Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method

The present work investigates a novel time-fractional model for monkeypox using the Caputo fractional operator, with a focus on vaccinated, quarantined, and hospitalized individuals. Utilizing the fractional variational iteration method, we derived numerical outcomes demonstrating the convergence an...

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Main Authors: M. Manivel, A. Venkatesh, K. Arun Kumar, M. Prakash Raj, Sunday Emmanuel Fadugba, Malesela Kekana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666818124004121
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author M. Manivel
A. Venkatesh
K. Arun Kumar
M. Prakash Raj
Sunday Emmanuel Fadugba
Malesela Kekana
author_facet M. Manivel
A. Venkatesh
K. Arun Kumar
M. Prakash Raj
Sunday Emmanuel Fadugba
Malesela Kekana
author_sort M. Manivel
collection DOAJ
description The present work investigates a novel time-fractional model for monkeypox using the Caputo fractional operator, with a focus on vaccinated, quarantined, and hospitalized individuals. Utilizing the fractional variational iteration method, we derived numerical outcomes demonstrating the convergence and positivity of the solutions, which align with empirical data. The results confirm the reliability and effectiveness of fractional derivatives in capturing memory effects inherent to disease progression. Our findings reveal that the Caputo fractional variational approach provides a superior framework for modeling complex dynamics of monkeypox transmission across human and rodent populations. This leads to a more comprehensive understanding of the potential of fractional calculus in epidemiological modeling, offering robust predictions for managing outbreaks and informing public health interventions.
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institution OA Journals
issn 2666-8181
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publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-66bf7cd38c004146afceb847e00458832025-08-20T01:58:30ZengElsevierPartial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics2666-81812025-03-011310102610.1016/j.padiff.2024.101026Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration methodM. Manivel0A. Venkatesh1K. Arun Kumar2M. Prakash Raj3Sunday Emmanuel Fadugba4Malesela Kekana5Department of Mathematics, A.V.V.M. Sri Pushpam College (Affiliated to Bharathidasan University, Tiruchirappalli), Poondi, Thanjavur, 613503, Tamilnadu, IndiaDepartment of Mathematics, A.V.V.M. Sri Pushpam College (Affiliated to Bharathidasan University, Tiruchirappalli), Poondi, Thanjavur, 613503, Tamilnadu, India; Corresponding author.Department of Mathematics, A.V.V.M. Sri Pushpam College (Affiliated to Bharathidasan University, Tiruchirappalli), Poondi, Thanjavur, 613503, Tamilnadu, IndiaDepartment of Mathematics, A.V.V.M. Sri Pushpam College (Affiliated to Bharathidasan University, Tiruchirappalli), Poondi, Thanjavur, 613503, Tamilnadu, IndiaDepartment of Mathematics, Ekiti State University, Ado Ekiti, NigeriaDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria, South AfricaThe present work investigates a novel time-fractional model for monkeypox using the Caputo fractional operator, with a focus on vaccinated, quarantined, and hospitalized individuals. Utilizing the fractional variational iteration method, we derived numerical outcomes demonstrating the convergence and positivity of the solutions, which align with empirical data. The results confirm the reliability and effectiveness of fractional derivatives in capturing memory effects inherent to disease progression. Our findings reveal that the Caputo fractional variational approach provides a superior framework for modeling complex dynamics of monkeypox transmission across human and rodent populations. This leads to a more comprehensive understanding of the potential of fractional calculus in epidemiological modeling, offering robust predictions for managing outbreaks and informing public health interventions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666818124004121Analysis of convergenceCaputo fractional derivativeEpidemiologyMonkeypox virusVariational iteration method
spellingShingle M. Manivel
A. Venkatesh
K. Arun Kumar
M. Prakash Raj
Sunday Emmanuel Fadugba
Malesela Kekana
Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method
Partial Differential Equations in Applied Mathematics
Analysis of convergence
Caputo fractional derivative
Epidemiology
Monkeypox virus
Variational iteration method
title Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method
title_full Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method
title_fullStr Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method
title_short Quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using Caputo fractional variational iteration method
title_sort quantitative modeling of monkeypox viral transmission using caputo fractional variational iteration method
topic Analysis of convergence
Caputo fractional derivative
Epidemiology
Monkeypox virus
Variational iteration method
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666818124004121
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