Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation

In Egypt, El-Mansourah Conurbation (EMC) is the second largest urban complex after Cairo Conurbation. This study focuses on identifying seasonal trends in land surface temperature during the daytime/nighttime in both urban and rural areas (RA), as well as the corresponding urban heat island (UHI) in...

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Main Authors: Islam Hamdi, Mohammed Fawzy, Martina Zelenakova, Waleed Abbas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2023.2291328
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author Islam Hamdi
Mohammed Fawzy
Martina Zelenakova
Waleed Abbas
author_facet Islam Hamdi
Mohammed Fawzy
Martina Zelenakova
Waleed Abbas
author_sort Islam Hamdi
collection DOAJ
description In Egypt, El-Mansourah Conurbation (EMC) is the second largest urban complex after Cairo Conurbation. This study focuses on identifying seasonal trends in land surface temperature during the daytime/nighttime in both urban and rural areas (RA), as well as the corresponding urban heat island (UHI) intensity 2001 to 2021. A time series of the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (Terra MODIS) images was analyzed using the statistical methods of Mann-Kendall test (MKT) and Theil-Sen estimator (TSE). The findings showed that the diurnal cooling in ranged from −0.66 to −0.58 °C (p < .01) across all seasons. In contrast, the nocturnal UHI exhibited a warming trend in all seasons (except for spring) ranging from 0.08 to 0.16 °C (p > .1). Calculations of the Temperature-Humidity Index showed a decline in the population comfort over time, especially in the hot months, while there was a noticeable amelioration in the cool ones. To explore potential mitigation strategies, the simulation capabilities of ENVI-met were utilized. Based on a simple scenario, the ambient temperature of Salah Salem Street (SST) decreased by more than 2 °C. One suggestion put forth by the research is to implement mitigation measures to address the adverse consequences that naturally arise from the unavoidable dynamics of urban areas.
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spelling doaj-art-66b1a4c32dc24d86994efb0744179b642024-12-12T18:11:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk1947-57051947-57132024-12-0115110.1080/19475705.2023.2291328Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulationIslam Hamdi0Mohammed Fawzy1Martina Zelenakova2Waleed Abbas3Department of Geography &amp; GIS, Beni-Suef University, Bani Suwayf, EgyptDepartment of Geography &amp; GIS, Beni-Suef University, Bani Suwayf, EgyptInstitute of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Košice, Košice, SlovakiaDepartment of Geography &amp; GIS, Ain Shams University, Cairo, EgyptIn Egypt, El-Mansourah Conurbation (EMC) is the second largest urban complex after Cairo Conurbation. This study focuses on identifying seasonal trends in land surface temperature during the daytime/nighttime in both urban and rural areas (RA), as well as the corresponding urban heat island (UHI) intensity 2001 to 2021. A time series of the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (Terra MODIS) images was analyzed using the statistical methods of Mann-Kendall test (MKT) and Theil-Sen estimator (TSE). The findings showed that the diurnal cooling in ranged from −0.66 to −0.58 °C (p < .01) across all seasons. In contrast, the nocturnal UHI exhibited a warming trend in all seasons (except for spring) ranging from 0.08 to 0.16 °C (p > .1). Calculations of the Temperature-Humidity Index showed a decline in the population comfort over time, especially in the hot months, while there was a noticeable amelioration in the cool ones. To explore potential mitigation strategies, the simulation capabilities of ENVI-met were utilized. Based on a simple scenario, the ambient temperature of Salah Salem Street (SST) decreased by more than 2 °C. One suggestion put forth by the research is to implement mitigation measures to address the adverse consequences that naturally arise from the unavoidable dynamics of urban areas.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2023.2291328Human discomforturban climate changeurban heat islandTerra MODISENVI-met
spellingShingle Islam Hamdi
Mohammed Fawzy
Martina Zelenakova
Waleed Abbas
Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Human discomfort
urban climate change
urban heat island
Terra MODIS
ENVI-met
title Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
title_full Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
title_fullStr Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
title_full_unstemmed Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
title_short Heat Island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of El-Mansourah conurbation, Egypt: temporal and proposed solutions using MODIS imagery and ENVI-met simulation
title_sort heat island dynamics and heat stress implications on the population of el mansourah conurbation egypt temporal and proposed solutions using modis imagery and envi met simulation
topic Human discomfort
urban climate change
urban heat island
Terra MODIS
ENVI-met
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19475705.2023.2291328
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