Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change
Abstract Coastal change and evolution are the product of physical drivers (e.g., waves) tightly coupled with human behavior. As climate change impacts intensify, demand is increasing for information on where, when, and how coastal areas may change in the future. Although considerable research invest...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2024-10-01
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| Series: | Earth's Future |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004504 |
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| author | Erika E. Lentz Gabrielle Wong‐Parodi Sara Zeigler Renee C. Collini Margaret L. Palmsten Davina Passeri |
| author_facet | Erika E. Lentz Gabrielle Wong‐Parodi Sara Zeigler Renee C. Collini Margaret L. Palmsten Davina Passeri |
| author_sort | Erika E. Lentz |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Coastal change and evolution are the product of physical drivers (e.g., waves) tightly coupled with human behavior. As climate change impacts intensify, demand is increasing for information on where, when, and how coastal areas may change in the future. Although considerable research investments have been made in understanding the physical drivers and processes that modify and shape coastal environments, many do not account for human behavior, compromising the accuracy of comprehensive future change predictions. We outline four social science approaches—historic case studies, simulations, longitudinal studies, and longitudinal studies supported by experimental data—that can be coupled with physical change information to support transdisciplinary understanding of future change. A fundamental need for each approach is more and better empirical data to better gauge human behavior. In addition, foundational investments in transdisciplinary collaboration help research teams support the integration of these approaches. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-692fae60e9d444debe51e1ea64ac728e |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2328-4277 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-10-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Earth's Future |
| spelling | doaj-art-692fae60e9d444debe51e1ea64ac728e2025-08-20T02:12:11ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772024-10-011210n/an/a10.1029/2024EF004504Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future ChangeErika E. Lentz0Gabrielle Wong‐Parodi1Sara Zeigler2Renee C. Collini3Margaret L. Palmsten4Davina Passeri5Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole MA USADepartment of Earth System Science Department of Environmental Social Sciences Woods Institute for the Environment Stanford University Stanford CA USASt. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center U.S. Geological Survey St. Petersburg FL USACommunity Resilience Center The Water Institute Vancleave MS USASt. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center U.S. Geological Survey St. Petersburg FL USASt. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center U.S. Geological Survey St. Petersburg FL USAAbstract Coastal change and evolution are the product of physical drivers (e.g., waves) tightly coupled with human behavior. As climate change impacts intensify, demand is increasing for information on where, when, and how coastal areas may change in the future. Although considerable research investments have been made in understanding the physical drivers and processes that modify and shape coastal environments, many do not account for human behavior, compromising the accuracy of comprehensive future change predictions. We outline four social science approaches—historic case studies, simulations, longitudinal studies, and longitudinal studies supported by experimental data—that can be coupled with physical change information to support transdisciplinary understanding of future change. A fundamental need for each approach is more and better empirical data to better gauge human behavior. In addition, foundational investments in transdisciplinary collaboration help research teams support the integration of these approaches.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004504human‐coastal systemscoastal changetransdisciplinarylongitudinal studiesmodeling |
| spellingShingle | Erika E. Lentz Gabrielle Wong‐Parodi Sara Zeigler Renee C. Collini Margaret L. Palmsten Davina Passeri Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change Earth's Future human‐coastal systems coastal change transdisciplinary longitudinal studies modeling |
| title | Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change |
| title_full | Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change |
| title_fullStr | Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change |
| title_short | Shaping the Coast: Accounting for the Human Wildcard in Projections of Future Change |
| title_sort | shaping the coast accounting for the human wildcard in projections of future change |
| topic | human‐coastal systems coastal change transdisciplinary longitudinal studies modeling |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004504 |
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