Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold

The study investigates the nonlinear relationship between financial development and economic growth, with a particular focus on the mediating role of FDI in low- and middle-income countries. Using annual panel data covering 81 countries from 1990 to 2019, the study applies a dynamic panel threshold...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Abdalla Sirag, Hamisu S. Ali, Zakaria Lacheheb, Osman S. Ahmed, Emad E. Omer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ital Publication 2025-03-01
Series:Journal of Human, Earth, and Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hefjournal.org/index.php/HEF/article/view/498
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849311954214060032
author Abdalla Sirag
Hamisu S. Ali
Zakaria Lacheheb
Osman S. Ahmed
Emad E. Omer
author_facet Abdalla Sirag
Hamisu S. Ali
Zakaria Lacheheb
Osman S. Ahmed
Emad E. Omer
author_sort Abdalla Sirag
collection DOAJ
description The study investigates the nonlinear relationship between financial development and economic growth, with a particular focus on the mediating role of FDI in low- and middle-income countries. Using annual panel data covering 81 countries from 1990 to 2019, the study applies a dynamic panel threshold regression model to identify the level of financial development at which its impact on economic growth changes. The analysis incorporates FDI as an additional conditioning variable to examine how its interaction with financial development influences the threshold dynamic. A significant threshold effect: below a certain level of financial development, the impact of FDI on growth is statistically insignificant, while above the threshold, FDI exerts a strong positive influence on economic growth. The findings imply that the growth-enhancing effect of financial development is not automatic and depends on reaching a critical level of financial maturity, as well as an enabling environment that leverages FDI inflows. The study contributes to the literature by offering empirical evidence of a nonlinear, FDI-conditioned finance-growth nexus, and it provides policy guidance for developing economies aiming to optimize the benefits of financial sector reforms.   Doi: 10.28991/HEF-2025-06-01-013 Full Text: PDF
format Article
id doaj-art-6e4551c9fd9245a594a0362caf0ca3ff
institution Kabale University
issn 2785-2997
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Ital Publication
record_format Article
series Journal of Human, Earth, and Future
spelling doaj-art-6e4551c9fd9245a594a0362caf0ca3ff2025-08-20T03:53:13ZengItal PublicationJournal of Human, Earth, and Future2785-29972025-03-016120321810.28991/HEF-2025-06-01-013188Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel ThresholdAbdalla Sirag0Hamisu S. Ali1Zakaria Lacheheb2Osman S. Ahmed3Emad E. Omer4College of Economics and Management, Al Qasimia University, Sharjah,Department of Economics, Faculty of Social and Management Science, Adamawa State University, Mubi,Kulliyyah of Economics and Management Sciences, International Islamic University Malaysia, Gombak,College of Arts, Sciences and Information Technology, University of Khorfakkan, Sharjah,College of Mass Communication, Ajman University,The study investigates the nonlinear relationship between financial development and economic growth, with a particular focus on the mediating role of FDI in low- and middle-income countries. Using annual panel data covering 81 countries from 1990 to 2019, the study applies a dynamic panel threshold regression model to identify the level of financial development at which its impact on economic growth changes. The analysis incorporates FDI as an additional conditioning variable to examine how its interaction with financial development influences the threshold dynamic. A significant threshold effect: below a certain level of financial development, the impact of FDI on growth is statistically insignificant, while above the threshold, FDI exerts a strong positive influence on economic growth. The findings imply that the growth-enhancing effect of financial development is not automatic and depends on reaching a critical level of financial maturity, as well as an enabling environment that leverages FDI inflows. The study contributes to the literature by offering empirical evidence of a nonlinear, FDI-conditioned finance-growth nexus, and it provides policy guidance for developing economies aiming to optimize the benefits of financial sector reforms.   Doi: 10.28991/HEF-2025-06-01-013 Full Text: PDFhttps://hefjournal.org/index.php/HEF/article/view/498financial developmentfdieconomic growthdynamic panel thresholdlow- and middle-income countries.
spellingShingle Abdalla Sirag
Hamisu S. Ali
Zakaria Lacheheb
Osman S. Ahmed
Emad E. Omer
Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold
Journal of Human, Earth, and Future
financial development
fdi
economic growth
dynamic panel threshold
low- and middle-income countries.
title Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold
title_full Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold
title_fullStr Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold
title_full_unstemmed Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold
title_short Financial Development, FDI, and Economic Growth in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Dynamic Panel Threshold
title_sort financial development fdi and economic growth in low and middle income countries a dynamic panel threshold
topic financial development
fdi
economic growth
dynamic panel threshold
low- and middle-income countries.
url https://hefjournal.org/index.php/HEF/article/view/498
work_keys_str_mv AT abdallasirag financialdevelopmentfdiandeconomicgrowthinlowandmiddleincomecountriesadynamicpanelthreshold
AT hamisusali financialdevelopmentfdiandeconomicgrowthinlowandmiddleincomecountriesadynamicpanelthreshold
AT zakarialacheheb financialdevelopmentfdiandeconomicgrowthinlowandmiddleincomecountriesadynamicpanelthreshold
AT osmansahmed financialdevelopmentfdiandeconomicgrowthinlowandmiddleincomecountriesadynamicpanelthreshold
AT emadeomer financialdevelopmentfdiandeconomicgrowthinlowandmiddleincomecountriesadynamicpanelthreshold