Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5
This study shows climate projections of air temperature and precipitation over South America (SA) from the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) nested in ECHAM5 and HadCM3 global models. The projections consider the A1B scenario from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and three ti...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Wiley
2014-01-01
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Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/376738 |
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author | Michelle Simões Reboita Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha Cássia Gabriele Dias Rita Yuri Ynoue |
author_facet | Michelle Simões Reboita Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha Cássia Gabriele Dias Rita Yuri Ynoue |
author_sort | Michelle Simões Reboita |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This study shows climate projections of air temperature and precipitation over South America (SA) from the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) nested in ECHAM5 and HadCM3 global models. The projections consider the A1B scenario from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and three time-slices: present (1960–1990), near- (2010–2040), and far-future (2070–2100) climates. In the future, RegCM3 projections indicate general warming throughout all SA and seasons, which is more pronounced in the far-future period. In this late period the RegCM3 projections indicate that the negative trend of precipitation over northern SA is also higher. In addition, a precipitation increase over southeastern SA is projected, mainly during summer and spring. The lifecycle of the South American monsoon (SAM) was also investigated in the present and future climates. In the near-future, the projections show a slight delay (one pentad) of the beginning of the rainy season, resulting in a small reduction of the SAM length. In the far-future, there is no agreement between projections related to the SAM features. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-6dca8e63bfad4ee786b75f16eea587a5 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2014-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Advances in Meteorology |
spelling | doaj-art-6dca8e63bfad4ee786b75f16eea587a52025-02-03T01:03:10ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172014-01-01201410.1155/2014/376738376738Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5Michelle Simões Reboita0Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha1Cássia Gabriele Dias2Rita Yuri Ynoue3Federal University of Itajubá (UNIFEI) and Natural Resources Institute, Avenida BPS 1303, 37500-903 Itajubá, MG, Brazil Department of Atmospheric Sciences, São Paulo University, Rua do Matão 1226, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, BrazilFederal University of Itajubá (UNIFEI) and Natural Resources Institute, Avenida BPS 1303, 37500-903 Itajubá, MG, Brazil Department of Atmospheric Sciences, São Paulo University, Rua do Matão 1226, 05508-090 São Paulo, SP, BrazilThis study shows climate projections of air temperature and precipitation over South America (SA) from the Regional Climate Model version 3 (RegCM3) nested in ECHAM5 and HadCM3 global models. The projections consider the A1B scenario from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and three time-slices: present (1960–1990), near- (2010–2040), and far-future (2070–2100) climates. In the future, RegCM3 projections indicate general warming throughout all SA and seasons, which is more pronounced in the far-future period. In this late period the RegCM3 projections indicate that the negative trend of precipitation over northern SA is also higher. In addition, a precipitation increase over southeastern SA is projected, mainly during summer and spring. The lifecycle of the South American monsoon (SAM) was also investigated in the present and future climates. In the near-future, the projections show a slight delay (one pentad) of the beginning of the rainy season, resulting in a small reduction of the SAM length. In the far-future, there is no agreement between projections related to the SAM features.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/376738 |
spellingShingle | Michelle Simões Reboita Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha Cássia Gabriele Dias Rita Yuri Ynoue Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5 Advances in Meteorology |
title | Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5 |
title_full | Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5 |
title_fullStr | Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5 |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5 |
title_short | Climate Projections for South America: RegCM3 Driven by HadCM3 and ECHAM5 |
title_sort | climate projections for south america regcm3 driven by hadcm3 and echam5 |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/376738 |
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