Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)

This article analyzes the relationship between exports and output using econometric multivariate time series techniques (the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality analysis). Using an error-correction model estimate, the authors show the long-term relationship between Mexico’s exports and...

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Main Authors: Miguel Heras Villanueva, Carlos Gómez Chiñas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México 2022-06-01
Series:Norteamérica
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.revistanorteamerica.unam.mx/index.php/nam/article/view/226
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author Miguel Heras Villanueva
Carlos Gómez Chiñas
author_facet Miguel Heras Villanueva
Carlos Gómez Chiñas
author_sort Miguel Heras Villanueva
collection DOAJ
description This article analyzes the relationship between exports and output using econometric multivariate time series techniques (the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality analysis). Using an error-correction model estimate, the authors show the long-term relationship between Mexico’s exports and gdp as well as the causality between these variables. This makes it possible to elucidate the kind of trade the country carries out, one of the causes of its low growth over the last three decades.
format Article
id doaj-art-65c2d276c9324ec8be01e3f044671a09
institution Kabale University
issn 1870-3550
2448-7228
language English
publishDate 2022-06-01
publisher Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
record_format Article
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spelling doaj-art-65c2d276c9324ec8be01e3f044671a092025-08-20T03:52:48ZengUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoNorteamérica1870-35502448-72282022-06-0110110.20999/nam.2015.a004Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)Miguel Heras Villanueva0Carlos Gómez ChiñasFacultad de Economía de la UNAMThis article analyzes the relationship between exports and output using econometric multivariate time series techniques (the Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality analysis). Using an error-correction model estimate, the authors show the long-term relationship between Mexico’s exports and gdp as well as the causality between these variables. This makes it possible to elucidate the kind of trade the country carries out, one of the causes of its low growth over the last three decades.https://www.revistanorteamerica.unam.mx/index.php/nam/article/view/226causalitycointegrationtradegrowthexportsimports
spellingShingle Miguel Heras Villanueva
Carlos Gómez Chiñas
Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)
Norteamérica
causality
cointegration
trade
growth
exports
imports
title Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)
title_full Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)
title_fullStr Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)
title_full_unstemmed Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)
title_short Exports in Mexico: an Analysis of Cointegration and Causality (1980-2012)
title_sort exports in mexico an analysis of cointegration and causality 1980 2012
topic causality
cointegration
trade
growth
exports
imports
url https://www.revistanorteamerica.unam.mx/index.php/nam/article/view/226
work_keys_str_mv AT miguelherasvillanueva exportsinmexicoananalysisofcointegrationandcausality19802012
AT carlosgomezchinas exportsinmexicoananalysisofcointegrationandcausality19802012