Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback

Abstract The surprising increase of Earth's climate sensitivity in the most recent coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP) models has been largely attributed to extratropical cloud feedback, which is thought to be driven by greater supercooled water in present‐day cloud phase partitioning...

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Main Authors: Grégory V. Cesana, Andrew S. Ackerman, Ann M. Fridlind, Israel Silber, Maxwell Kelley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-10-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094876
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author Grégory V. Cesana
Andrew S. Ackerman
Ann M. Fridlind
Israel Silber
Maxwell Kelley
author_facet Grégory V. Cesana
Andrew S. Ackerman
Ann M. Fridlind
Israel Silber
Maxwell Kelley
author_sort Grégory V. Cesana
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The surprising increase of Earth's climate sensitivity in the most recent coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP) models has been largely attributed to extratropical cloud feedback, which is thought to be driven by greater supercooled water in present‐day cloud phase partitioning (CPP). Here, we report that accounting for precipitation in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE3 radiation scheme, neglected in more than 60% of CMIP6 and 90% of CMIP5 models, systematically changes its apparent CPP and substantially increases its cloud feedback, consistent with results using CMIP models. Including precipitation in the comparison with cloud–aerosol lidar and infrared pathfinder satellite observations (CALIPSO) measurements and in model radiation schemes is essential to faithfully constrain cloud amount and phase partitioning, and simulate cloud feedbacks. Our findings suggest that making radiation schemes precipitation‐aware (missing in most CMIP6 models) should strengthen their positive cloud feedback and further increase their already high mean climate sensitivity.
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-69f8e663051b4f12b658ece52c3c4ecf2025-08-20T02:36:28ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072021-10-014820n/an/a10.1029/2021GL094876Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud FeedbackGrégory V. Cesana0Andrew S. Ackerman1Ann M. Fridlind2Israel Silber3Maxwell Kelley4Center for Climate Systems Research Columbia University New York NY USANASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies New York NY USANASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies New York NY USAPennsylvania State University University Park PA USANASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies New York NY USAAbstract The surprising increase of Earth's climate sensitivity in the most recent coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP) models has been largely attributed to extratropical cloud feedback, which is thought to be driven by greater supercooled water in present‐day cloud phase partitioning (CPP). Here, we report that accounting for precipitation in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE3 radiation scheme, neglected in more than 60% of CMIP6 and 90% of CMIP5 models, systematically changes its apparent CPP and substantially increases its cloud feedback, consistent with results using CMIP models. Including precipitation in the comparison with cloud–aerosol lidar and infrared pathfinder satellite observations (CALIPSO) measurements and in model radiation schemes is essential to faithfully constrain cloud amount and phase partitioning, and simulate cloud feedbacks. Our findings suggest that making radiation schemes precipitation‐aware (missing in most CMIP6 models) should strengthen their positive cloud feedback and further increase their already high mean climate sensitivity.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094876cloud phasesnowcloud feedbackCALIPSOlidar simulatorclimate models
spellingShingle Grégory V. Cesana
Andrew S. Ackerman
Ann M. Fridlind
Israel Silber
Maxwell Kelley
Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback
Geophysical Research Letters
cloud phase
snow
cloud feedback
CALIPSO
lidar simulator
climate models
title Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback
title_full Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback
title_fullStr Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback
title_full_unstemmed Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback
title_short Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback
title_sort snow reconciles observed and simulated phase partitioning and increases cloud feedback
topic cloud phase
snow
cloud feedback
CALIPSO
lidar simulator
climate models
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094876
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AT annmfridlind snowreconcilesobservedandsimulatedphasepartitioningandincreasescloudfeedback
AT israelsilber snowreconcilesobservedandsimulatedphasepartitioningandincreasescloudfeedback
AT maxwellkelley snowreconcilesobservedandsimulatedphasepartitioningandincreasescloudfeedback