Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports

Abstract Research has previously documented that across a range of Olympic combat sports, wearing red is associated with a higher probability of winning contests, especially when bouts are close. Yet, the hypothesis for a red advantage has not been systematically examined across multiple tournaments...

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Main Authors: Leonard S. Peperkoorn, Russell A. Hill, Robert A. Barton, Thomas V. Pollet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-81373-3
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author Leonard S. Peperkoorn
Russell A. Hill
Robert A. Barton
Thomas V. Pollet
author_facet Leonard S. Peperkoorn
Russell A. Hill
Robert A. Barton
Thomas V. Pollet
author_sort Leonard S. Peperkoorn
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Research has previously documented that across a range of Olympic combat sports, wearing red is associated with a higher probability of winning contests, especially when bouts are close. Yet, the hypothesis for a red advantage has not been systematically examined across multiple tournaments. Here, we report 6,589 contest outcomes for boxing, taekwondo, and wrestling from seven Summer Olympic Games (1996–2020) and nine World Boxing Championships (2005–2021). Using meta-analytic techniques, we found 50.5% wins by red for the overall data, which was not a statistically significant bias. Analyses of close contests resulted in 51.5% red wins, also not significantly different from the null expectation of equal proportions. Before 2005, however, when the red advantage was first reported and prior to changes in particular tournament rules, there was some support for a red advantage in close contests, with 56.8% of bouts won by red. It is possible that knowledge of the effect, as well as rule changes in each of the sports, have reduced the chances of a small effect being manifested, leading to the disappearance of the red advantage in competition results.
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spelling doaj-art-63c1b8507e374df0bdf1353dd28340f12025-08-20T02:39:34ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-12-011411910.1038/s41598-024-81373-3Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sportsLeonard S. Peperkoorn0Russell A. Hill1Robert A. Barton2Thomas V. Pollet3Department of Experimental and Applied Psychology, VU AmsterdamDepartment of Anthropology, Durham UniversityDepartment of Anthropology, Durham UniversityDepartment of Psychology, Northumbria UniversityAbstract Research has previously documented that across a range of Olympic combat sports, wearing red is associated with a higher probability of winning contests, especially when bouts are close. Yet, the hypothesis for a red advantage has not been systematically examined across multiple tournaments. Here, we report 6,589 contest outcomes for boxing, taekwondo, and wrestling from seven Summer Olympic Games (1996–2020) and nine World Boxing Championships (2005–2021). Using meta-analytic techniques, we found 50.5% wins by red for the overall data, which was not a statistically significant bias. Analyses of close contests resulted in 51.5% red wins, also not significantly different from the null expectation of equal proportions. Before 2005, however, when the red advantage was first reported and prior to changes in particular tournament rules, there was some support for a red advantage in close contests, with 56.8% of bouts won by red. It is possible that knowledge of the effect, as well as rule changes in each of the sports, have reduced the chances of a small effect being manifested, leading to the disappearance of the red advantage in competition results.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-81373-3
spellingShingle Leonard S. Peperkoorn
Russell A. Hill
Robert A. Barton
Thomas V. Pollet
Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
Scientific Reports
title Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
title_full Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
title_fullStr Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
title_full_unstemmed Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
title_short Meta-analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
title_sort meta analysis of the red advantage in combat sports
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-81373-3
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AT russellahill metaanalysisoftheredadvantageincombatsports
AT robertabarton metaanalysisoftheredadvantageincombatsports
AT thomasvpollet metaanalysisoftheredadvantageincombatsports