Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula

Abstract Agaves are an outstanding arid‐adapted group of species that provide a unique chance to study the influence of multiple potential factors (i.e., geological and ecological) on plant population structure and diversification in the heterogeneous environment of the Baja California Peninsula. Ho...

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Main Authors: Anastasia Klimova, Jesús Gutíerrez‐Rivera, Alfredo Ortega‐Rubio, Luis E. Eguiarte
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-07-01
Series:Ecology and Evolution
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70027
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author Anastasia Klimova
Jesús Gutíerrez‐Rivera
Alfredo Ortega‐Rubio
Luis E. Eguiarte
author_facet Anastasia Klimova
Jesús Gutíerrez‐Rivera
Alfredo Ortega‐Rubio
Luis E. Eguiarte
author_sort Anastasia Klimova
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Agaves are an outstanding arid‐adapted group of species that provide a unique chance to study the influence of multiple potential factors (i.e., geological and ecological) on plant population structure and diversification in the heterogeneous environment of the Baja California Peninsula. However, relatively little is known about the phylogeography of the endemic agave species of this region. Herein, we used over 10,000 single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and spatial data from the Agave aurea species complex (i.e., A. aurea ssp. aurea, A. aurea ssp. promontorii, and A. aurea var. capensis) to resolve genetic relationships within this complex and uncover fine‐scale population structure, diversity patterns, and their potential underlying drivers. Analyses resolved low genetic structure within this complex, suggesting that A. aurea is more likely to represent several closely related populations than separate species or varieties/subspecies. We found that geographical and historical ecological characteristics—including precipitation, latitude, and past climatic fluctuations—have played an important role in the spatial distribution of diversity and structure in A. aurea. Finally, species distribution modeling results suggested that climate change will become critical in the extinction risk of A. aurea, with the northernmost population being particularly vulnerable. The low population genetic structure found in A. aurea is consistent with agave's life history, and it is probably related to continuity of distribution, relatively low habitat fragmentation, and dispersion by pollinators. Together, these findings have important implications for management and conservation programs in agave, such as creating and evaluating protected areas and translocating and augmentation of particular populations.
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spelling doaj-art-72cc8ad0d6444100b80cc377e51d8a022025-08-20T03:31:42ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582024-07-01147n/an/a10.1002/ece3.70027Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California PeninsulaAnastasia Klimova0Jesús Gutíerrez‐Rivera1Alfredo Ortega‐Rubio2Luis E. Eguiarte3Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas del Noroeste S.C. La Paz MexicoCentro de Investigaciones Biológicas del Noroeste S.C. La Paz MexicoCentro de Investigaciones Biológicas del Noroeste S.C. La Paz MexicoDepartamento de Ecología Evolutiva Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Ciudad de México MexicoAbstract Agaves are an outstanding arid‐adapted group of species that provide a unique chance to study the influence of multiple potential factors (i.e., geological and ecological) on plant population structure and diversification in the heterogeneous environment of the Baja California Peninsula. However, relatively little is known about the phylogeography of the endemic agave species of this region. Herein, we used over 10,000 single‐nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and spatial data from the Agave aurea species complex (i.e., A. aurea ssp. aurea, A. aurea ssp. promontorii, and A. aurea var. capensis) to resolve genetic relationships within this complex and uncover fine‐scale population structure, diversity patterns, and their potential underlying drivers. Analyses resolved low genetic structure within this complex, suggesting that A. aurea is more likely to represent several closely related populations than separate species or varieties/subspecies. We found that geographical and historical ecological characteristics—including precipitation, latitude, and past climatic fluctuations—have played an important role in the spatial distribution of diversity and structure in A. aurea. Finally, species distribution modeling results suggested that climate change will become critical in the extinction risk of A. aurea, with the northernmost population being particularly vulnerable. The low population genetic structure found in A. aurea is consistent with agave's life history, and it is probably related to continuity of distribution, relatively low habitat fragmentation, and dispersion by pollinators. Together, these findings have important implications for management and conservation programs in agave, such as creating and evaluating protected areas and translocating and augmentation of particular populations.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70027AgavoideaeBaja California Peninsulaclimate changegenomic diversitypollinatorsSonoran Desert
spellingShingle Anastasia Klimova
Jesús Gutíerrez‐Rivera
Alfredo Ortega‐Rubio
Luis E. Eguiarte
Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula
Ecology and Evolution
Agavoideae
Baja California Peninsula
climate change
genomic diversity
pollinators
Sonoran Desert
title Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula
title_full Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula
title_fullStr Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula
title_full_unstemmed Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula
title_short Population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic Agave aurea (Asparagaceae) complex in the Baja California Peninsula
title_sort population genomics and distribution modeling revealed the history and suggested a possible future of the endemic agave aurea asparagaceae complex in the baja california peninsula
topic Agavoideae
Baja California Peninsula
climate change
genomic diversity
pollinators
Sonoran Desert
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70027
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