AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION

The article presents a comparative statistical analysis of change the model of fertility and the survival regime population in Ukraine and some Eastern Europe countries. The scenarios of medium-term forecasts the demographic behavior of Ukrainian population has been carried out. The results of stati...

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Main Author: Z. Palian
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv 2014-04-01
Series:Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Серія Економіка
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Online Access:http://bulletin-econom.univ.kiev.ua/wp-content/plugins/download-attachments/includes/download.php?id=1581
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author Z. Palian
author_facet Z. Palian
author_sort Z. Palian
collection DOAJ
description The article presents a comparative statistical analysis of change the model of fertility and the survival regime population in Ukraine and some Eastern Europe countries. The scenarios of medium-term forecasts the demographic behavior of Ukrainian population has been carried out. The results of statistical modeling the characteristics of natural population replacement allow to estimate the character of possible changes and also to correct strategy of state demographic policy in Ukraine.
format Article
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issn 1728-2667
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language deu
publishDate 2014-04-01
publisher Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv
record_format Article
series Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Серія Економіка
spelling doaj-art-64c41143e98b45c6891d8bbd1d2ef59f2025-08-20T02:06:36ZdeuTaras Shevchenko National University of KyivВісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Серія Економіка1728-26672079-908X2014-04-014157758010.17721/1728-2667.2014/157-4/15AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITIONZ. Palian0Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, KyivThe article presents a comparative statistical analysis of change the model of fertility and the survival regime population in Ukraine and some Eastern Europe countries. The scenarios of medium-term forecasts the demographic behavior of Ukrainian population has been carried out. The results of statistical modeling the characteristics of natural population replacement allow to estimate the character of possible changes and also to correct strategy of state demographic policy in Ukraine.http://bulletin-econom.univ.kiev.ua/wp-content/plugins/download-attachments/includes/download.php?id=1581forecast scenariosdemographic behaviorhypothetic indicators
spellingShingle Z. Palian
AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
Вісник Київського національного університету імені Тараса Шевченка. Серія Економіка
forecast scenarios
demographic behavior
hypothetic indicators
title AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
title_full AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
title_fullStr AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
title_full_unstemmed AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
title_short AN ESTIMATION OF POPULATION REPLACEMENT PROSPECTS IN UKRAINE IN THE CONTEXT OF THE SECOND DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
title_sort estimation of population replacement prospects in ukraine in the context of the second demographic transition
topic forecast scenarios
demographic behavior
hypothetic indicators
url http://bulletin-econom.univ.kiev.ua/wp-content/plugins/download-attachments/includes/download.php?id=1581
work_keys_str_mv AT zpalian anestimationofpopulationreplacementprospectsinukraineinthecontextoftheseconddemographictransition
AT zpalian estimationofpopulationreplacementprospectsinukraineinthecontextoftheseconddemographictransition