays an increasingly crucial role in the energy sector, posing challenges in its management and operation. Given the current upgrade of Vietnam's 500 kV grid infrastructure, wind farms are concentrated in specific regions. This concentration can lead to significant power influxes into the grid at certain times, causing grid overcurrent. Hence, the National Load Dispatch Center is currently regulating power generation based on forecasted data from generating units. Therefore, short-term power forecasting for wind farms is crucial to mitigate grid overcurrent. This article proposes a short-term forecast of active power in wind farm using a model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) on Matlab platform. In the process of building the ANN model, this article considers eliminating the impact of capacity regulation on the power grid. The model was tested using real data from the Ia Pết Đăk Đoa 1 wind farm in Gia Lai province. The time forecast is given in 15-minute intervals for the next 4 hours. The collected results show the superiority of the method in forecasting with low errors and saving calculation time.
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publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Can Tho University Publisher
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series CTU Journal of Innovation and Sustainable Development
spelling doaj-art-7323df07424c459e90564bf84cee5ae42025-08-20T03:21:50ZengCan Tho University PublisherCTU Journal of Innovation and Sustainable Development2588-14182815-64122025-03-0117Special issue: ETMD10.22144/ctujoisd.2025.006Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networksThanh Hai Dinh0Trung Tinh TranNguyen Duy Phuong Doa:1:{s:5:"en_US";s:18:"Can Tho University";} These days, wind energy plays an increasingly crucial role in the energy sector, posing challenges in its management and operation. Given the current upgrade of Vietnam's 500 kV grid infrastructure, wind farms are concentrated in specific regions. This concentration can lead to significant power influxes into the grid at certain times, causing grid overcurrent. Hence, the National Load Dispatch Center is currently regulating power generation based on forecasted data from generating units. Therefore, short-term power forecasting for wind farms is crucial to mitigate grid overcurrent. This article proposes a short-term forecast of active power in wind farm using a model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) on Matlab platform. In the process of building the ANN model, this article considers eliminating the impact of capacity regulation on the power grid. The model was tested using real data from the Ia Pết Đăk Đoa 1 wind farm in Gia Lai province. The time forecast is given in 15-minute intervals for the next 4 hours. The collected results show the superiority of the method in forecasting with low errors and saving calculation time. https://ctujs.ctu.edu.vn/index.php/ctujs/article/view/1036Artificial neural networkrenewable wind energyshort-term forecastingwind power forecasting
spellingShingle Thanh Hai Dinh
Trung Tinh Tran
Nguyen Duy Phuong Do
Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
CTU Journal of Innovation and Sustainable Development
Artificial neural network
renewable wind energy
short-term forecasting
wind power forecasting
title Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
title_full Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
title_fullStr Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
title_short Short-term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
title_sort short term active power forecasting for wind farms using artificial neural networks
topic Artificial neural network
renewable wind energy
short-term forecasting
wind power forecasting
url https://ctujs.ctu.edu.vn/index.php/ctujs/article/view/1036
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AT trungtinhtran shorttermactivepowerforecastingforwindfarmsusingartificialneuralnetworks
AT nguyenduyphuongdo shorttermactivepowerforecastingforwindfarmsusingartificialneuralnetworks