Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction

Prediction of aerosol optical thickness (AOT) is important to study worldwide climate changes. Researchers have built multiple AOT prediction models. However, few researches were focused on the validation of input attributes for AOT regression. In this paper, we proposed a support vector regression...

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Main Authors: Bo Han, Xiaowei Gao, Xiaohui Cui
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-09-01
Series:International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/326132
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author Bo Han
Xiaowei Gao
Xiaohui Cui
author_facet Bo Han
Xiaowei Gao
Xiaohui Cui
author_sort Bo Han
collection DOAJ
description Prediction of aerosol optical thickness (AOT) is important to study worldwide climate changes. Researchers have built multiple AOT prediction models. However, few researches were focused on the validation of input attributes for AOT regression. In this paper, we proposed a support vector regression (SVR) model-based sensitivity analysis approach to order 35 MODIS input attributes according to their sensitivity to prediction outputs. Next, the attribute sensitivity orders are used for feature selection in the context of regression by removing insensitive attribute one at a time or by removing attributes whose sensitive orders are larger than number k . The experimental results based on the collocated data between MODIS and AERONET from 2009 to 2011 showed that the top 10 insensitive attributes can be screened to speed up prediction model computation with very little loss of accuracy. The results also suggested that the top sensitive attributes are the most informative attributes, requiring the highest precision for accurate AOT prediction. Thereby, our approach will be valuable for remote sensing scientists or atmospheric scientists to optimize the design precision of top sensitive attributes in scanning equipment like MODIS and therefore improve AOT retrieval accuracy.
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institution Kabale University
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series International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
spelling doaj-art-65c933df96634e51a7f8608ced2c85d02025-02-03T06:45:30ZengWileyInternational Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks1550-14772015-09-011110.1155/2015/326132326132Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness PredictionBo HanXiaowei GaoXiaohui CuiPrediction of aerosol optical thickness (AOT) is important to study worldwide climate changes. Researchers have built multiple AOT prediction models. However, few researches were focused on the validation of input attributes for AOT regression. In this paper, we proposed a support vector regression (SVR) model-based sensitivity analysis approach to order 35 MODIS input attributes according to their sensitivity to prediction outputs. Next, the attribute sensitivity orders are used for feature selection in the context of regression by removing insensitive attribute one at a time or by removing attributes whose sensitive orders are larger than number k . The experimental results based on the collocated data between MODIS and AERONET from 2009 to 2011 showed that the top 10 insensitive attributes can be screened to speed up prediction model computation with very little loss of accuracy. The results also suggested that the top sensitive attributes are the most informative attributes, requiring the highest precision for accurate AOT prediction. Thereby, our approach will be valuable for remote sensing scientists or atmospheric scientists to optimize the design precision of top sensitive attributes in scanning equipment like MODIS and therefore improve AOT retrieval accuracy.https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/326132
spellingShingle Bo Han
Xiaowei Gao
Xiaohui Cui
Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction
International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
title Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction
title_full Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction
title_fullStr Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction
title_short Model-Based Sensitivity Analysis on Aerosol Optical Thickness Prediction
title_sort model based sensitivity analysis on aerosol optical thickness prediction
url https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/326132
work_keys_str_mv AT bohan modelbasedsensitivityanalysisonaerosolopticalthicknessprediction
AT xiaoweigao modelbasedsensitivityanalysisonaerosolopticalthicknessprediction
AT xiaohuicui modelbasedsensitivityanalysisonaerosolopticalthicknessprediction