Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou
Considering the joint influence of upstream water,astronomical tides,and storm surges,this paper constructs a refined forecast model for storm surges in Guangzhou based on ADCIRC.Driven by the Jelesnianski typhoon model,this model takes the upstream water and the forecast of tide levels in the open...
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Editorial Office of Pearl River
2022-01-01
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Series: | Renmin Zhujiang |
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Online Access: | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.01.004 |
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author | LUO Zhifeng CHEN Gang DAO Fuhai |
author_facet | LUO Zhifeng CHEN Gang DAO Fuhai |
author_sort | LUO Zhifeng |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Considering the joint influence of upstream water,astronomical tides,and storm surges,this paper constructs a refined forecast model for storm surges in Guangzhou based on ADCIRC.Driven by the Jelesnianski typhoon model,this model takes the upstream water and the forecast of tide levels in the open sea as the upper and lower boundary input and uses the irregularly triangular grids to simulate the topographic change of coastlines.The astronomical tides of six representative tide stations in cities near the Pearl River Estuary are compared with the measured water levels of six tide stations in Guangzhou under the influence of Typhoon Mangkhut and Hato for verification.The results show that the refinement degree of this forecast model can reach the hundred-meter level,and the maximum mean absolute error of astronomical tide fitting is less than 13 cm.The water increasing process,maximum water level value, and occurrence time of storm surges of the two typhoons are well fitted.All of these indicate that the model can basically reflect the astronomical tides and the water increasing process of storm surges along the Pearl River Estuary,which can provide a reference for the warning and high-resolution prediction of storm surges in Guangzhou. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-72d124870b364abcaa5f1f2776990666 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1001-9235 |
language | zho |
publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
publisher | Editorial Office of Pearl River |
record_format | Article |
series | Renmin Zhujiang |
spelling | doaj-art-72d124870b364abcaa5f1f27769906662025-01-15T02:27:00ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352022-01-014347644490Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in GuangzhouLUO ZhifengCHEN GangDAO FuhaiConsidering the joint influence of upstream water,astronomical tides,and storm surges,this paper constructs a refined forecast model for storm surges in Guangzhou based on ADCIRC.Driven by the Jelesnianski typhoon model,this model takes the upstream water and the forecast of tide levels in the open sea as the upper and lower boundary input and uses the irregularly triangular grids to simulate the topographic change of coastlines.The astronomical tides of six representative tide stations in cities near the Pearl River Estuary are compared with the measured water levels of six tide stations in Guangzhou under the influence of Typhoon Mangkhut and Hato for verification.The results show that the refinement degree of this forecast model can reach the hundred-meter level,and the maximum mean absolute error of astronomical tide fitting is less than 13 cm.The water increasing process,maximum water level value, and occurrence time of storm surges of the two typhoons are well fitted.All of these indicate that the model can basically reflect the astronomical tides and the water increasing process of storm surges along the Pearl River Estuary,which can provide a reference for the warning and high-resolution prediction of storm surges in Guangzhou.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.01.004ADCIRCstorm surgerefinedGuangzhou |
spellingShingle | LUO Zhifeng CHEN Gang DAO Fuhai Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou Renmin Zhujiang ADCIRC storm surge refined Guangzhou |
title | Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou |
title_full | Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou |
title_fullStr | Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou |
title_full_unstemmed | Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou |
title_short | Construction and Verification of the Refined Forecast Model for Storm Surges Based on ADCIRC in Guangzhou |
title_sort | construction and verification of the refined forecast model for storm surges based on adcirc in guangzhou |
topic | ADCIRC storm surge refined Guangzhou |
url | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.01.004 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT luozhifeng constructionandverificationoftherefinedforecastmodelforstormsurgesbasedonadcircinguangzhou AT chengang constructionandverificationoftherefinedforecastmodelforstormsurgesbasedonadcircinguangzhou AT daofuhai constructionandverificationoftherefinedforecastmodelforstormsurgesbasedonadcircinguangzhou |