PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR)
This study uses IHK data from East Kalimantan Province in January 2016 to February 2019, which has a patterned trend. Data that shows a trend, can use double exponential smoothing forecasting one parameter from Brown and two parameters from Holt. The purpose of this study is to determine the best do...
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Universitas Pattimura
2020-03-01
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| Series: | Barekeng |
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| Online Access: | https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/974 |
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| author | Humairo Dyah Puji Habsari Ika Purnamasari Desi Yuniarti |
| author_facet | Humairo Dyah Puji Habsari Ika Purnamasari Desi Yuniarti |
| author_sort | Humairo Dyah Puji Habsari |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study uses IHK data from East Kalimantan Province in January 2016 to February 2019, which has a patterned trend. Data that shows a trend, can use double exponential smoothing forecasting one parameter from Brown and two parameters from Holt. The purpose of this study is to determine the best double exponential smoothing forecasting method based on the smallest MAPE value and verify the best forecasting method based on the tracking signal control chart. Based on the MAPE value of 0.361% and the control chart tracking signal value, the results of the study show that the best forecasting method is the two-parameter double exponential smoothing method of Holt with parameters and . |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-668b0bb5c5094c07885f18cf6a1da454 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1978-7227 2615-3017 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-03-01 |
| publisher | Universitas Pattimura |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Barekeng |
| spelling | doaj-art-668b0bb5c5094c07885f18cf6a1da4542025-08-20T03:37:37ZengUniversitas PattimuraBarekeng1978-72272615-30172020-03-0114101302210.30598/barekengvol14iss1pp013-022974PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR)Humairo Dyah Puji Habsari0Ika Purnamasari1Desi Yuniarti2Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Universitas MulawarmanProgram Studi Statistika Fakultas Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas MulawarmanProgram Studi Statistika Fakultas Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas MulawarmanThis study uses IHK data from East Kalimantan Province in January 2016 to February 2019, which has a patterned trend. Data that shows a trend, can use double exponential smoothing forecasting one parameter from Brown and two parameters from Holt. The purpose of this study is to determine the best double exponential smoothing forecasting method based on the smallest MAPE value and verify the best forecasting method based on the tracking signal control chart. Based on the MAPE value of 0.361% and the control chart tracking signal value, the results of the study show that the best forecasting method is the two-parameter double exponential smoothing method of Holt with parameters and .https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/974ihkmapetracking signal |
| spellingShingle | Humairo Dyah Puji Habsari Ika Purnamasari Desi Yuniarti PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR) Barekeng ihk mape tracking signal |
| title | PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR) |
| title_full | PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR) |
| title_fullStr | PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR) |
| title_full_unstemmed | PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR) |
| title_short | PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN VERIFIKASI HASIL PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN GRAFIK PENGENDALI TRACKING SIGNAL (STUDI KASUS: DATA IHK PROVINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR) |
| title_sort | peramalan menggunakan metode double exponential smoothing dan verifikasi hasil peramalan menggunakan grafik pengendali tracking signal studi kasus data ihk provinsi kalimantan timur |
| topic | ihk mape tracking signal |
| url | https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/974 |
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