Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference

In the estimation of causal effects, one common method for removing the influence of confounders is to adjust the variables that satisfy the back-door criterion. However, it is not always possible to uniquely determine sets of such variables. Moreover, real-world data is almost always limited, which...

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Main Authors: Atsushi Noda, Takashi Isozaki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Physics: Complexity
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/ada861
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author Atsushi Noda
Takashi Isozaki
author_facet Atsushi Noda
Takashi Isozaki
author_sort Atsushi Noda
collection DOAJ
description In the estimation of causal effects, one common method for removing the influence of confounders is to adjust the variables that satisfy the back-door criterion. However, it is not always possible to uniquely determine sets of such variables. Moreover, real-world data is almost always limited, which means it may be insufficient for statistical estimation. Therefore, we propose criteria for selecting variables from a list of candidate adjustment variables along with an algorithm to prevent accuracy degradation in causal effect estimation. We initially focus on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and then outlines specific steps for applying this method to completed partially DAGs (CPDAGs). We also present and prove a theorem on causal effect computation possibility in CPDAGs. Finally, we demonstrate the practical utility of our method using both existing and artificial data.
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spelling doaj-art-667c8ef7676545c0990ed72afbf85c462025-01-27T14:42:08ZengIOP PublishingJournal of Physics: Complexity2632-072X2025-01-016101500110.1088/2632-072X/ada861Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inferenceAtsushi Noda0https://orcid.org/0009-0000-3573-8062Takashi Isozaki1https://orcid.org/0009-0000-5697-7409Sony Corporation of America , Los Angeles, CA, United States of AmericaSony Computer Science Laboratories, Inc. , Tokyo, JapanIn the estimation of causal effects, one common method for removing the influence of confounders is to adjust the variables that satisfy the back-door criterion. However, it is not always possible to uniquely determine sets of such variables. Moreover, real-world data is almost always limited, which means it may be insufficient for statistical estimation. Therefore, we propose criteria for selecting variables from a list of candidate adjustment variables along with an algorithm to prevent accuracy degradation in causal effect estimation. We initially focus on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and then outlines specific steps for applying this method to completed partially DAGs (CPDAGs). We also present and prove a theorem on causal effect computation possibility in CPDAGs. Finally, we demonstrate the practical utility of our method using both existing and artificial data.https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/ada861causal inferenceinterventionstructural causal modelsadjustment variablesDAGdo-calculus
spellingShingle Atsushi Noda
Takashi Isozaki
Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
Journal of Physics: Complexity
causal inference
intervention
structural causal models
adjustment variables
DAG
do-calculus
title Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
title_full Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
title_fullStr Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
title_full_unstemmed Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
title_short Practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
title_sort practically effective adjustment variable selection in causal inference
topic causal inference
intervention
structural causal models
adjustment variables
DAG
do-calculus
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/ada861
work_keys_str_mv AT atsushinoda practicallyeffectiveadjustmentvariableselectionincausalinference
AT takashiisozaki practicallyeffectiveadjustmentvariableselectionincausalinference