ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR

In this paper, we are testing the responsive hypothesis: if the economy is growing strongly and unemployment is low, the incumbent party has a very good chance of retaining office. When the economy is faltering, voters will more likely vote for change. We use econometric models for forecasting, base...

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Main Authors: NICOLAE-MARIUS JULA, NICOLETA JULA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nicolae Titulescu University Publishing House 2012-05-01
Series:Challenges of the Knowledge Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://cks.univnt.ro/uploads/cks_2012_articles/index.php?dir=02_economics%2F&download=cks_2012_economics_art_012.pdf
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author NICOLAE-MARIUS JULA
NICOLETA JULA
author_facet NICOLAE-MARIUS JULA
NICOLETA JULA
author_sort NICOLAE-MARIUS JULA
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we are testing the responsive hypothesis: if the economy is growing strongly and unemployment is low, the incumbent party has a very good chance of retaining office. When the economy is faltering, voters will more likely vote for change. We use econometric models for forecasting, based on economic data, the voter's choices and the evolution of the economy under the influence of political pressure.
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spelling doaj-art-64e416f1aebd40ffb0d94ce0d0e9123a2025-08-20T02:42:59ZengNicolae Titulescu University Publishing HouseChallenges of the Knowledge Society2068-77962012-05-012-13031309ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOURNICOLAE-MARIUS JULANICOLETA JULAIn this paper, we are testing the responsive hypothesis: if the economy is growing strongly and unemployment is low, the incumbent party has a very good chance of retaining office. When the economy is faltering, voters will more likely vote for change. We use econometric models for forecasting, based on economic data, the voter's choices and the evolution of the economy under the influence of political pressure.http://cks.univnt.ro/uploads/cks_2012_articles/index.php?dir=02_economics%2F&download=cks_2012_economics_art_012.pdfeconomic votingresponsive hypothesiseconometric forecastingregional data analysisvote function
spellingShingle NICOLAE-MARIUS JULA
NICOLETA JULA
ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR
Challenges of the Knowledge Society
economic voting
responsive hypothesis
econometric forecasting
regional data analysis
vote function
title ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR
title_full ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR
title_fullStr ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR
title_full_unstemmed ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR
title_short ECONOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF VOTING BEHAVIOUR
title_sort econometric determination of voting behaviour
topic economic voting
responsive hypothesis
econometric forecasting
regional data analysis
vote function
url http://cks.univnt.ro/uploads/cks_2012_articles/index.php?dir=02_economics%2F&download=cks_2012_economics_art_012.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT nicolaemariusjula econometricdeterminationofvotingbehaviour
AT nicoletajula econometricdeterminationofvotingbehaviour