A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries

Lithium-ion battery is a core component of many systems such as satellite, spacecraft, and electric vehicles and its failure can lead to reduced capability, downtime, and even catastrophic breakdowns. Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries before the future failure event is...

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Main Authors: Wen-An Yang, Maohua Xiao, Wei Zhou, Yu Guo, Wenhe Liao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Shock and Vibration
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3838765
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author Wen-An Yang
Maohua Xiao
Wei Zhou
Yu Guo
Wenhe Liao
author_facet Wen-An Yang
Maohua Xiao
Wei Zhou
Yu Guo
Wenhe Liao
author_sort Wen-An Yang
collection DOAJ
description Lithium-ion battery is a core component of many systems such as satellite, spacecraft, and electric vehicles and its failure can lead to reduced capability, downtime, and even catastrophic breakdowns. Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries before the future failure event is extremely crucial for proactive maintenance/safety actions. This study proposes a hybrid prognostic approach that can predict the RUL of degraded lithium-ion batteries using physical laws and data-driven modeling simultaneously. In this hybrid prognostic approach, the relevant vectors obtained with the selective kernel ensemble-based relevance vector machine (RVM) learning algorithm are fitted to the physical degradation model, which is then extrapolated to failure threshold for estimating the RUL of the lithium-ion battery of interest. The experimental results indicated that the proposed hybrid prognostic approach can accurately predict the RUL of degraded lithium-ion batteries. Empirical comparisons show that the proposed hybrid prognostic approach using the selective kernel ensemble-based RVM learning algorithm performs better than the hybrid prognostic approaches using the popular learning algorithms of feedforward artificial neural networks (ANNs) like the conventional backpropagation (BP) algorithm and support vector machines (SVMs). In addition, an investigation is also conducted to identify the effects of RVM learning algorithm on the proposed hybrid prognostic approach.
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spelling doaj-art-6fedae5e85d14f63814125a5ca2a46e72025-02-03T06:13:44ZengWileyShock and Vibration1070-96221875-92032016-01-01201610.1155/2016/38387653838765A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion BatteriesWen-An Yang0Maohua Xiao1Wei Zhou2Yu Guo3Wenhe Liao4College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, ChinaCollege of Engineering, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210031, ChinaNanjing Surveying and Mapping Instrument Factory, Nanjing 210003, ChinaCollege of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, ChinaCollege of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, ChinaLithium-ion battery is a core component of many systems such as satellite, spacecraft, and electric vehicles and its failure can lead to reduced capability, downtime, and even catastrophic breakdowns. Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction of lithium-ion batteries before the future failure event is extremely crucial for proactive maintenance/safety actions. This study proposes a hybrid prognostic approach that can predict the RUL of degraded lithium-ion batteries using physical laws and data-driven modeling simultaneously. In this hybrid prognostic approach, the relevant vectors obtained with the selective kernel ensemble-based relevance vector machine (RVM) learning algorithm are fitted to the physical degradation model, which is then extrapolated to failure threshold for estimating the RUL of the lithium-ion battery of interest. The experimental results indicated that the proposed hybrid prognostic approach can accurately predict the RUL of degraded lithium-ion batteries. Empirical comparisons show that the proposed hybrid prognostic approach using the selective kernel ensemble-based RVM learning algorithm performs better than the hybrid prognostic approaches using the popular learning algorithms of feedforward artificial neural networks (ANNs) like the conventional backpropagation (BP) algorithm and support vector machines (SVMs). In addition, an investigation is also conducted to identify the effects of RVM learning algorithm on the proposed hybrid prognostic approach.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3838765
spellingShingle Wen-An Yang
Maohua Xiao
Wei Zhou
Yu Guo
Wenhe Liao
A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
Shock and Vibration
title A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
title_full A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
title_fullStr A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
title_short A Hybrid Prognostic Approach for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries
title_sort hybrid prognostic approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium ion batteries
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3838765
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