High-Dimensional Modeling of Huanglongbing Dynamics with Time-Varying Impulsive Control
This study develops a high-dimensional impulsive differential equation model to analyze Huanglongbing (HLB) transmission dynamics, incorporating seasonal fluctuations in vector psyllid populations and multi-pronged control measures: (1) periodic removal of infected/dead citrus trees to eliminate pat...
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Mathematics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/10/1546 |
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| Summary: | This study develops a high-dimensional impulsive differential equation model to analyze Huanglongbing (HLB) transmission dynamics, incorporating seasonal fluctuations in vector psyllid populations and multi-pronged control measures: (1) periodic removal of infected/dead citrus trees to eliminate pathogen reservoirs and (2) non-uniform pesticide applications timed to disrupt psyllid life cycles. The model analytically derives the basic reproduction number (<inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msub><mi>R</mi><mn>0</mn></msub></semantics></math></inline-formula>) and proves the existence of a unique disease-free periodic solution. Theoretical analysis reveals a threshold-dependent stability: when <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>R</mi><mn>0</mn></msub><mo><</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, the disease-free solution is globally asymptotically stable, ensuring pathogen extinction; when <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>R</mi><mn>0</mn></msub><mo>></mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, the system becomes uniformly persistent, indicating endemic HLB. Numerical simulations validate these findings and demonstrate that integrated interventions, combining psyllid population control and removal of infected plants, can significantly suppress HLB spread. The results provide a mathematical framework for optimizing intervention timing and intensity, offering actionable strategies for citrus growers. |
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| ISSN: | 2227-7390 |