Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management

Accurately predicting industrial electricity consumption is essential for optimizing energy efficiency, and reducing costs in industrial operations. This study presents a novel hybrid prediction model based on radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) and kernelized support vector regression (KSV...

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Main Author: Mohsen Rezaei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Iranian Association for Energy Economics 2024-10-01
Series:Environmental Energy and Economic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.eeer.ir/article_208350_5b0e8da8ec760cdee7410496cb3bcfe4.pdf
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author Mohsen Rezaei
author_facet Mohsen Rezaei
author_sort Mohsen Rezaei
collection DOAJ
description Accurately predicting industrial electricity consumption is essential for optimizing energy efficiency, and reducing costs in industrial operations. This study presents a novel hybrid prediction model based on radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) and kernelized support vector regression (KSVR) methods (RBFNN-KSVR) for estimating industrial electricity consumption. Key input variables include population, electricity price in the industry sector, gross domestic product (GDP), and the number of electricity subscribers. The proposed hybrid model was implemented in a real-world case study to estimate industrial electricity consumption in Iran and compared against base methods (RBFNN, SVR, and KSVR). Extensive evaluation reveals the superior performance of the RBFNN-KSVR model in predicting industrial electricity consumption. This study provides a robust and reliable approach for industrial stakeholders to enhance energy planning, identify energy-saving opportunities, and ensure a stable power supply. The findings have significant implications for optimizing energy usage, improving efficiency, and reducing costs in industrial operations.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2538-4988
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language English
publishDate 2024-10-01
publisher Iranian Association for Energy Economics
record_format Article
series Environmental Energy and Economic Research
spelling doaj-art-72627f66bc7246e296e65e23e26a32ec2025-08-20T03:49:55ZengIranian Association for Energy EconomicsEnvironmental Energy and Economic Research2538-49882676-49972024-10-018410.22097/eeer.2024.463837.1331208350Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy ManagementMohsen Rezaei0Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Science and Technology of Mazandaran, Behshahr, IranAccurately predicting industrial electricity consumption is essential for optimizing energy efficiency, and reducing costs in industrial operations. This study presents a novel hybrid prediction model based on radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) and kernelized support vector regression (KSVR) methods (RBFNN-KSVR) for estimating industrial electricity consumption. Key input variables include population, electricity price in the industry sector, gross domestic product (GDP), and the number of electricity subscribers. The proposed hybrid model was implemented in a real-world case study to estimate industrial electricity consumption in Iran and compared against base methods (RBFNN, SVR, and KSVR). Extensive evaluation reveals the superior performance of the RBFNN-KSVR model in predicting industrial electricity consumption. This study provides a robust and reliable approach for industrial stakeholders to enhance energy planning, identify energy-saving opportunities, and ensure a stable power supply. The findings have significant implications for optimizing energy usage, improving efficiency, and reducing costs in industrial operations.https://www.eeer.ir/article_208350_5b0e8da8ec760cdee7410496cb3bcfe4.pdfelectricity consumptionhybrid prediction modelradial basis function neural networkkernelized support vector regressionrbfnn-ksvr
spellingShingle Mohsen Rezaei
Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management
Environmental Energy and Economic Research
electricity consumption
hybrid prediction model
radial basis function neural network
kernelized support vector regression
rbfnn-ksvr
title Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management
title_full Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management
title_fullStr Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management
title_short Forecasting Industrial Electricity Consumption in Iran: A Novel Hybrid Approach for Sustainable Energy Management
title_sort forecasting industrial electricity consumption in iran a novel hybrid approach for sustainable energy management
topic electricity consumption
hybrid prediction model
radial basis function neural network
kernelized support vector regression
rbfnn-ksvr
url https://www.eeer.ir/article_208350_5b0e8da8ec760cdee7410496cb3bcfe4.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mohsenrezaei forecastingindustrialelectricityconsumptioninirananovelhybridapproachforsustainableenergymanagement