Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast

All projects take place within a context of uncertainty. That is especially noticeable in complex hydroelectric power generation projects, which are affected by factors such as the large number of multidisciplinary tasks to be performed in parallel, long execution times, or the risks inherent in var...

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Main Authors: P. Urgilés, J. Claver, M. A. Sebastián
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/3190830
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author P. Urgilés
J. Claver
M. A. Sebastián
author_facet P. Urgilés
J. Claver
M. A. Sebastián
author_sort P. Urgilés
collection DOAJ
description All projects take place within a context of uncertainty. That is especially noticeable in complex hydroelectric power generation projects, which are affected by factors such as the large number of multidisciplinary tasks to be performed in parallel, long execution times, or the risks inherent in various fields like geology, hydrology, and structural, electrical, and mechanical engineering, among others. Such factors often lead to cost overruns and delays in projects of this type. This paper analyzes the efficiency of the Earned Value Management technique and its Earned Schedule extension, as means of forecasting costs and deadlines when applied to complex hydroelectric power production projects. It is worth noting that this analysis was based on simulation models applied to real-life projects. The results showed that cost forecasting becomes very accurate over time, whereas duration forecasting is not reliably accurate.
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spelling doaj-art-6e670dde9d904ddcaaf025b98a597bb82025-08-20T02:06:28ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262019-01-01201910.1155/2019/31908303190830Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time ForecastP. Urgilés0J. Claver1M. A. Sebastián2Department of Construction and Manufacturing Engineering, National University of Distance Education (UNED), C/Juan del Rosal 12, 28040 Madrid, SpainDepartment of Construction and Manufacturing Engineering, National University of Distance Education (UNED), C/Juan del Rosal 12, 28040 Madrid, SpainDepartment of Construction and Manufacturing Engineering, National University of Distance Education (UNED), C/Juan del Rosal 12, 28040 Madrid, SpainAll projects take place within a context of uncertainty. That is especially noticeable in complex hydroelectric power generation projects, which are affected by factors such as the large number of multidisciplinary tasks to be performed in parallel, long execution times, or the risks inherent in various fields like geology, hydrology, and structural, electrical, and mechanical engineering, among others. Such factors often lead to cost overruns and delays in projects of this type. This paper analyzes the efficiency of the Earned Value Management technique and its Earned Schedule extension, as means of forecasting costs and deadlines when applied to complex hydroelectric power production projects. It is worth noting that this analysis was based on simulation models applied to real-life projects. The results showed that cost forecasting becomes very accurate over time, whereas duration forecasting is not reliably accurate.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/3190830
spellingShingle P. Urgilés
J. Claver
M. A. Sebastián
Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast
Complexity
title Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast
title_full Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast
title_fullStr Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast
title_short Analysis of the Earned Value Management and Earned Schedule Techniques in Complex Hydroelectric Power Production Projects: Cost and Time Forecast
title_sort analysis of the earned value management and earned schedule techniques in complex hydroelectric power production projects cost and time forecast
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/3190830
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