How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe

 Purpose – This study examines how GDP growth, interest rates, and unemployment rates influence residential real estate prices in politically and economically stable Eastern Euro- pean countries, aiming to identify key drivers of property value changes in the region. Research methodology – The s...

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Main Authors: Laima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė, Dominykas Linkevičius, Daiva Andriušaitienė
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2025-02-01
Series:Business, Management and Economics Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://btp.vilniustech.lt/index.php/BMEE/article/view/22663
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author Laima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė
Dominykas Linkevičius
Daiva Andriušaitienė
author_facet Laima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė
Dominykas Linkevičius
Daiva Andriušaitienė
author_sort Laima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė
collection DOAJ
description  Purpose – This study examines how GDP growth, interest rates, and unemployment rates influence residential real estate prices in politically and economically stable Eastern Euro- pean countries, aiming to identify key drivers of property value changes in the region. Research methodology – The study uses multiple linear regression and Pearson correlation (r) to assess the relationship between variables and housing prices, with ARIMA (3,1,0) applied for short-term price forecasts based on cyclical time series trends. Findings – The findings show a strong correlation between macroeconomic indicators and residential real estate prices, with the key influencing factor varying by country, reflecting diverse market sensitivities and regional economic contexts. Research limitations – The research is limited to Eastern European countries with stable political and economic conditions, excluding those facing instability. Future studies could expand the analysis to include such regions to provide a more comprehensive view. Practical implications – The results provide valuable guidance for policymakers and investors in crafting strategies tailored to specific macroeconomic conditions, enhancing market predictions and stability. Originality/Value – By focusing on the underexplored residential real estate market in Eastern Europe, this study contributes novel insights into regional housing price determinants and offers a foundation for further research on macroeconomic impacts in real estate markets.
format Article
id doaj-art-6d9161a359554ddaad280e3e17b852ce
institution Kabale University
issn 2669-2481
2669-249X
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
record_format Article
series Business, Management and Economics Engineering
spelling doaj-art-6d9161a359554ddaad280e3e17b852ce2025-02-11T16:30:31ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityBusiness, Management and Economics Engineering2669-24812669-249X2025-02-0123110.3846/bmee.2025.22663How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern EuropeLaima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė0Dominykas Linkevičius1Daiva Andriušaitienė2Department of Business and Management, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius, Lithuania Department of Business and Management, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius, Lithuania Department of Business and Management, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius, Lithuania  Purpose – This study examines how GDP growth, interest rates, and unemployment rates influence residential real estate prices in politically and economically stable Eastern Euro- pean countries, aiming to identify key drivers of property value changes in the region. Research methodology – The study uses multiple linear regression and Pearson correlation (r) to assess the relationship between variables and housing prices, with ARIMA (3,1,0) applied for short-term price forecasts based on cyclical time series trends. Findings – The findings show a strong correlation between macroeconomic indicators and residential real estate prices, with the key influencing factor varying by country, reflecting diverse market sensitivities and regional economic contexts. Research limitations – The research is limited to Eastern European countries with stable political and economic conditions, excluding those facing instability. Future studies could expand the analysis to include such regions to provide a more comprehensive view. Practical implications – The results provide valuable guidance for policymakers and investors in crafting strategies tailored to specific macroeconomic conditions, enhancing market predictions and stability. Originality/Value – By focusing on the underexplored residential real estate market in Eastern Europe, this study contributes novel insights into regional housing price determinants and offers a foundation for further research on macroeconomic impacts in real estate markets. https://btp.vilniustech.lt/index.php/BMEE/article/view/22663real estatemacroeconomicpricesinterest ratesunemployment rateGDP growth
spellingShingle Laima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė
Dominykas Linkevičius
Daiva Andriušaitienė
How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe
Business, Management and Economics Engineering
real estate
macroeconomic
prices
interest rates
unemployment rate
GDP growth
title How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe
title_full How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe
title_fullStr How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe
title_full_unstemmed How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe
title_short How macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in Eastern Europe
title_sort how macroeconomic factors impact residential real estate prices in eastern europe
topic real estate
macroeconomic
prices
interest rates
unemployment rate
GDP growth
url https://btp.vilniustech.lt/index.php/BMEE/article/view/22663
work_keys_str_mv AT laimaokuneviciuteneverauskiene howmacroeconomicfactorsimpactresidentialrealestatepricesineasterneurope
AT dominykaslinkevicius howmacroeconomicfactorsimpactresidentialrealestatepricesineasterneurope
AT daivaandriusaitiene howmacroeconomicfactorsimpactresidentialrealestatepricesineasterneurope