Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia
Background: Dengue fever remains a critical public health issue in Indonesia, with a significant increase in mortality cases in recent years. As a vector-borne disease, dengue fever is highly influenced by environmental conditions, making it particularly sensitive to the impacts of climate change. I...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2025-09-01
|
| Series: | Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1477893925000997 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1849225332090994688 |
|---|---|
| author | Kurnia Ardiansyah Akbar Rosa Kumala Fatma Fauzi Elamouri Jürgen Kurt Rockstroh |
| author_facet | Kurnia Ardiansyah Akbar Rosa Kumala Fatma Fauzi Elamouri Jürgen Kurt Rockstroh |
| author_sort | Kurnia Ardiansyah Akbar |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: Dengue fever remains a critical public health issue in Indonesia, with a significant increase in mortality cases in recent years. As a vector-borne disease, dengue fever is highly influenced by environmental conditions, making it particularly sensitive to the impacts of climate change. Indonesia, being heavily affected by global climate change, faces increasing challenges in managing dengue fever. This study aims to investigate the association between dengue fever mortality and climate variables, specifically annual rainfall, and temperature, in Indonesia from 2010 to 2023. Methods: Secondary data on dengue fever cases from 2010 to 2023 were collected from the Ministry of Health of Indonesia. Data on annual rainfall and annual temperature were obtained from the Indonesia Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Council, with information gathered from 116 stations across Indonesia. Linear regression analysis was used to determine the association between these variables and dengue fever mortality. Results: The analysis revealed a significant association between annual temperature (p = 0.049; R2 = 0.212; 95 % CI: 710.85–2.233) and dengue fever mortality. Additionally, annual dengue fever cases were significantly associated with mortality (p < 0.001; R2 = 1.075; 95 % CI: 0.007–0.010). However, annual rainfall was not found to be significant in this study. Conclusion: These findings underscore the importance of monitoring climatic changes and their impact on public health, particularly concerning vector-borne diseases. Enhanced surveillance and targeted interventions could mitigate the adverse effects of these climatic variables on dengue fever mortality in Indonesia. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6af5342e5641475e8d693267dca4b8da |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1873-0442 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease |
| spelling | doaj-art-6af5342e5641475e8d693267dca4b8da2025-08-25T04:14:11ZengElsevierTravel Medicine and Infectious Disease1873-04422025-09-016710289310.1016/j.tmaid.2025.102893Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in IndonesiaKurnia Ardiansyah Akbar0Rosa Kumala Fatma1Fauzi Elamouri2Jürgen Kurt Rockstroh3Faculty of Public Health, Jember University, Indonesia; Corresponding author.Lojejer Primary Healthcare, Jember Health Department, IndonesiaDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, GermanyDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, GermanyBackground: Dengue fever remains a critical public health issue in Indonesia, with a significant increase in mortality cases in recent years. As a vector-borne disease, dengue fever is highly influenced by environmental conditions, making it particularly sensitive to the impacts of climate change. Indonesia, being heavily affected by global climate change, faces increasing challenges in managing dengue fever. This study aims to investigate the association between dengue fever mortality and climate variables, specifically annual rainfall, and temperature, in Indonesia from 2010 to 2023. Methods: Secondary data on dengue fever cases from 2010 to 2023 were collected from the Ministry of Health of Indonesia. Data on annual rainfall and annual temperature were obtained from the Indonesia Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Council, with information gathered from 116 stations across Indonesia. Linear regression analysis was used to determine the association between these variables and dengue fever mortality. Results: The analysis revealed a significant association between annual temperature (p = 0.049; R2 = 0.212; 95 % CI: 710.85–2.233) and dengue fever mortality. Additionally, annual dengue fever cases were significantly associated with mortality (p < 0.001; R2 = 1.075; 95 % CI: 0.007–0.010). However, annual rainfall was not found to be significant in this study. Conclusion: These findings underscore the importance of monitoring climatic changes and their impact on public health, particularly concerning vector-borne diseases. Enhanced surveillance and targeted interventions could mitigate the adverse effects of these climatic variables on dengue fever mortality in Indonesia.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1477893925000997Infectious diseaseDengue feverMortalityClimate changeTemperatureRainfall |
| spellingShingle | Kurnia Ardiansyah Akbar Rosa Kumala Fatma Fauzi Elamouri Jürgen Kurt Rockstroh Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease Infectious disease Dengue fever Mortality Climate change Temperature Rainfall |
| title | Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia |
| title_full | Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia |
| title_fullStr | Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia |
| title_short | Climate change and dengue Fever: A 14-year study of mortality trends during 2010–2023 in Indonesia |
| title_sort | climate change and dengue fever a 14 year study of mortality trends during 2010 2023 in indonesia |
| topic | Infectious disease Dengue fever Mortality Climate change Temperature Rainfall |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1477893925000997 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kurniaardiansyahakbar climatechangeanddenguefevera14yearstudyofmortalitytrendsduring20102023inindonesia AT rosakumalafatma climatechangeanddenguefevera14yearstudyofmortalitytrendsduring20102023inindonesia AT fauzielamouri climatechangeanddenguefevera14yearstudyofmortalitytrendsduring20102023inindonesia AT jurgenkurtrockstroh climatechangeanddenguefevera14yearstudyofmortalitytrendsduring20102023inindonesia |