Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty
A novel study is presented aiming at characterizing and illustrating potential enhancements in flight planning predictability due to the effects of wind uncertainty. A robust optimal control methodology is employed to calculate robust flight plans. Wind uncertainty is retrieved out of Ensemble Proba...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2019-01-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Aerospace Engineering |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/6141452 |
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| _version_ | 1832555341562249216 |
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| author | Javier García-Heras Manuel Soler Daniel González-Arribas |
| author_facet | Javier García-Heras Manuel Soler Daniel González-Arribas |
| author_sort | Javier García-Heras |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A novel study is presented aiming at characterizing and illustrating potential enhancements in flight planning predictability due to the effects of wind uncertainty. A robust optimal control methodology is employed to calculate robust flight plans. Wind uncertainty is retrieved out of Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts. Different wind approximation functions are compared, typifying errors, and illustrating its importance for accurate solving of the robust optimal control problem. A set of key performance indicators is defined for the quantification of uncertainty in terms of flight time and fuel consumption. Two different case studies are presented and discussed. The first one is based on a representative sample of the whole 2016 year for a single origin-destination and a forecast time step of 6 hours. As for the second, we select the most uncertain day together with a multiorigin-destination set of flights with forecast time steps up to 2 days. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6dc8aeed8b3145048fa96a22599aab3b |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-5966 1687-5974 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2019-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Aerospace Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-6dc8aeed8b3145048fa96a22599aab3b2025-02-03T05:48:27ZengWileyInternational Journal of Aerospace Engineering1687-59661687-59742019-01-01201910.1155/2019/61414526141452Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind UncertaintyJavier García-Heras0Manuel Soler1Daniel González-Arribas2Bioengineering and Aerospace Engineering, Universidad Carlos III, Leganés, Madrid, SpainBioengineering and Aerospace Engineering, Universidad Carlos III, Leganés, Madrid, SpainBioengineering and Aerospace Engineering, Universidad Carlos III, Leganés, Madrid, SpainA novel study is presented aiming at characterizing and illustrating potential enhancements in flight planning predictability due to the effects of wind uncertainty. A robust optimal control methodology is employed to calculate robust flight plans. Wind uncertainty is retrieved out of Ensemble Probabilistic Forecasts. Different wind approximation functions are compared, typifying errors, and illustrating its importance for accurate solving of the robust optimal control problem. A set of key performance indicators is defined for the quantification of uncertainty in terms of flight time and fuel consumption. Two different case studies are presented and discussed. The first one is based on a representative sample of the whole 2016 year for a single origin-destination and a forecast time step of 6 hours. As for the second, we select the most uncertain day together with a multiorigin-destination set of flights with forecast time steps up to 2 days.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/6141452 |
| spellingShingle | Javier García-Heras Manuel Soler Daniel González-Arribas Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty International Journal of Aerospace Engineering |
| title | Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty |
| title_full | Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty |
| title_fullStr | Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty |
| title_full_unstemmed | Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty |
| title_short | Characterization and Enhancement of Flight Planning Predictability under Wind Uncertainty |
| title_sort | characterization and enhancement of flight planning predictability under wind uncertainty |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/6141452 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT javiergarciaheras characterizationandenhancementofflightplanningpredictabilityunderwinduncertainty AT manuelsoler characterizationandenhancementofflightplanningpredictabilityunderwinduncertainty AT danielgonzalezarribas characterizationandenhancementofflightplanningpredictabilityunderwinduncertainty |