Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model

The mining of underground coal resources can trigger geological hazards such as subsidence basins, cave-in pits, and step cracks. In China, the probability integral method (PIM), the most popular method for predicting surface movement deformation caused by coal resource mining, has a prediction accu...

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Main Authors: Jinman Zhang, Liangji Xu, Jiewei Li, Yueguan Yan, Ruirui Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Geofluids
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1865004
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author Jinman Zhang
Liangji Xu
Jiewei Li
Yueguan Yan
Ruirui Xu
author_facet Jinman Zhang
Liangji Xu
Jiewei Li
Yueguan Yan
Ruirui Xu
author_sort Jinman Zhang
collection DOAJ
description The mining of underground coal resources can trigger geological hazards such as subsidence basins, cave-in pits, and step cracks. In China, the probability integral method (PIM), the most popular method for predicting surface movement deformation caused by coal resource mining, has a prediction accuracy that is mainly influenced by both the measurement data (i.e., quantity and quality) from ground movement observatories and the parameter inversion method. To obtain more accurate PIM parameters in the absence of observational data, we propose a combined machine learning model (RF-AGA-ENN)—random forest (RF) extracts the best combination of features as the input layer of Elman neural network (ENN); ant colony algorithm (ACO) and genetic algorithm (GA) are combined (called AGA) for the weights and thresholds of ENN optimization. The results of the study show that (1) the RF-AGA-ENN model is used to obtain PIM values with MAXRE values between 1.94% and 9.18%, AVERY values between 0.98% and 3.98%, and RMSE values between 0.0050 and 0.9632. (2) Compared with the PIM parameters obtained from BP neural network, RF-ENN, RF-ACO-ENN, and RF-GA-ENN models, the PIM parameters obtained from the RF-AGA-ENN model have better stability and accuracy. (3) According to the PIM parameters obtained by the RF-AGA-ENN model, the predicted and measured values of surface settlement at the 11111 working face have a high degree of agreement. In summary, the RF-AGA-ENN model to obtain the PIM parameters has good application value.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1468-8123
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publishDate 2022-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-6f0ace4e0415482bae3bab94d2d92f9e2025-02-03T06:13:33ZengWileyGeofluids1468-81232022-01-01202210.1155/2022/1865004Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN ModelJinman Zhang0Liangji Xu1Jiewei Li2Yueguan Yan3Ruirui Xu4College of Geoscience and Surveying EngineeringSchool of Spatial Information and Geomatics EngineeringGeological Exploration Bureau of Zhejiang ProvinceCollege of Geoscience and Surveying EngineeringAnhui Provincial Bureau of Coal GeologyThe mining of underground coal resources can trigger geological hazards such as subsidence basins, cave-in pits, and step cracks. In China, the probability integral method (PIM), the most popular method for predicting surface movement deformation caused by coal resource mining, has a prediction accuracy that is mainly influenced by both the measurement data (i.e., quantity and quality) from ground movement observatories and the parameter inversion method. To obtain more accurate PIM parameters in the absence of observational data, we propose a combined machine learning model (RF-AGA-ENN)—random forest (RF) extracts the best combination of features as the input layer of Elman neural network (ENN); ant colony algorithm (ACO) and genetic algorithm (GA) are combined (called AGA) for the weights and thresholds of ENN optimization. The results of the study show that (1) the RF-AGA-ENN model is used to obtain PIM values with MAXRE values between 1.94% and 9.18%, AVERY values between 0.98% and 3.98%, and RMSE values between 0.0050 and 0.9632. (2) Compared with the PIM parameters obtained from BP neural network, RF-ENN, RF-ACO-ENN, and RF-GA-ENN models, the PIM parameters obtained from the RF-AGA-ENN model have better stability and accuracy. (3) According to the PIM parameters obtained by the RF-AGA-ENN model, the predicted and measured values of surface settlement at the 11111 working face have a high degree of agreement. In summary, the RF-AGA-ENN model to obtain the PIM parameters has good application value.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1865004
spellingShingle Jinman Zhang
Liangji Xu
Jiewei Li
Yueguan Yan
Ruirui Xu
Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model
Geofluids
title Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model
title_full Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model
title_fullStr Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model
title_full_unstemmed Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model
title_short Parameter Acquisition Study of Mining-Induced Surface Subsidence Probability Integral Method Based on RF-AGA-ENN Model
title_sort parameter acquisition study of mining induced surface subsidence probability integral method based on rf aga enn model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1865004
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