Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region
China’s rural population flowing into highly urbanized areas has led to the spatial reconstruction of urban–rural land use. Exploring the laws and trends of urban–rural land use in highly urbanized areas is of great significance in promoting rural transformation. This paper takes the southern Jiangs...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2024-12-01
|
| Series: | Land |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/12/2199 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1850241265408409600 |
|---|---|
| author | Changjun Jiang Huiguang Chen |
| author_facet | Changjun Jiang Huiguang Chen |
| author_sort | Changjun Jiang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | China’s rural population flowing into highly urbanized areas has led to the spatial reconstruction of urban–rural land use. Exploring the laws and trends of urban–rural land use in highly urbanized areas is of great significance in promoting rural transformation. This paper takes the southern Jiangsu region as a research area and uses a system dynamics (SD) model to simulate the demand for different land types based on economic, social, policy, and environmental (ESPE) factors. Future land use simulation (FLUS) is used to simulate the spatial evolution trend of urban–rural land use based on point–axis elements. The results show that the agricultural production space is severely squeezed by the urban living space. Under the scenario of rapid expansion, the decrease in arable land quantity and the demand area for rural residential areas are the largest. Under the scenario of high-quality development, the decrease in arable land area and the demand for land in rural residential areas are lowest. Based on the spatial simulation, it is reported that the areas with more intense land use spatial reconstruction in the three scenarios are mainly concentrated in the region’s urban–rural border areas. The future evolution of urban–rural land is summarized into three models: (1) single-center-driving expansion, (2) patchy expansion near the city center, and (3) multi-center-driving expansion. This paper proposes targeted policy recommendations to provide a scientific reference for solving the conflict between urban and rural land use. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6aacb766e71b4353b30e43f899ad114e |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2073-445X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Land |
| spelling | doaj-art-6aacb766e71b4353b30e43f899ad114e2025-08-20T02:00:39ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2024-12-011312219910.3390/land13122199Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu RegionChangjun Jiang0Huiguang Chen1College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, ChinaCollege of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, ChinaChina’s rural population flowing into highly urbanized areas has led to the spatial reconstruction of urban–rural land use. Exploring the laws and trends of urban–rural land use in highly urbanized areas is of great significance in promoting rural transformation. This paper takes the southern Jiangsu region as a research area and uses a system dynamics (SD) model to simulate the demand for different land types based on economic, social, policy, and environmental (ESPE) factors. Future land use simulation (FLUS) is used to simulate the spatial evolution trend of urban–rural land use based on point–axis elements. The results show that the agricultural production space is severely squeezed by the urban living space. Under the scenario of rapid expansion, the decrease in arable land quantity and the demand area for rural residential areas are the largest. Under the scenario of high-quality development, the decrease in arable land area and the demand for land in rural residential areas are lowest. Based on the spatial simulation, it is reported that the areas with more intense land use spatial reconstruction in the three scenarios are mainly concentrated in the region’s urban–rural border areas. The future evolution of urban–rural land is summarized into three models: (1) single-center-driving expansion, (2) patchy expansion near the city center, and (3) multi-center-driving expansion. This paper proposes targeted policy recommendations to provide a scientific reference for solving the conflict between urban and rural land use.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/12/2199urban–rural land usespatial reconstructionmulti-scenario simulationSD-FLUS modelESPE factors |
| spellingShingle | Changjun Jiang Huiguang Chen Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region Land urban–rural land use spatial reconstruction multi-scenario simulation SD-FLUS model ESPE factors |
| title | Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region |
| title_full | Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region |
| title_fullStr | Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region |
| title_full_unstemmed | Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region |
| title_short | Multi-Scenario Simulation of Urban–Rural Land Use Spatial Reconstruction in Highly Urbanized Areas: A Case Study from the Southern Jiangsu Region |
| title_sort | multi scenario simulation of urban rural land use spatial reconstruction in highly urbanized areas a case study from the southern jiangsu region |
| topic | urban–rural land use spatial reconstruction multi-scenario simulation SD-FLUS model ESPE factors |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/12/2199 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT changjunjiang multiscenariosimulationofurbanrurallandusespatialreconstructioninhighlyurbanizedareasacasestudyfromthesouthernjiangsuregion AT huiguangchen multiscenariosimulationofurbanrurallandusespatialreconstructioninhighlyurbanizedareasacasestudyfromthesouthernjiangsuregion |