How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?

How do author perceptions match up to the outcomes of the peer-review process and perceptions of others? In a top-tier computer science conference (NeurIPS 2021) with more than 23,000 submitting authors and 9,000 submitted papers, we surveyed the authors on three questions: (i) their predicted proba...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Charvi Rastogi, Ivan Stelmakh, Alina Beygelzimer, Yann N Dauphin, Percy Liang, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan, Zhenyu Xue, Hal Daumé Iii, Emma Pierson, Nihar B Shah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2024-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0300710
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850069989403394048
author Charvi Rastogi
Ivan Stelmakh
Alina Beygelzimer
Yann N Dauphin
Percy Liang
Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
Zhenyu Xue
Hal Daumé Iii
Emma Pierson
Nihar B Shah
author_facet Charvi Rastogi
Ivan Stelmakh
Alina Beygelzimer
Yann N Dauphin
Percy Liang
Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
Zhenyu Xue
Hal Daumé Iii
Emma Pierson
Nihar B Shah
author_sort Charvi Rastogi
collection DOAJ
description How do author perceptions match up to the outcomes of the peer-review process and perceptions of others? In a top-tier computer science conference (NeurIPS 2021) with more than 23,000 submitting authors and 9,000 submitted papers, we surveyed the authors on three questions: (i) their predicted probability of acceptance for each of their papers, (ii) their perceived ranking of their own papers based on scientific contribution, and (iii) the change in their perception about their own papers after seeing the reviews. The salient results are: (1) Authors had roughly a three-fold overestimate of the acceptance probability of their papers: The median prediction was 70% for an approximately 25% acceptance rate. (2) Female authors exhibited a marginally higher (statistically significant) miscalibration than male authors; predictions of authors invited to serve as meta-reviewers or reviewers were similarly calibrated, but better than authors who were not invited to review. (3) Authors' relative ranking of scientific contribution of two submissions they made generally agreed with their predicted acceptance probabilities (93% agreement), but there was a notable 7% responses where authors predicted a worse outcome for their better paper. (4) The author-provided rankings disagreed with the peer-review decisions about a third of the time; when co-authors ranked their jointly authored papers, co-authors disagreed at a similar rate-about a third of the time. (5) At least 30% of respondents of both accepted and rejected papers said that their perception of their own paper improved after the review process. The stakeholders in peer review should take these findings into account in setting their expectations from peer review.
format Article
id doaj-art-71cb7dcdf65a420d86a4fd1696eb9441
institution DOAJ
issn 1932-6203
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj-art-71cb7dcdf65a420d86a4fd1696eb94412025-08-20T02:47:38ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-01194e030071010.1371/journal.pone.0300710How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?Charvi RastogiIvan StelmakhAlina BeygelzimerYann N DauphinPercy LiangJennifer Wortman VaughanZhenyu XueHal Daumé IiiEmma PiersonNihar B ShahHow do author perceptions match up to the outcomes of the peer-review process and perceptions of others? In a top-tier computer science conference (NeurIPS 2021) with more than 23,000 submitting authors and 9,000 submitted papers, we surveyed the authors on three questions: (i) their predicted probability of acceptance for each of their papers, (ii) their perceived ranking of their own papers based on scientific contribution, and (iii) the change in their perception about their own papers after seeing the reviews. The salient results are: (1) Authors had roughly a three-fold overestimate of the acceptance probability of their papers: The median prediction was 70% for an approximately 25% acceptance rate. (2) Female authors exhibited a marginally higher (statistically significant) miscalibration than male authors; predictions of authors invited to serve as meta-reviewers or reviewers were similarly calibrated, but better than authors who were not invited to review. (3) Authors' relative ranking of scientific contribution of two submissions they made generally agreed with their predicted acceptance probabilities (93% agreement), but there was a notable 7% responses where authors predicted a worse outcome for their better paper. (4) The author-provided rankings disagreed with the peer-review decisions about a third of the time; when co-authors ranked their jointly authored papers, co-authors disagreed at a similar rate-about a third of the time. (5) At least 30% of respondents of both accepted and rejected papers said that their perception of their own paper improved after the review process. The stakeholders in peer review should take these findings into account in setting their expectations from peer review.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0300710
spellingShingle Charvi Rastogi
Ivan Stelmakh
Alina Beygelzimer
Yann N Dauphin
Percy Liang
Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
Zhenyu Xue
Hal Daumé Iii
Emma Pierson
Nihar B Shah
How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?
PLoS ONE
title How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?
title_full How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?
title_fullStr How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?
title_full_unstemmed How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?
title_short How do authors' perceptions of their papers compare with co-authors' perceptions and peer-review decisions?
title_sort how do authors perceptions of their papers compare with co authors perceptions and peer review decisions
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0300710
work_keys_str_mv AT charvirastogi howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT ivanstelmakh howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT alinabeygelzimer howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT yannndauphin howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT percyliang howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT jenniferwortmanvaughan howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT zhenyuxue howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT haldaumeiii howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT emmapierson howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions
AT niharbshah howdoauthorsperceptionsoftheirpaperscomparewithcoauthorsperceptionsandpeerreviewdecisions