Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion
The ecosystem services value (ESV) is essential for preventing environmental degradation and biodiversity loss. The expansion of artificial oases has led to a decrease in ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone of arid regions. The southern Tarim Basin represents a typical arid ''mountain-oasis-de...
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2025-04-01
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| Series: | Global Ecology and Conservation |
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| author | Xinxin Li Donglei Mao Jie Xue Shunke Wang Jingjing Chang Xin Liu |
| author_facet | Xinxin Li Donglei Mao Jie Xue Shunke Wang Jingjing Chang Xin Liu |
| author_sort | Xinxin Li |
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| description | The ecosystem services value (ESV) is essential for preventing environmental degradation and biodiversity loss. The expansion of artificial oases has led to a decrease in ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone of arid regions. The southern Tarim Basin represents a typical arid ''mountain-oasis-desert system.'' This study employs the CA-Markov model, the ESV evaluation model, and the geographical detector model to simulate future scenarios and assess the attribution of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change (LUCC) and the loss of ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone of the southern Tarim Basin, China, from 2000 to 2030. From 2000–2020, the area of artificial oases expanded by 44.1 %, resulting in a loss of 5.653 billion yuan in ESV within the desert-oasis ecotone. This highlights the threat to the stability of the oasis ecosystem caused by the expansion of artificial oases in the region. In the three scenario simulations for 2030, the ecological protection scenario predicts the smallest expansion of artificial oasis area (1.27 %) compared to 2020. Additionally, it has the lowest loss of ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone (860 million yuan). This suggests that future implementation of ecological protection policies could effectively safeguard the ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone. DEM, GDP and NDVI are the main factors influencing ESV loss in the desert-oasis ecotone. The ESV assessment framework and future scenario simulation results presented in this study can offer scientific evidence for policymakers, aiding in the formulation and implementation of more effective ecological protection policies. This approach is also beneficial for ecological conservation and restoration in the context of accelerated urbanization. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-66efeead0d8a43e98043f4d755a2a76f |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2351-9894 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-04-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
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| series | Global Ecology and Conservation |
| spelling | doaj-art-66efeead0d8a43e98043f4d755a2a76f2025-08-20T02:47:13ZengElsevierGlobal Ecology and Conservation2351-98942025-04-0158e0345010.1016/j.gecco.2025.e03450Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansionXinxin Li0Donglei Mao1Jie Xue2Shunke Wang3Jingjing Chang4Xin Liu5College of Geography Science and Tourism, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830054, China; State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands，Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaCollege of Geography Science and Tourism, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830054, China; Correspondence to: College of Geography Science and Tourism, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi 830054, China.State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands，Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China; Cele National Station of Observation and Research for Desert-Grassland Ecosystems, Cele, Hetian 848300, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands，Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China.State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands，Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China; Cele National Station of Observation and Research for Desert-Grassland Ecosystems, Cele, Hetian 848300, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands，Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands，Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China; Cele National Station of Observation and Research for Desert-Grassland Ecosystems, Cele, Hetian 848300, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaThe ecosystem services value (ESV) is essential for preventing environmental degradation and biodiversity loss. The expansion of artificial oases has led to a decrease in ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone of arid regions. The southern Tarim Basin represents a typical arid ''mountain-oasis-desert system.'' This study employs the CA-Markov model, the ESV evaluation model, and the geographical detector model to simulate future scenarios and assess the attribution of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change (LUCC) and the loss of ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone of the southern Tarim Basin, China, from 2000 to 2030. From 2000–2020, the area of artificial oases expanded by 44.1 %, resulting in a loss of 5.653 billion yuan in ESV within the desert-oasis ecotone. This highlights the threat to the stability of the oasis ecosystem caused by the expansion of artificial oases in the region. In the three scenario simulations for 2030, the ecological protection scenario predicts the smallest expansion of artificial oasis area (1.27 %) compared to 2020. Additionally, it has the lowest loss of ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone (860 million yuan). This suggests that future implementation of ecological protection policies could effectively safeguard the ESV in the desert-oasis ecotone. DEM, GDP and NDVI are the main factors influencing ESV loss in the desert-oasis ecotone. The ESV assessment framework and future scenario simulation results presented in this study can offer scientific evidence for policymakers, aiding in the formulation and implementation of more effective ecological protection policies. This approach is also beneficial for ecological conservation and restoration in the context of accelerated urbanization.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989425000514Desert-oasis ecotoneEcosystem service valueGeographic detectorCA-Markov modelCold and hot spot analysis |
| spellingShingle | Xinxin Li Donglei Mao Jie Xue Shunke Wang Jingjing Chang Xin Liu Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion Global Ecology and Conservation Desert-oasis ecotone Ecosystem service value Geographic detector CA-Markov model Cold and hot spot analysis |
| title | Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion |
| title_full | Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion |
| title_fullStr | Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion |
| title_full_unstemmed | Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion |
| title_short | Integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert-oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion |
| title_sort | integrative assessment and management implications on loss of ecosystem services value of desert oasis ecotone due to artificial oasis expansion |
| topic | Desert-oasis ecotone Ecosystem service value Geographic detector CA-Markov model Cold and hot spot analysis |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989425000514 |
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