Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction

【Objective】This paper aims to address the challenge of predicting performance degradation (frame transmission errors) in Optical Transport Network (OTN). Frame error performance metrics in OTN rely on the detection of Bit Interleaved Parity (BIP) bytes in OTN frame overhead, which are periodically c...

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Main Authors: CHEN Liping, LIAO Liang, ZHANG Peng, ZHU Dehan, PENG Zhichong, ZHOU Hao
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: 《光通信研究》编辑部 2025-04-01
Series:Guangtongxin yanjiu
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Online Access:http://www.gtxyj.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.13756/j.gtxyj.2025.240047/
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author CHEN Liping
LIAO Liang
ZHANG Peng
ZHU Dehan
PENG Zhichong
ZHOU Hao
author_facet CHEN Liping
LIAO Liang
ZHANG Peng
ZHU Dehan
PENG Zhichong
ZHOU Hao
author_sort CHEN Liping
collection DOAJ
description 【Objective】This paper aims to address the challenge of predicting performance degradation (frame transmission errors) in Optical Transport Network (OTN). Frame error performance metrics in OTN rely on the detection of Bit Interleaved Parity (BIP) bytes in OTN frame overhead, which are periodically calculated by network management systems. In the vast majority of cases where the OTN network operates normally, the error-related performance values remain zero, which undoubtedly poses a challenge for both traditional methods and the Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies in predicting OTN error-related performance.【Methods】This paper proposes a creative approach to predict error probability by leveraging the correspondence between the optical and electrical layers in OTN. Firstly, deep learning techniques are used to predict the trend of Bit Error Rates (BER) in optical channels. Subsequently, based on the predicted BER in optical channels, the proposed machine learning models are employed to further predict the frame error probability in OTN.【Results】Verified through simulation experiments, the prediction accuracy of this method exceeds 90%.【Conclusion】The proposed solution meets the requirements for engineering applications, providing a new and effective method for predicting performance degradation in OTN networks. It also provides a strong basis for predictive maintenance of OTN networks.
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institution DOAJ
issn 1005-8788
language zho
publishDate 2025-04-01
publisher 《光通信研究》编辑部
record_format Article
series Guangtongxin yanjiu
spelling doaj-art-6a4fb182ef324c5fb69477cf7c907fa92025-08-20T03:09:18Zzho《光通信研究》编辑部Guangtongxin yanjiu1005-87882025-04-01240047-0690716824Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation PredictionCHEN LipingLIAO LiangZHANG PengZHU DehanPENG ZhichongZHOU Hao【Objective】This paper aims to address the challenge of predicting performance degradation (frame transmission errors) in Optical Transport Network (OTN). Frame error performance metrics in OTN rely on the detection of Bit Interleaved Parity (BIP) bytes in OTN frame overhead, which are periodically calculated by network management systems. In the vast majority of cases where the OTN network operates normally, the error-related performance values remain zero, which undoubtedly poses a challenge for both traditional methods and the Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies in predicting OTN error-related performance.【Methods】This paper proposes a creative approach to predict error probability by leveraging the correspondence between the optical and electrical layers in OTN. Firstly, deep learning techniques are used to predict the trend of Bit Error Rates (BER) in optical channels. Subsequently, based on the predicted BER in optical channels, the proposed machine learning models are employed to further predict the frame error probability in OTN.【Results】Verified through simulation experiments, the prediction accuracy of this method exceeds 90%.【Conclusion】The proposed solution meets the requirements for engineering applications, providing a new and effective method for predicting performance degradation in OTN networks. It also provides a strong basis for predictive maintenance of OTN networks.http://www.gtxyj.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.13756/j.gtxyj.2025.240047/OTNframe error probability predictionoptical channel BER predictionlong short-term memorylogistic regression
spellingShingle CHEN Liping
LIAO Liang
ZHANG Peng
ZHU Dehan
PENG Zhichong
ZHOU Hao
Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction
Guangtongxin yanjiu
OTN
frame error probability prediction
optical channel BER prediction
long short-term memory
logistic regression
title Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction
title_full Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction
title_fullStr Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction
title_short Machine Learning based OTN Network Performance Degradation Prediction
title_sort machine learning based otn network performance degradation prediction
topic OTN
frame error probability prediction
optical channel BER prediction
long short-term memory
logistic regression
url http://www.gtxyj.com.cn/zh/article/doi/10.13756/j.gtxyj.2025.240047/
work_keys_str_mv AT chenliping machinelearningbasedotnnetworkperformancedegradationprediction
AT liaoliang machinelearningbasedotnnetworkperformancedegradationprediction
AT zhangpeng machinelearningbasedotnnetworkperformancedegradationprediction
AT zhudehan machinelearningbasedotnnetworkperformancedegradationprediction
AT pengzhichong machinelearningbasedotnnetworkperformancedegradationprediction
AT zhouhao machinelearningbasedotnnetworkperformancedegradationprediction