Independent and combined associations of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol-modified triglyceride-glucose index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with acute decompensated heart failure

IntroductionDysregulation of glucolipid metabolism is a central pathological mechanism underlying acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) and significantly impacts its poor prognosis. This study aims to investigate the association between the high-density lipoprotein cholesterol-modified triglyceri...

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Main Authors: Shiming He, Lin Xie, Guobo Xie, Guoan Jian, Kun Jiang, Zihao Lu, Shuhua Zhang, Qun Wang, Hengcheng Lu, Zhiyu Xiong, Zhiting Wu, Guotai Sheng, Hengli Lai, Wei Wang, Yang Zou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1629066/full
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Summary:IntroductionDysregulation of glucolipid metabolism is a central pathological mechanism underlying acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) and significantly impacts its poor prognosis. This study aims to investigate the association between the high-density lipoprotein cholesterol-modified triglyceride-glucose index (defined as TyG/HDL-C) and their interaction with 30-day mortality in patients with ADHF.MethodsFrom 2018 to 2024, 2,329 ADHF patients enrolled in the Jiangxi-ADHF II cohort were included. Multivariable Cox regression models were utilized to evaluate the association between TyG/HDL-C ratio and 30-day all-cause/cardiovascular mortality risk. A 3-dimensional interaction model was employed to examine the dose-response relationships of TyG and HDL-C with mortality risk. Additionally, exploratory mediation models were constructed to investigate potential mediating effects of inflammation, oxidative stress, and nutritional metabolism in the association between TyG/HDL-C ratio and mortality risk.ResultsAt 30-day follow-up, 150 deaths occurred, 115 of which were cardiovascular. Multivariable Cox regression showed that each standard deviation increase in TyG/HDL-C ratio increased 30-day all-cause mortality by 24% and cardiovascular mortality by 20%. These findings demonstrated robustness across sensitivity analyses conducted from four dimensions: model adjustment, causal timing, population heterogeneity, and data integrity. Notably, the subsequent 3-dimensional interaction model analysis revealed a complex U-shaped association — resembling a concave surface of a radio telescope — between the combined effects of TyG index and HDL-C on mortality risk. Specifically, both excessively low and high combinations of TyG index and HDL-C were associated with elevated 30-day mortality risk in ADHF patients, while the lowest mortality risk interval occurred when the TyG index remained within 7.5–9.0 and HDL-C levels were maintained at 1.0–1.5 mmol/L. Mediation analysis further suggested that inflammatory and nutritional pathways might serve as significant mediators of mortality risk related to TyG/HDL-C ratio.DiscussionThe TyG/HDL-C ratio emerged as an independent predictor of short-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in ADHF patients, demonstrating significant enhancement in predictive performance for these outcomes. Most notably, the concave-shaped interaction pattern revealed by 3-dimensional interaction analysis provided an evidence-based threshold framework for metabolic management in ADHF patients, which may hold substantial clinical significance for reducing future mortality risks in this population.
ISSN:1664-2392