NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region represents a geopolitical space marked by instability, strategic competition and the influence of global actors, including the Russian Federation, which has strengthened its presence through economic and military partnerships, as well as information in...

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Main Author: Teodora-Ioana MORARU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Carol I National Defence University Publishing House 2025-04-01
Series:Bulletin of "Carol I" National Defense University
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revista.unap.ro/index.php/bulletin/article/view/2101
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author Teodora-Ioana MORARU
author_facet Teodora-Ioana MORARU
author_sort Teodora-Ioana MORARU
collection DOAJ
description The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region represents a geopolitical space marked by instability, strategic competition and the influence of global actors, including the Russian Federation, which has strengthened its presence through economic and military partnerships, as well as information influence campaigns. In this context, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) can adopt new strategies to expand its engagement in the region, aiming to counter these dynamics and reduce Russia’s ability to destabilize Euro-Atlantic security. This study employs prospective analysis methods, specifically the RVAP-O framework (Risks, Vulnerabilities, Threats and Opportunities) to identify the main challenges and possible courses of action in the MENA region and the environmental scanning/horizon scanning (ES/HS) method to assess their shortterm impact. Thus, the research examines the extent to which NATO’s involvement in MENA can alter the balance of power and reshape the Russian Federation’s strategic priorities, thereby limiting its operational capabilities in the Euro-Atlantic space.
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institution OA Journals
issn 2284-936X
2284-9378
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publisher Carol I National Defence University Publishing House
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series Bulletin of "Carol I" National Defense University
spelling doaj-art-6b6942ffe298469697b2f072d95cd9912025-08-20T02:16:55ZengCarol I National Defence University Publishing HouseBulletin of "Carol I" National Defense University2284-936X2284-93782025-04-0114110.53477/2284-9378-25-05NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threatTeodora-Ioana MORARU0 “Nicolae Bălcescu” Land Forces Academy The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region represents a geopolitical space marked by instability, strategic competition and the influence of global actors, including the Russian Federation, which has strengthened its presence through economic and military partnerships, as well as information influence campaigns. In this context, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) can adopt new strategies to expand its engagement in the region, aiming to counter these dynamics and reduce Russia’s ability to destabilize Euro-Atlantic security. This study employs prospective analysis methods, specifically the RVAP-O framework (Risks, Vulnerabilities, Threats and Opportunities) to identify the main challenges and possible courses of action in the MENA region and the environmental scanning/horizon scanning (ES/HS) method to assess their shortterm impact. Thus, the research examines the extent to which NATO’s involvement in MENA can alter the balance of power and reshape the Russian Federation’s strategic priorities, thereby limiting its operational capabilities in the Euro-Atlantic space. https://revista.unap.ro/index.php/bulletin/article/view/2101NATOMENARussian FederationEuro-Atlantic securityprospective study.
spellingShingle Teodora-Ioana MORARU
NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat
Bulletin of "Carol I" National Defense University
NATO
MENA
Russian Federation
Euro-Atlantic security
prospective study.
title NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat
title_full NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat
title_fullStr NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat
title_full_unstemmed NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat
title_short NATO opportunities in the MENA region in the context of the Russian threat
title_sort nato opportunities in the mena region in the context of the russian threat
topic NATO
MENA
Russian Federation
Euro-Atlantic security
prospective study.
url https://revista.unap.ro/index.php/bulletin/article/view/2101
work_keys_str_mv AT teodoraioanamoraru natoopportunitiesinthemenaregioninthecontextoftherussianthreat