Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria
The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a global pandemic with more than 4 million confirmed cases and over 280,000 confirmed deaths worldwide. Evidence exists on the influence of temperature and humidity on the transmission of related infectious respiratory diseases, such as influe...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2020-01-01
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| Series: | Scientifica |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2562641 |
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| author | Christian Ogaugwu Hammed Mogaji Euphemia Ogaugwu Uchechukwu Nebo Hilary Okoh Stanley Agbo Andrew Agbon |
| author_facet | Christian Ogaugwu Hammed Mogaji Euphemia Ogaugwu Uchechukwu Nebo Hilary Okoh Stanley Agbo Andrew Agbon |
| author_sort | Christian Ogaugwu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a global pandemic with more than 4 million confirmed cases and over 280,000 confirmed deaths worldwide. Evidence exists on the influence of temperature and humidity on the transmission of related infectious respiratory diseases, such as influenza and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). This study therefore explored the effects of daily temperature and humidity on COVID-19 transmission and mortality in Lagos state, the epicenter of COVID-19 in Nigeria. Correlation analysis was performed using incidence data on COVID-19 and meteorological data for the corresponding periods from 9th March to 12th May, 2020. Our results showed that atmospheric temperature has a significant weak negative correlation with COVID-19 transmission in Lagos. Also, a significant weak negative correlation was found to exist between temperature and cumulative mortality. The strength of the relationship between temperature and the disease incidence increased when 1 week and 2 weeks’ predetection delays were put into consideration. However, no significant association was found between atmospheric humidity and COVID-19 transmission or mortality in Lagos. This study contributes more knowledge on COVID-19 and will benefit efforts and decision-making geared towards its control. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-660197538be843de93a3b349e1106c84 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2090-908X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Scientifica |
| spelling | doaj-art-660197538be843de93a3b349e1106c842025-02-03T06:46:28ZengWileyScientifica2090-908X2020-01-01202010.1155/2020/25626412562641Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, NigeriaChristian Ogaugwu0Hammed Mogaji1Euphemia Ogaugwu2Uchechukwu Nebo3Hilary Okoh4Stanley Agbo5Andrew Agbon6Department of Animal and Environmental Biology, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Oye, Ekiti State, NigeriaDepartment of Animal and Environmental Biology, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Oye, Ekiti State, NigeriaDepartment of Pharmacology, University of California, Irvine, CA, USADepartment of Microbiology, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Oye, Ekiti State, NigeriaDepartment of Animal and Environmental Biology, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Oye, Ekiti State, NigeriaDepartment of Animal and Environmental Biology, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Oye, Ekiti State, NigeriaDepartment of Animal and Environmental Biology, Federal University Oye-Ekiti, Oye, Ekiti State, NigeriaThe novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a global pandemic with more than 4 million confirmed cases and over 280,000 confirmed deaths worldwide. Evidence exists on the influence of temperature and humidity on the transmission of related infectious respiratory diseases, such as influenza and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). This study therefore explored the effects of daily temperature and humidity on COVID-19 transmission and mortality in Lagos state, the epicenter of COVID-19 in Nigeria. Correlation analysis was performed using incidence data on COVID-19 and meteorological data for the corresponding periods from 9th March to 12th May, 2020. Our results showed that atmospheric temperature has a significant weak negative correlation with COVID-19 transmission in Lagos. Also, a significant weak negative correlation was found to exist between temperature and cumulative mortality. The strength of the relationship between temperature and the disease incidence increased when 1 week and 2 weeks’ predetection delays were put into consideration. However, no significant association was found between atmospheric humidity and COVID-19 transmission or mortality in Lagos. This study contributes more knowledge on COVID-19 and will benefit efforts and decision-making geared towards its control.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2562641 |
| spellingShingle | Christian Ogaugwu Hammed Mogaji Euphemia Ogaugwu Uchechukwu Nebo Hilary Okoh Stanley Agbo Andrew Agbon Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria Scientifica |
| title | Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria |
| title_full | Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria |
| title_fullStr | Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria |
| title_short | Effect of Weather on COVID-19 Transmission and Mortality in Lagos, Nigeria |
| title_sort | effect of weather on covid 19 transmission and mortality in lagos nigeria |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/2562641 |
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