The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry
The industrial sector accounts for almost one-third of global CO2 emissions, making it an important target for emissions mitigation measures, with electrification representing an important mitigation pathway with reliance on timely permitting procedures and ramping up of electricity grid expansion.I...
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| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-04-01
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| Series: | Energy Conversion and Management: X |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000947 |
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| author | Sebastian Karlsson Johanna Beiron Fredrik Normann Filip Johnsson |
| author_facet | Sebastian Karlsson Johanna Beiron Fredrik Normann Filip Johnsson |
| author_sort | Sebastian Karlsson |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The industrial sector accounts for almost one-third of global CO2 emissions, making it an important target for emissions mitigation measures, with electrification representing an important mitigation pathway with reliance on timely permitting procedures and ramping up of electricity grid expansion.In this work, we investigate the impacts of permitting times and grid construction capacity on the evolution of industrial electrification, using the Swedish basic industry as a case study. We develop and apply an optimization model, with the objective of minimizing the time required to electrify the steel, cement, refinery and chemical industrial processes. The model is applied to different scenarios, within the ranges of 1–9 years of permitting time and 100–700 MW/year of grid expansion capacity, while varying the level of project coordination between the industrial sites and grid infrastructure deployments. In the modeling, we assume that the required CO2-free power generation is installed alongside the grid expansion. In a scenario with 8-year permitting times and the ability to expand the grid to accommodate 4.5 % (150 MW) of the modeled industrial load per year, the transition to a fully electrified industry takes until Year 2058. For 2-year permitting times and the ability to expand the grid to connect 18 % (600 MW) of the modeled industrial load per year, the modeled sites could be electrified by Year 2037. In addition, the results show that for low levels of coordination, modeled such that industrial actors wait for infrastructure projects to be completed before they initiate their own pre-studies, there is an increase of almost 8 years in the average time taken for sites to be electrified compared to a modeled base scenario. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-71c2c58762e04fc2aa2693f5de74006e |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2590-1745 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-04-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
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| series | Energy Conversion and Management: X |
| spelling | doaj-art-71c2c58762e04fc2aa2693f5de74006e2025-08-20T02:31:57ZengElsevierEnergy Conversion and Management: X2590-17452025-04-012610096210.1016/j.ecmx.2025.100962The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industrySebastian Karlsson0Johanna Beiron1Fredrik Normann2Filip Johnsson3Corresponding author.; Division of Energy Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, SwedenDivision of Energy Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, SwedenDivision of Energy Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, SwedenDivision of Energy Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, SwedenThe industrial sector accounts for almost one-third of global CO2 emissions, making it an important target for emissions mitigation measures, with electrification representing an important mitigation pathway with reliance on timely permitting procedures and ramping up of electricity grid expansion.In this work, we investigate the impacts of permitting times and grid construction capacity on the evolution of industrial electrification, using the Swedish basic industry as a case study. We develop and apply an optimization model, with the objective of minimizing the time required to electrify the steel, cement, refinery and chemical industrial processes. The model is applied to different scenarios, within the ranges of 1–9 years of permitting time and 100–700 MW/year of grid expansion capacity, while varying the level of project coordination between the industrial sites and grid infrastructure deployments. In the modeling, we assume that the required CO2-free power generation is installed alongside the grid expansion. In a scenario with 8-year permitting times and the ability to expand the grid to accommodate 4.5 % (150 MW) of the modeled industrial load per year, the transition to a fully electrified industry takes until Year 2058. For 2-year permitting times and the ability to expand the grid to connect 18 % (600 MW) of the modeled industrial load per year, the modeled sites could be electrified by Year 2037. In addition, the results show that for low levels of coordination, modeled such that industrial actors wait for infrastructure projects to be completed before they initiate their own pre-studies, there is an increase of almost 8 years in the average time taken for sites to be electrified compared to a modeled base scenario.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000947ElectrificationGrid infrastructureEnvironmental permittingOptimizationModelingIndustry |
| spellingShingle | Sebastian Karlsson Johanna Beiron Fredrik Normann Filip Johnsson The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry Energy Conversion and Management: X Electrification Grid infrastructure Environmental permitting Optimization Modeling Industry |
| title | The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry |
| title_full | The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry |
| title_fullStr | The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry |
| title_full_unstemmed | The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry |
| title_short | The roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization – A case study of the electrification of Swedish industry |
| title_sort | roles of permitting times and grid expansion capacity in industrial decarbonization a case study of the electrification of swedish industry |
| topic | Electrification Grid infrastructure Environmental permitting Optimization Modeling Industry |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525000947 |
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