Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study

Objective: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) remains a significant challenge in emergency services worldwide. This study investigated the relationship between hematocrit (Htc), hemoglobin (Hb), amylase, lactate, and interleukin 6 (IL-6) levels and hospitalization and mortality in patients diagnose...

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Main Authors: Tamer Durdu, Habibe Selmin Özensoy, Hakan Oğuztürk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Türkiye Acil Tıp Vakfı 2024-12-01
Series:Global Emergency and Critical Care
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Online Access:https://globemcc.com/articles/effect-of-biomarkers-on-predicting-mortality-in-covid-19-pneumonias-a-retrospective-clinical-study/doi/globecc.galenos.2024.28190
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author Tamer Durdu
Habibe Selmin Özensoy
Hakan Oğuztürk
author_facet Tamer Durdu
Habibe Selmin Özensoy
Hakan Oğuztürk
author_sort Tamer Durdu
collection DOAJ
description Objective: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) remains a significant challenge in emergency services worldwide. This study investigated the relationship between hematocrit (Htc), hemoglobin (Hb), amylase, lactate, and interleukin 6 (IL-6) levels and hospitalization and mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19. Materials and Methods: Htc, Hb, amylase, lipase, lactate, and Interleukin 6 (IL-6) levels of patients with a positive COVID-19 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test (Bio-speedy® Severe acute respiratory syndrome-Coronavirus-2 Triple Gene Reverse transcription quantitative PCR, Türkiye) who presented to the emergency department were analyzed. Hospitalizations and short-term (28 days) mortality were retrospectively examined. The data were analyzed using SPSS for Windows 20.0. Normality analysis of continuous data was conducted using the Shapiro-Wilk test. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze predictors of mortality and discharge. Results: Data from 6,627 emergency department patients were examined. The gender (p<0.001), age (p<0.001), Hb (p<0.001), lactate (p<0.001), and lipase (p<0.001) levels of the hospitalized patients. Increasing age was associated with mortality (p<0.001). In the analysis of biomarkers, a decrease in Hb and Htc (p<0.001; p=0.038) and an increase in lactate, lipase, amylase, and IL-6 (p<0.001; p<0.001; p=0.022; p<0.001) were determined to be associated with mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the mortality model was calculated as 0.724, with specificity and sensitivity determined as 91.8% and 97.5%, respectively. Conclusion: Age, amylase, lipase, serum lactate, and interleukin-6 levels, when calculated together, are important predictors of both mortality and hospitalization in COVID-19 pneumonia.
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spelling doaj-art-6c0c4e439705482eb6df07b8cd3233ad2025-08-20T02:40:02ZengTürkiye Acil Tıp VakfıGlobal Emergency and Critical Care2822-40782024-12-013312112610.4274/globecc.galenos.2024.28190Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical StudyTamer Durdu0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4321-1698Habibe Selmin Özensoy1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9261-2669Hakan Oğuztürk2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9800-1428University of Health Sciences Türkiye Ankara City Hospital, Clinic of Emergency Medicine, Ankara, TürkiyeUniversity of Health Sciences Türkiye Ankara City Hospital, Clinic of Emergency Medicine, Ankara, TürkiyeUniversity of Health Sciences Türkiye Ankara City Hospital, Clinic of Emergency Medicine, Ankara, TürkiyeObjective: Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) remains a significant challenge in emergency services worldwide. This study investigated the relationship between hematocrit (Htc), hemoglobin (Hb), amylase, lactate, and interleukin 6 (IL-6) levels and hospitalization and mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19. Materials and Methods: Htc, Hb, amylase, lipase, lactate, and Interleukin 6 (IL-6) levels of patients with a positive COVID-19 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test (Bio-speedy® Severe acute respiratory syndrome-Coronavirus-2 Triple Gene Reverse transcription quantitative PCR, Türkiye) who presented to the emergency department were analyzed. Hospitalizations and short-term (28 days) mortality were retrospectively examined. The data were analyzed using SPSS for Windows 20.0. Normality analysis of continuous data was conducted using the Shapiro-Wilk test. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze predictors of mortality and discharge. Results: Data from 6,627 emergency department patients were examined. The gender (p<0.001), age (p<0.001), Hb (p<0.001), lactate (p<0.001), and lipase (p<0.001) levels of the hospitalized patients. Increasing age was associated with mortality (p<0.001). In the analysis of biomarkers, a decrease in Hb and Htc (p<0.001; p=0.038) and an increase in lactate, lipase, amylase, and IL-6 (p<0.001; p<0.001; p=0.022; p<0.001) were determined to be associated with mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the mortality model was calculated as 0.724, with specificity and sensitivity determined as 91.8% and 97.5%, respectively. Conclusion: Age, amylase, lipase, serum lactate, and interleukin-6 levels, when calculated together, are important predictors of both mortality and hospitalization in COVID-19 pneumonia.https://globemcc.com/articles/effect-of-biomarkers-on-predicting-mortality-in-covid-19-pneumonias-a-retrospective-clinical-study/doi/globecc.galenos.2024.28190biomarkerscovid-19emergency departmentpneumonia
spellingShingle Tamer Durdu
Habibe Selmin Özensoy
Hakan Oğuztürk
Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study
Global Emergency and Critical Care
biomarkers
covid-19
emergency department
pneumonia
title Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study
title_full Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study
title_fullStr Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study
title_full_unstemmed Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study
title_short Effect of Biomarkers on Predicting Mortality in COVID-19 Pneumonias: A Retrospective Clinical Study
title_sort effect of biomarkers on predicting mortality in covid 19 pneumonias a retrospective clinical study
topic biomarkers
covid-19
emergency department
pneumonia
url https://globemcc.com/articles/effect-of-biomarkers-on-predicting-mortality-in-covid-19-pneumonias-a-retrospective-clinical-study/doi/globecc.galenos.2024.28190
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AT hakanoguzturk effectofbiomarkersonpredictingmortalityincovid19pneumoniasaretrospectiveclinicalstudy