Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5

This study shows climate projections of air temperature and precipitation over South America (SA) from the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) nested in ECHAM5 and HadCM3 global models. The projections consider the A1B scenario from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and three ti...

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Main Authors: Michelle Simões Reboita, Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha, Cássia Gabriele Dias, Rita Yuri Ynoue
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/376738
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author Michelle Simões Reboita
Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha
Cássia Gabriele Dias
Rita Yuri Ynoue
author_facet Michelle Simões Reboita
Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha
Cássia Gabriele Dias
Rita Yuri Ynoue
author_sort Michelle Simões Reboita
collection DOAJ
description This study shows climate projections of air temperature and precipitation over South America (SA) from the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) nested in ECHAM5 and HadCM3 global models. The projections consider the A1B scenario from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and three time-slices: present (1960–1990), near- (2010–2040), and far-future (2070–2100) climates. In the future, RegCM3 projections indicate general warming throughout all SA and seasons, which is more pronounced in the far-future period. In this late period the RegCM3 projections indicate that the negative trend of precipitation over northern SA is also higher. In addition, a precipitation increase over southeastern SA is projected, mainly during summer and spring. The lifecycle of the South American monsoon (SAM) was also investigated in the present and future climates. In the near-future, the projections show a slight delay (one pentad) of the beginning of the rainy season, resulting in a small reduction of the SAM length. In the far-future, there is no agreement between projections related to the SAM features.
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institution Kabale University
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language English
publishDate 2014-01-01
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series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-6dca8e63bfad4ee786b75f16eea587a52025-02-03T01:03:10ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172014-01-01201410.1155/2014/376738376738Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5Michelle Simões Reboita0Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha1Cássia Gabriele Dias2Rita Yuri Ynoue3Federal University of Itajubá (UNIFEI) and Natural Resources Institute, Avenida BPS 1303, 37500-903 Itajubá, MG, Brazil Department of Atmospheric Sciences, São Paulo University, Rua do Matão 1226, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, BrazilFederal University of Itajubá (UNIFEI) and Natural Resources Institute, Avenida BPS 1303, 37500-903 Itajubá, MG, Brazil Department of Atmospheric Sciences, São Paulo University, Rua do Matão 1226, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, BrazilThis study shows climate projections of air temperature and precipitation over South America (SA) from the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) nested in ECHAM5 and HadCM3 global models. The projections consider the A1B scenario from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and three time-slices: present (1960–1990), near- (2010–2040), and far-future (2070–2100) climates. In the future, RegCM3 projections indicate general warming throughout all SA and seasons, which is more pronounced in the far-future period. In this late period the RegCM3 projections indicate that the negative trend of precipitation over northern SA is also higher. In addition, a precipitation increase over southeastern SA is projected, mainly during summer and spring. The lifecycle of the South American monsoon (SAM) was also investigated in the present and future climates. In the near-future, the projections show a slight delay (one pentad) of the beginning of the rainy season, resulting in a small reduction of the SAM length. In the far-future, there is no agreement between projections related to the SAM features.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/376738
spellingShingle Michelle Simões Reboita
Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha
Cássia Gabriele Dias
Rita Yuri Ynoue
Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
Advances in Meteorology
title Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
title_full Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
title_fullStr Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
title_full_unstemmed Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
title_short Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
title_sort climate projections for south america regcm3 driven by hadcm3 and echam5
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/376738
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AT rosmeriporfiriodarocha climateprojectionsforsouthamericaregcm3drivenbyhadcm3andecham5
AT cassiagabrieledias climateprojectionsforsouthamericaregcm3drivenbyhadcm3andecham5
AT ritayuriynoue climateprojectionsforsouthamericaregcm3drivenbyhadcm3andecham5