Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4
The European Union (EU) has committed to an ambitious climate strategy applying the “Fit for 55” package aimed to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 55 % by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. However, the feasibility of these targets varies across Member States due to the differences in economic st...
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| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-09-01
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| Series: | Energy Strategy Reviews |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X25002068 |
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| author | Jacek Brożyna Jintao Lu Wadim Strielkowski |
| author_facet | Jacek Brożyna Jintao Lu Wadim Strielkowski |
| author_sort | Jacek Brożyna |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The European Union (EU) has committed to an ambitious climate strategy applying the “Fit for 55” package aimed to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 55 % by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. However, the feasibility of these targets varies across Member States due to the differences in economic structures, energy mixes, and policy frameworks. This study evaluates the prospects of achieving “Fit for 55” goals for the Visegrad Group (V4) countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia) compared to the four largest EU economies (LEU4) (Germany, France, Italy, and Spain).We employ time-series forecasting using the ARIMA model, supplemented by a comparative assessment of energy policies and past trends in GHG emissions, renewable energy shares, and energy consumption. The results indicate substantial disparities between the two groups. While some V4 countries are on track to meet specific targets, others face challenges related to their reliance on fossil fuels. Equally, despite more advanced renewable energy adoption, LEU4 economies encounter difficulties in scaling up their decarbonization efforts and achieving energy efficiency improvements.Our findings highlight the need for differentiated policy approaches, considering national energy transitions and external geopolitical factors. The study underscores the role of targeted EU support mechanisms, such as the Just Transition Mechanism and Horizon Europe, in addressing these challenges and facilitating the green transition. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6dc4b5d36fb442e7abc0542f4f94e6cc |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2211-467X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energy Strategy Reviews |
| spelling | doaj-art-6dc4b5d36fb442e7abc0542f4f94e6cc2025-08-23T04:48:19ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2025-09-016110184310.1016/j.esr.2025.101843Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4Jacek Brożyna0Jintao Lu1Wadim Strielkowski2Department of Quantitative Methods, The Faculty of Management, Rzeszow University of Technology, 35-959, Rzeszów, PolandDepartment of Business Administration, School of Economics and Management, Taiyuan University of Science and Technology, Taiyuan, 030024, PR ChinaDepartment of Trade and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, 165 00, Prague, Czech Republic; Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley, CA, 94720, Berkeley, United States; Corresponding author. Department of Trade and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences, Prague, 165 00, Prague, Czech Republic.The European Union (EU) has committed to an ambitious climate strategy applying the “Fit for 55” package aimed to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 55 % by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. However, the feasibility of these targets varies across Member States due to the differences in economic structures, energy mixes, and policy frameworks. This study evaluates the prospects of achieving “Fit for 55” goals for the Visegrad Group (V4) countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia) compared to the four largest EU economies (LEU4) (Germany, France, Italy, and Spain).We employ time-series forecasting using the ARIMA model, supplemented by a comparative assessment of energy policies and past trends in GHG emissions, renewable energy shares, and energy consumption. The results indicate substantial disparities between the two groups. While some V4 countries are on track to meet specific targets, others face challenges related to their reliance on fossil fuels. Equally, despite more advanced renewable energy adoption, LEU4 economies encounter difficulties in scaling up their decarbonization efforts and achieving energy efficiency improvements.Our findings highlight the need for differentiated policy approaches, considering national energy transitions and external geopolitical factors. The study underscores the role of targeted EU support mechanisms, such as the Just Transition Mechanism and Horizon Europe, in addressing these challenges and facilitating the green transition.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X25002068Climate policyEnergy transitionRenewable energyEUV4LEU4 |
| spellingShingle | Jacek Brożyna Jintao Lu Wadim Strielkowski Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4 Energy Strategy Reviews Climate policy Energy transition Renewable energy EU V4 LEU4 |
| title | Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4 |
| title_full | Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4 |
| title_fullStr | Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4 |
| title_short | Is European current climate regulation strategy feasible? A comparative analysis of “Fit for 55” green transition package for V4 and LEU4 |
| title_sort | is european current climate regulation strategy feasible a comparative analysis of fit for 55 green transition package for v4 and leu4 |
| topic | Climate policy Energy transition Renewable energy EU V4 LEU4 |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X25002068 |
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