The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach

The present study investigates the relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in Turkiye. First, the stationarity of the variables is examined using the fractional frequency Fourier Augmented Dickey–Fuller unit root test in the study, which covers the quarterly time series from 2...

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Main Author: Mustafa Orhan Özer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2022-06-01
Series:İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/2E2ACAB55F5A446492F5F08AD29A7833
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author Mustafa Orhan Özer
author_facet Mustafa Orhan Özer
author_sort Mustafa Orhan Özer
collection DOAJ
description The present study investigates the relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in Turkiye. First, the stationarity of the variables is examined using the fractional frequency Fourier Augmented Dickey–Fuller unit root test in the study, which covers the quarterly time series from 2005:Q1 to 2021:Q1. The unit root test reveals that the variables are I(1) for economic growth and I(0) for the unemployment rate. Afterward, the fractional frequency Fourier autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test was used to assess the existence of the long-run relationship between the variables. The findings of the Fourier bootstrap ARDL procedure reveal a unidirectional negative relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in both the long and short run. A unit increase in economic growth reduces unemployment rate by 1.48 and 0.09 units in the long and short run, respectively. Finally, the fractional frequency Fourier Toda–Yamamoto causality test is used, with the results supporting the Fourier ARDL test findings.
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spelling doaj-art-72f26be2d5c74b878f823e0b681ddfa32025-08-20T03:09:31ZengIstanbul University Pressİstanbul İktisat Dergisi2602-39542022-06-0172126929210.26650/ISTJECON2022-1020006123456The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test ApproachMustafa Orhan Özer0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3222-9913Anadolu Üniversitesi, Eskişehir, TürkiyeThe present study investigates the relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in Turkiye. First, the stationarity of the variables is examined using the fractional frequency Fourier Augmented Dickey–Fuller unit root test in the study, which covers the quarterly time series from 2005:Q1 to 2021:Q1. The unit root test reveals that the variables are I(1) for economic growth and I(0) for the unemployment rate. Afterward, the fractional frequency Fourier autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test was used to assess the existence of the long-run relationship between the variables. The findings of the Fourier bootstrap ARDL procedure reveal a unidirectional negative relationship between economic growth and the unemployment rate in both the long and short run. A unit increase in economic growth reduces unemployment rate by 1.48 and 0.09 units in the long and short run, respectively. Finally, the fractional frequency Fourier Toda–Yamamoto causality test is used, with the results supporting the Fourier ARDL test findings.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/2E2ACAB55F5A446492F5F08AD29A7833economic growthunemployment rateokun’s law
spellingShingle Mustafa Orhan Özer
The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach
İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
economic growth
unemployment rate
okun’s law
title The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_full The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_fullStr The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_full_unstemmed The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_short The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach
title_sort relationship between economic growth and unemployment rate fractional frequency fourier ardl bounds test approach
topic economic growth
unemployment rate
okun’s law
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/2E2ACAB55F5A446492F5F08AD29A7833
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