Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050
Densely populated urban megacities, such as the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City, face the ongoing deterioration of air quality. Emissions from industrail factories and internal combustion vehicles are the main sources of pollutants. We have evaluated different transition trends from internal combus...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2025-01-01
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| Series: | World Electric Vehicle Journal |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2032-6653/16/1/33 |
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| author | Rodolfo Sosa Echeverría Graciela Velasco Herrera Pablo Sánchez Álvarez Elías Granados Hernández Gilberto Fuentes García Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera Rogelio González Oropeza William Vicente Rodríguez Jaime Gandarilla Ibarra Rodrigo Rivera Rivera |
| author_facet | Rodolfo Sosa Echeverría Graciela Velasco Herrera Pablo Sánchez Álvarez Elías Granados Hernández Gilberto Fuentes García Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera Rogelio González Oropeza William Vicente Rodríguez Jaime Gandarilla Ibarra Rodrigo Rivera Rivera |
| author_sort | Rodolfo Sosa Echeverría |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Densely populated urban megacities, such as the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City, face the ongoing deterioration of air quality. Emissions from industrail factories and internal combustion vehicles are the main sources of pollutants. We have evaluated different transition trends from internal combustion engine vehicles as bus, truck and van, and motorcycle to electric vehicles through 2050. The total vehicle growth follows a second-degree polynomial trend. Bus growth exhibits a linear trend. Truck and van growth display a second-degree polynomial trend. Motorcycle growth also follows a second-degree polynomial trend. We found that the most significant reductions in transportation emissions are observed in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>C</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, followed by <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>N</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>x</mi></msub></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, volatile organic compound (VOC), and particulate matter, with light and heavy vehicles being the primary contributors to total emissions. Mexico City serves as a pilot laboratory where both the challenges and potential solutions to an issue affecting millions of citizens can be observed. If proven effective and practical, these solutions could be applied to other megacities. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6e8155dd62bf4818bc3fc46cda5eebf7 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2032-6653 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | World Electric Vehicle Journal |
| spelling | doaj-art-6e8155dd62bf4818bc3fc46cda5eebf72025-01-24T13:52:50ZengMDPI AGWorld Electric Vehicle Journal2032-66532025-01-011613310.3390/wevj16010033Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050Rodolfo Sosa Echeverría0Graciela Velasco Herrera1Pablo Sánchez Álvarez2Elías Granados Hernández3Gilberto Fuentes García4Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera5Rogelio González Oropeza6William Vicente Rodríguez7Jaime Gandarilla Ibarra8Rodrigo Rivera Rivera9Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, Mexico City 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias Aplicadas y Tecnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico City 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, Mexico City 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, Mexico City 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, Mexico City 04510, MexicoInstituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico City 04510, MexicoFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico City 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ingeniería, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico City 04510, MexicoFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico City 04510, MexicoFacultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito Exterior, C.U., Coyoacán, CDMX, Mexico City 04510, MexicoDensely populated urban megacities, such as the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City, face the ongoing deterioration of air quality. Emissions from industrail factories and internal combustion vehicles are the main sources of pollutants. We have evaluated different transition trends from internal combustion engine vehicles as bus, truck and van, and motorcycle to electric vehicles through 2050. The total vehicle growth follows a second-degree polynomial trend. Bus growth exhibits a linear trend. Truck and van growth display a second-degree polynomial trend. Motorcycle growth also follows a second-degree polynomial trend. We found that the most significant reductions in transportation emissions are observed in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>C</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mn>2</mn></msub></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, followed by <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>N</mi><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>x</mi></msub></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, volatile organic compound (VOC), and particulate matter, with light and heavy vehicles being the primary contributors to total emissions. Mexico City serves as a pilot laboratory where both the challenges and potential solutions to an issue affecting millions of citizens can be observed. If proven effective and practical, these solutions could be applied to other megacities.https://www.mdpi.com/2032-6653/16/1/33atmospheric emission reductionsmobile sourceslow-emission technologieselectric vehicleselectric carsMetropolitan Area of Mexico City |
| spellingShingle | Rodolfo Sosa Echeverría Graciela Velasco Herrera Pablo Sánchez Álvarez Elías Granados Hernández Gilberto Fuentes García Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera Rogelio González Oropeza William Vicente Rodríguez Jaime Gandarilla Ibarra Rodrigo Rivera Rivera Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050 World Electric Vehicle Journal atmospheric emission reductions mobile sources low-emission technologies electric vehicles electric cars Metropolitan Area of Mexico City |
| title | Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050 |
| title_full | Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050 |
| title_fullStr | Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050 |
| title_short | Adoption of Electric Vehicles and Forecasting Air Emissions in the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City by 2050 |
| title_sort | adoption of electric vehicles and forecasting air emissions in the metropolitan area of mexico city by 2050 |
| topic | atmospheric emission reductions mobile sources low-emission technologies electric vehicles electric cars Metropolitan Area of Mexico City |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2032-6653/16/1/33 |
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