Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period
This study analyzes the projection of the School Life Expectancy (HLS) in 33 districts/cities in North Sumatra Province using the ARIMA method. Historical HLS data from 2019 to 2023 were used to forecast the HLS values for 2024 and 2025. The prediction results show an increase in HLS in most regions...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Indonesian |
| Published: |
Islamic University of Indragiri
2024-11-01
|
| Series: | Sistemasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi |
| Online Access: | https://sistemasi.ftik.unisi.ac.id/index.php/stmsi/article/view/4611 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1841555748475109376 |
|---|---|
| author | Egi Dio Bagus Sudewo Muhammad Kunta Biddinika Khoirul Anam Dahlan Kintung Prayitno Kariyamin Kariyamin |
| author_facet | Egi Dio Bagus Sudewo Muhammad Kunta Biddinika Khoirul Anam Dahlan Kintung Prayitno Kariyamin Kariyamin |
| author_sort | Egi Dio Bagus Sudewo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study analyzes the projection of the School Life Expectancy (HLS) in 33 districts/cities in North Sumatra Province using the ARIMA method. Historical HLS data from 2019 to 2023 were used to forecast the HLS values for 2024 and 2025. The prediction results show an increase in HLS in most regions, with several districts/cities such as Labuhan Batu, Pematangsiantar City, and Padangsidempuan City experiencing significant growth. However, some regions like Mandailing Natal and Samosir show a more stable trend without significant increases. These findings indicate disparities in access and quality of education across various regions in North Sumatra. Overall, the ARIMA model provides a positive forecast for future HLS improvements, though regional disparities require special attention from relevant authorities to promote equal access to education. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-67f70dd117584f4a948a47b4c9f06fc7 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2302-8149 2540-9719 |
| language | Indonesian |
| publishDate | 2024-11-01 |
| publisher | Islamic University of Indragiri |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Sistemasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi |
| spelling | doaj-art-67f70dd117584f4a948a47b4c9f06fc72025-01-08T03:10:27ZindIslamic University of IndragiriSistemasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi2302-81492540-97192024-11-011362509251810.32520/stmsi.v13i6.4611906Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 PeriodEgi Dio Bagus Sudewo0Muhammad Kunta Biddinika1Khoirul Anam Dahlan2Kintung Prayitno3Kariyamin Kariyamin4Universitas Ahmad DahlanUniversitas Ahmad DahlanUniversitas Ahmad DahlanUniversitas Ahmad DahlanInstitut Teknologi dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah WakatobiThis study analyzes the projection of the School Life Expectancy (HLS) in 33 districts/cities in North Sumatra Province using the ARIMA method. Historical HLS data from 2019 to 2023 were used to forecast the HLS values for 2024 and 2025. The prediction results show an increase in HLS in most regions, with several districts/cities such as Labuhan Batu, Pematangsiantar City, and Padangsidempuan City experiencing significant growth. However, some regions like Mandailing Natal and Samosir show a more stable trend without significant increases. These findings indicate disparities in access and quality of education across various regions in North Sumatra. Overall, the ARIMA model provides a positive forecast for future HLS improvements, though regional disparities require special attention from relevant authorities to promote equal access to education.https://sistemasi.ftik.unisi.ac.id/index.php/stmsi/article/view/4611 |
| spellingShingle | Egi Dio Bagus Sudewo Muhammad Kunta Biddinika Khoirul Anam Dahlan Kintung Prayitno Kariyamin Kariyamin Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period Sistemasi: Jurnal Sistem Informasi |
| title | Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period |
| title_full | Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period |
| title_short | Analysis of School Life Expectancy Prediction in North Sumatra using the ARIMA Method for the 2024-2025 Period |
| title_sort | analysis of school life expectancy prediction in north sumatra using the arima method for the 2024 2025 period |
| url | https://sistemasi.ftik.unisi.ac.id/index.php/stmsi/article/view/4611 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT egidiobagussudewo analysisofschoollifeexpectancypredictioninnorthsumatrausingthearimamethodforthe20242025period AT muhammadkuntabiddinika analysisofschoollifeexpectancypredictioninnorthsumatrausingthearimamethodforthe20242025period AT khoirulanamdahlan analysisofschoollifeexpectancypredictioninnorthsumatrausingthearimamethodforthe20242025period AT kintungprayitno analysisofschoollifeexpectancypredictioninnorthsumatrausingthearimamethodforthe20242025period AT kariyaminkariyamin analysisofschoollifeexpectancypredictioninnorthsumatrausingthearimamethodforthe20242025period |