Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points

Water security is facing multiple stressors in the emerging polycrisis of the Anthropocene, with a great acceleration challenging planetary boundaries and human livelihoods. In a framework of interactions the hydrological cycle is connected to the Earth’s ecological and social systems, becoming a po...

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Main Author: Jürgen Scheffran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2025.1567262/full
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author Jürgen Scheffran
author_facet Jürgen Scheffran
author_sort Jürgen Scheffran
collection DOAJ
description Water security is facing multiple stressors in the emerging polycrisis of the Anthropocene, with a great acceleration challenging planetary boundaries and human livelihoods. In a framework of interactions the hydrological cycle is connected to the Earth’s ecological and social systems, becoming a potential crisis multiplier through pathways in the water-food-energy nexus and the water-climate-conflict nexus. Water security balances protection of natural water resources and societal efforts to meet human needs, identify nexus tradeoffs and synergies, and facilitate transitions from negative to positive tipping points. Beyond simple narratives of water wars, various conflict types are considered, from water scarcity and abundance as conflict drivers to water as a weapon, target and casualty of conflict. To contain water-related tensions and strengthen cooperation in water distribution and control, investments and institutional mechanisms preserve the natural resource base, support technical and social innovations for efficient, sufficient, resilient, fair, peaceful and sustainable water use, and collaborate on integrated water sharing and trust building in environmental cooperation, conflict transformation and peacebuilding. Assessments and solutions are illustrated for local water systems and regional hot spots in Africa, Middle East, South, East and Central Asia.
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spelling doaj-art-6db7e32cf5334e878bbce79c2bbd62882025-08-20T03:46:15ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Water2624-93752025-06-01710.3389/frwa.2025.15672621567262Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping pointsJürgen ScheffranWater security is facing multiple stressors in the emerging polycrisis of the Anthropocene, with a great acceleration challenging planetary boundaries and human livelihoods. In a framework of interactions the hydrological cycle is connected to the Earth’s ecological and social systems, becoming a potential crisis multiplier through pathways in the water-food-energy nexus and the water-climate-conflict nexus. Water security balances protection of natural water resources and societal efforts to meet human needs, identify nexus tradeoffs and synergies, and facilitate transitions from negative to positive tipping points. Beyond simple narratives of water wars, various conflict types are considered, from water scarcity and abundance as conflict drivers to water as a weapon, target and casualty of conflict. To contain water-related tensions and strengthen cooperation in water distribution and control, investments and institutional mechanisms preserve the natural resource base, support technical and social innovations for efficient, sufficient, resilient, fair, peaceful and sustainable water use, and collaborate on integrated water sharing and trust building in environmental cooperation, conflict transformation and peacebuilding. Assessments and solutions are illustrated for local water systems and regional hot spots in Africa, Middle East, South, East and Central Asia.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2025.1567262/fullwater-climate-conflict nexuswater-energy-food nexustipping pointspolycrisiswater cooperation and environmental peacebuildingwater security
spellingShingle Jürgen Scheffran
Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points
Frontiers in Water
water-climate-conflict nexus
water-energy-food nexus
tipping points
polycrisis
water cooperation and environmental peacebuilding
water security
title Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points
title_full Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points
title_fullStr Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points
title_full_unstemmed Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points
title_short Water security in the polycrisis: between negative and positive tipping points
title_sort water security in the polycrisis between negative and positive tipping points
topic water-climate-conflict nexus
water-energy-food nexus
tipping points
polycrisis
water cooperation and environmental peacebuilding
water security
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2025.1567262/full
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