Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science

Abstract Introduction Meta-analyses on breast cancer determinants in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including upper-middle-income countries (UMICs), often produce fragmented, context-specific findings. This umbrella review provides a consolidated synthesis to identify consistent risk fact...

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Main Authors: Mitiku Bonsa Debela, Kebebe Bekele Gonfa, Mohammedaman Mama Hussen, Demisu Zenbaba, Alemayehu Bayray Kahsay, Besufekad Mulugeta, Muhammad Hoque, Chalchisa Abdeta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-07-01
Series:BMC Cancer
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-025-14499-w
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author Mitiku Bonsa Debela
Kebebe Bekele Gonfa
Mohammedaman Mama Hussen
Demisu Zenbaba
Alemayehu Bayray Kahsay
Besufekad Mulugeta
Muhammad Hoque
Chalchisa Abdeta
author_facet Mitiku Bonsa Debela
Kebebe Bekele Gonfa
Mohammedaman Mama Hussen
Demisu Zenbaba
Alemayehu Bayray Kahsay
Besufekad Mulugeta
Muhammad Hoque
Chalchisa Abdeta
author_sort Mitiku Bonsa Debela
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Introduction Meta-analyses on breast cancer determinants in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including upper-middle-income countries (UMICs), often produce fragmented, context-specific findings. This umbrella review provides a consolidated synthesis to identify consistent risk factors and strengthen the evidence base for guiding targeted public health strategies. Methods and materials In accordance with PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines, we conducted a systematic search for meta-analyses across multiple databases. Study quality was assessed using the AMSTAR 2 (A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews) tool. Data were analyzed using STATA version 14, applying a random-effects model to estimate pooled effect sizes with 95% confidence intervals. Forest plots were used to visualize determinants. Publication bias was assessed through funnel plots and Egger’s test, while heterogeneity was evaluated using the I-squared (I²) statistic and Galbraith plots. Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess small-study effects. Results Out of 1,515 publications reviewed, 35 met the inclusion criteria. Eight determinants of breast cancer showed convincing evidence under the random-effects model: being overweight (POR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.09–1.23), oral contraceptive use (POR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11–1.27), family history of breast cancer (POR = 2.26, 95% CI: 1.84–2.67), age ≥ 40 years (POR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.60–2.05), smoking history (POR = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.11–1.34), exposure to air pollution (POR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01–1.05), higher fruit and vegetable consumption (POR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.71–0.92), and history of night work (POR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02–1.25). Conclusions This umbrella review identified eight key breast cancer risk factors. Non-modifiable factors like age ≥ 40 and family history, along with modifiable factors such as overweight, smoking, oral contraceptive use, air pollution, and night shift work, increased the odds of breast cancer. Adequate fruit and vegetable intake was linked to reduced odds, suggesting a protective effect. We recommend that public health strategies promote healthy lifestyles and target high-risk groups through early screening and awareness campaigns, using evidence-based interventions to reduce the breast cancer burden.
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spelling doaj-art-685b13867ce8498cac8036dffcd5fe5d2025-08-20T03:45:32ZengBMCBMC Cancer1471-24072025-07-0125111610.1186/s12885-025-14499-wBreast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation scienceMitiku Bonsa Debela0Kebebe Bekele Gonfa1Mohammedaman Mama Hussen2Demisu Zenbaba3Alemayehu Bayray Kahsay4Besufekad Mulugeta5Muhammad Hoque6Chalchisa Abdeta7Goba Referral Hospital, Madda Walabu UniversityGoba Referral Hospital, Madda Walabu UniversityGoba Referral Hospital, Madda Walabu UniversityGoba Referral Hospital, Madda Walabu UniversitySchool of Public health, College of health sciences, Mekelle UniversityMathiwos Wondu-YeEthiopia cancer societiesDepartments of Public Health, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences UniversityEarly start, University of WollongongAbstract Introduction Meta-analyses on breast cancer determinants in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including upper-middle-income countries (UMICs), often produce fragmented, context-specific findings. This umbrella review provides a consolidated synthesis to identify consistent risk factors and strengthen the evidence base for guiding targeted public health strategies. Methods and materials In accordance with PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines, we conducted a systematic search for meta-analyses across multiple databases. Study quality was assessed using the AMSTAR 2 (A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews) tool. Data were analyzed using STATA version 14, applying a random-effects model to estimate pooled effect sizes with 95% confidence intervals. Forest plots were used to visualize determinants. Publication bias was assessed through funnel plots and Egger’s test, while heterogeneity was evaluated using the I-squared (I²) statistic and Galbraith plots. Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess small-study effects. Results Out of 1,515 publications reviewed, 35 met the inclusion criteria. Eight determinants of breast cancer showed convincing evidence under the random-effects model: being overweight (POR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.09–1.23), oral contraceptive use (POR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11–1.27), family history of breast cancer (POR = 2.26, 95% CI: 1.84–2.67), age ≥ 40 years (POR = 1.82, 95% CI: 1.60–2.05), smoking history (POR = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.11–1.34), exposure to air pollution (POR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01–1.05), higher fruit and vegetable consumption (POR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.71–0.92), and history of night work (POR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02–1.25). Conclusions This umbrella review identified eight key breast cancer risk factors. Non-modifiable factors like age ≥ 40 and family history, along with modifiable factors such as overweight, smoking, oral contraceptive use, air pollution, and night shift work, increased the odds of breast cancer. Adequate fruit and vegetable intake was linked to reduced odds, suggesting a protective effect. We recommend that public health strategies promote healthy lifestyles and target high-risk groups through early screening and awareness campaigns, using evidence-based interventions to reduce the breast cancer burden.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-025-14499-wBreast cancerDeterminantsLow- and middle-income countriesUpper-middle-income countriesUmbrella review
spellingShingle Mitiku Bonsa Debela
Kebebe Bekele Gonfa
Mohammedaman Mama Hussen
Demisu Zenbaba
Alemayehu Bayray Kahsay
Besufekad Mulugeta
Muhammad Hoque
Chalchisa Abdeta
Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
BMC Cancer
Breast cancer
Determinants
Low- and middle-income countries
Upper-middle-income countries
Umbrella review
title Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
title_full Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
title_fullStr Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
title_full_unstemmed Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
title_short Breast cancer determinants in low- to upper-middle-income countries: an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
title_sort breast cancer determinants in low to upper middle income countries an umbrella review of meta analyses of observational studies and an urgent call for implementation science
topic Breast cancer
Determinants
Low- and middle-income countries
Upper-middle-income countries
Umbrella review
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-025-14499-w
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