Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
In Egypt, El-Mansourah Conurbation (EMC) is the second largest urban complex after Cairo Conurbation. This study focuses on identifying seasonal trends in land surface temperature during the daytime/nighttime in both urban and rural areas (RA), as well as the corresponding urban heat island (UHI) in...
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Taylor & Francis Group
2024-12-01
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Series: | Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk |
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Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2023.2291328 |
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author | Islam Hamdi Mohammed Fawzy Martina Zelenakova Waleed Abbas |
author_facet | Islam Hamdi Mohammed Fawzy Martina Zelenakova Waleed Abbas |
author_sort | Islam Hamdi |
collection | DOAJ |
description | In Egypt, El-Mansourah Conurbation (EMC) is the second largest urban complex after Cairo Conurbation. This study focuses on identifying seasonal trends in land surface temperature during the daytime/nighttime in both urban and rural areas (RA), as well as the corresponding urban heat island (UHI) intensity 2001 to 2021. A time series of the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (Terra MODIS) images was analyzed using the statistical methods of Mann-Kendall test (MKT) and Theil-Sen estimator (TSE). The findings showed that the diurnal cooling in ranged from −0.66 to −0.58 °C (p < .01) across all seasons. In contrast, the nocturnal UHI exhibited a warming trend in all seasons (except for spring) ranging from 0.08 to 0.16 °C (p > .1). Calculations of the Temperature-Humidity Index showed a decline in the population comfort over time, especially in the hot months, while there was a noticeable amelioration in the cool ones. To explore potential mitigation strategies, the simulation capabilities of ENVI-met were utilized. Based on a simple scenario, the ambient temperature of Salah Salem Street (SST) decreased by more than 2 °C. One suggestion put forth by the research is to implement mitigation measures to address the adverse consequences that naturally arise from the unavoidable dynamics of urban areas. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-66b1a4c32dc24d86994efb0744179b64 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1947-5705 1947-5713 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
record_format | Article |
series | Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk |
spelling | doaj-art-66b1a4c32dc24d86994efb0744179b642024-12-12T18:11:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk1947-57051947-57132024-12-0115110.1080/19475705.2023.2291328Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulationIslam Hamdi0Mohammed Fawzy1Martina Zelenakova2Waleed Abbas3Department of Geography & GIS, Beni-Suef University, Bani Suwayf, EgyptDepartment of Geography & GIS, Beni-Suef University, Bani Suwayf, EgyptInstitute of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Košice, Košice, SlovakiaDepartment of Geography & GIS, Ain Shams University, Cairo, EgyptIn Egypt, El-Mansourah Conurbation (EMC) is the second largest urban complex after Cairo Conurbation. This study focuses on identifying seasonal trends in land surface temperature during the daytime/nighttime in both urban and rural areas (RA), as well as the corresponding urban heat island (UHI) intensity 2001 to 2021. A time series of the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (Terra MODIS) images was analyzed using the statistical methods of Mann-Kendall test (MKT) and Theil-Sen estimator (TSE). The findings showed that the diurnal cooling in ranged from −0.66 to −0.58 °C (p < .01) across all seasons. In contrast, the nocturnal UHI exhibited a warming trend in all seasons (except for spring) ranging from 0.08 to 0.16 °C (p > .1). Calculations of the Temperature-Humidity Index showed a decline in the population comfort over time, especially in the hot months, while there was a noticeable amelioration in the cool ones. To explore potential mitigation strategies, the simulation capabilities of ENVI-met were utilized. Based on a simple scenario, the ambient temperature of Salah Salem Street (SST) decreased by more than 2 °C. One suggestion put forth by the research is to implement mitigation measures to address the adverse consequences that naturally arise from the unavoidable dynamics of urban areas.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2023.2291328Human discomforturban climate changeurban heat islandTerra MODISENVI-met |
spellingShingle | Islam Hamdi Mohammed Fawzy Martina Zelenakova Waleed Abbas Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk Human discomfort urban climate change urban heat island Terra MODIS ENVI-met |
title | Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation |
title_full | Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation |
title_fullStr | Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation |
title_full_unstemmed | Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation |
title_short | Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation |
title_sort | heat island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of el mansourah conurbation egypt temporal and proposed solutions using modis imagery and envi met simulation |
topic | Human discomfort urban climate change urban heat island Terra MODIS ENVI-met |
url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2023.2291328 |
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