COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death
Background COVID-19 has caused a global public health crisis affecting most countries, including Ethiopia, in various ways. This study maps the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia.Methods Thirty-eight potential indicators of vulnerability to CO...
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BMJ Publishing Group
2021-02-01
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| Series: | BMJ Open |
| Online Access: | https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/2/e044606.full |
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| author | Hailay Gesesew Kefyalew Addis Alene Akilew Awoke Adane Berihun Assefa Dachew Asnakew Achaw Ayele Henok Getachew Tegegn Yohannes Kinfu Yohannes Adama Melaku Mulugeta Molla Birhanu Hassen Mohammed Yalemzewod Assefa Gelaw Dagnachew Muluye Fetene Digsu N. Koye Muluken Dessalegn Muluneh Solomon Abrha Atsede Aregay Woldesellassie M Bezabhe Kidane Tadesse Gebremariam Tesfaye Gebremedhin Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin Lemlem Gebremichael Ayele Bali Geleto Habtamu Tilahun Kassahun Getiye Dejenu Kibret Cheru Tesema Leshargie Alemayehu Mekonnen Alemnesh H. Mirkuzie Azeb Gebresilassie Tesema Fisaha Haile Tesfay Befikadu Legesse Wubishet |
| author_facet | Hailay Gesesew Kefyalew Addis Alene Akilew Awoke Adane Berihun Assefa Dachew Asnakew Achaw Ayele Henok Getachew Tegegn Yohannes Kinfu Yohannes Adama Melaku Mulugeta Molla Birhanu Hassen Mohammed Yalemzewod Assefa Gelaw Dagnachew Muluye Fetene Digsu N. Koye Muluken Dessalegn Muluneh Solomon Abrha Atsede Aregay Woldesellassie M Bezabhe Kidane Tadesse Gebremariam Tesfaye Gebremedhin Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin Lemlem Gebremichael Ayele Bali Geleto Habtamu Tilahun Kassahun Getiye Dejenu Kibret Cheru Tesema Leshargie Alemayehu Mekonnen Alemnesh H. Mirkuzie Azeb Gebresilassie Tesema Fisaha Haile Tesfay Befikadu Legesse Wubishet |
| author_sort | Hailay Gesesew |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background COVID-19 has caused a global public health crisis affecting most countries, including Ethiopia, in various ways. This study maps the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia.Methods Thirty-eight potential indicators of vulnerability to COVID-19 infection, case severity and likelihood of death, identified based on a literature review and the availability of nationally representative data at a low geographic scale, were assembled from multiple sources for geospatial analysis. Geospatial analysis techniques were applied to produce maps showing the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death in Ethiopia at a spatial resolution of 1 km×1 km.Results This study showed that vulnerability to COVID-19 infection is likely to be high across most parts of Ethiopia, particularly in the Somali, Afar, Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions. The number of severe cases of COVID-19 infection requiring hospitalisation and intensive care unit admission is likely to be high across Amhara, most parts of Oromia and some parts of the Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples’ Region. The risk of COVID-19-related death is high in the country’s border regions, where public health preparedness for responding to COVID-19 is limited.Conclusion This study revealed geographical differences in vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia. The study offers maps that can guide the targeted interventions necessary to contain the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6bd50b7aa2324f6e882658f2b9d75885 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2044-6055 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-02-01 |
| publisher | BMJ Publishing Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BMJ Open |
| spelling | doaj-art-6bd50b7aa2324f6e882658f2b9d758852024-11-19T04:30:10ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552021-02-0111210.1136/bmjopen-2020-044606COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and deathHailay Gesesew0Kefyalew Addis Alene1Akilew Awoke Adane2Berihun Assefa Dachew3Asnakew Achaw Ayele4Henok Getachew Tegegn5Yohannes Kinfu6Yohannes Adama Melaku7Mulugeta Molla Birhanu8Hassen Mohammed9Yalemzewod Assefa Gelaw10Dagnachew Muluye Fetene11Digsu N. Koye12Muluken Dessalegn Muluneh13Solomon Abrha14Atsede Aregay15Woldesellassie M Bezabhe16Kidane Tadesse Gebremariam17Tesfaye Gebremedhin18Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin19Lemlem Gebremichael20Ayele Bali Geleto21Habtamu Tilahun Kassahun22Getiye Dejenu Kibret23Cheru Tesema Leshargie24Alemayehu Mekonnen25Alemnesh H. Mirkuzie26Azeb Gebresilassie Tesema27Fisaha Haile Tesfay28Befikadu Legesse Wubishet29Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, AustraliaGeospatial and Tuberculosis Research Team, Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, Western Australia, Australia1 Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, EthiopiaSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, AustraliaDepartment of clinical pharmacy, School of Pharmacy, College of Medicineand Health Science, University of Gondar, Gondar, EthiopiaDepartment of clinical pharmacy, School of Pharmacy, College of Medicineand Health Science, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia3 University of Canberra, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia1 Adelaide Institute for Sleep Health, College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, AustraliaDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Sciences at Monash Health, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia37 Vaccinology and Immunology Research Trials Unit, Women’s and Children’s Health Network, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia5 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Public Health, University of Gondar, Gondar, EthiopiaBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, AustraliaDepartment of Medicine at Royal Melbourne Hospital and Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaWestern Sydney University, Penrith South, New South Wales, AustraliaFaculty of Health, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, AustraliaMonash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia14 Faculty of Health, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia7 School of Public Health, Mekelle University, Mekelle, EthiopiaUniversity of Canberra, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, AustraliaWesfarmers Centre of Vaccines and Infectious Diseases, Telethon Kids Institute, Nedlands, Western Australia, AustraliaCaring Futures Institute, College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, South Australia, AustraliaHaramaya University, Dire Dawa, EthiopiaAustralian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Queensland, Australia28 Public Health, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, EthiopiaDepartment of Public Health, College of Health Science, Debre Markos University, Debre Markos, Amhara, Ethiopia33 Centre for Quality and Patient Safety Research, School of Nursing and Midwifery, Institute for Health Transformation, Deakin University, Burwood, VIC, Australia35 Ethiopian Public Health Institute, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaThe George Institute for Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales (UNSW), Sydney, NSW, AustraliaSchool of Public Health, Mekelle University, Mekelle University College of Health Sciences, Mekelle, EthiopiaSchool of Pharmacy, Mekelle University, Mekelle, EthiopiaBackground COVID-19 has caused a global public health crisis affecting most countries, including Ethiopia, in various ways. This study maps the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia.Methods Thirty-eight potential indicators of vulnerability to COVID-19 infection, case severity and likelihood of death, identified based on a literature review and the availability of nationally representative data at a low geographic scale, were assembled from multiple sources for geospatial analysis. Geospatial analysis techniques were applied to produce maps showing the vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death in Ethiopia at a spatial resolution of 1 km×1 km.Results This study showed that vulnerability to COVID-19 infection is likely to be high across most parts of Ethiopia, particularly in the Somali, Afar, Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions. The number of severe cases of COVID-19 infection requiring hospitalisation and intensive care unit admission is likely to be high across Amhara, most parts of Oromia and some parts of the Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples’ Region. The risk of COVID-19-related death is high in the country’s border regions, where public health preparedness for responding to COVID-19 is limited.Conclusion This study revealed geographical differences in vulnerability to infection, case severity and likelihood of death from COVID-19 in Ethiopia. The study offers maps that can guide the targeted interventions necessary to contain the spread of COVID-19 in Ethiopia.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/2/e044606.full |
| spellingShingle | Hailay Gesesew Kefyalew Addis Alene Akilew Awoke Adane Berihun Assefa Dachew Asnakew Achaw Ayele Henok Getachew Tegegn Yohannes Kinfu Yohannes Adama Melaku Mulugeta Molla Birhanu Hassen Mohammed Yalemzewod Assefa Gelaw Dagnachew Muluye Fetene Digsu N. Koye Muluken Dessalegn Muluneh Solomon Abrha Atsede Aregay Woldesellassie M Bezabhe Kidane Tadesse Gebremariam Tesfaye Gebremedhin Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin Lemlem Gebremichael Ayele Bali Geleto Habtamu Tilahun Kassahun Getiye Dejenu Kibret Cheru Tesema Leshargie Alemayehu Mekonnen Alemnesh H. Mirkuzie Azeb Gebresilassie Tesema Fisaha Haile Tesfay Befikadu Legesse Wubishet COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death BMJ Open |
| title | COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death |
| title_full | COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death |
| title_fullStr | COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death |
| title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death |
| title_short | COVID-19 in Ethiopia: a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection, case severity and death |
| title_sort | covid 19 in ethiopia a geospatial analysis of vulnerability to infection case severity and death |
| url | https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/2/e044606.full |
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