RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients

Objective: This paper aims to address the clinical challenge of predicting the outcomes of stroke patients and proposes a comprehensive model called RGX to help clinicians adopt more personalized treatment plans. Impact Statement: The comprehensive model is first proposed and applied to clinical dat...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jing Fang, Baoying Song, Lingli Li, Linfeng Tong, Miaowen Jiang, Jianzhuo Yan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 2024-01-01
Series:BME Frontiers
Online Access:https://spj.science.org/doi/10.34133/bmef.0077
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850160344349016064
author Jing Fang
Baoying Song
Lingli Li
Linfeng Tong
Miaowen Jiang
Jianzhuo Yan
author_facet Jing Fang
Baoying Song
Lingli Li
Linfeng Tong
Miaowen Jiang
Jianzhuo Yan
author_sort Jing Fang
collection DOAJ
description Objective: This paper aims to address the clinical challenge of predicting the outcomes of stroke patients and proposes a comprehensive model called RGX to help clinicians adopt more personalized treatment plans. Impact Statement: The comprehensive model is first proposed and applied to clinical datasets with missing data. The introduction of the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) model to explain the impact of patient indicators on prognosis improves the accuracy of stroke patient mortality prediction. Introduction: At present, the prediction of stroke treatment outcomes faces many challenges, including the lack of models to quantify which clinical variables are closely related to patient survival. Methods: We developed a series of machine learning models to systematically predict the mortality of stroke patients. Additionally, by introducing the SHAP model, we revealed the contribution of risk factors to the prediction results. The performance of the models was evaluated using multiple metrics, including the area under the curve, accuracy, and specificity, to comprehensively measure the effectiveness and stability of the models. Results: The RGX model achieved an accuracy of 92.18% on the complete dataset, an improvement of 11.38% compared to that of the most advanced state-of-the-art model. Most importantly, the RGX model maintained excellent predictive ability even when faced with a dataset containing a large number of missing values, achieving an accuracy of 84.62%. Conclusion: In summary, the RGX ensemble model not only provides clinicians with a highly accurate predictive tool but also promotes the understanding of stroke patient survival prediction, laying a solid foundation for the development of precision medicine.
format Article
id doaj-art-63acc9f9407e4e0790a3023c9a1cabc0
institution OA Journals
issn 2765-8031
language English
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
record_format Article
series BME Frontiers
spelling doaj-art-63acc9f9407e4e0790a3023c9a1cabc02025-08-20T02:23:11ZengAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)BME Frontiers2765-80312024-01-01510.34133/bmef.0077RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke PatientsJing Fang0Baoying Song1Lingli Li2Linfeng Tong3Miaowen Jiang4Jianzhuo Yan5Faculty of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100020, China.Department of Neurology, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.Faculty of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100020, China.Faculty of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100020, China.The Beijing Institute for Brain Disorders, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100069, China.Faculty of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100020, China.Objective: This paper aims to address the clinical challenge of predicting the outcomes of stroke patients and proposes a comprehensive model called RGX to help clinicians adopt more personalized treatment plans. Impact Statement: The comprehensive model is first proposed and applied to clinical datasets with missing data. The introduction of the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) model to explain the impact of patient indicators on prognosis improves the accuracy of stroke patient mortality prediction. Introduction: At present, the prediction of stroke treatment outcomes faces many challenges, including the lack of models to quantify which clinical variables are closely related to patient survival. Methods: We developed a series of machine learning models to systematically predict the mortality of stroke patients. Additionally, by introducing the SHAP model, we revealed the contribution of risk factors to the prediction results. The performance of the models was evaluated using multiple metrics, including the area under the curve, accuracy, and specificity, to comprehensively measure the effectiveness and stability of the models. Results: The RGX model achieved an accuracy of 92.18% on the complete dataset, an improvement of 11.38% compared to that of the most advanced state-of-the-art model. Most importantly, the RGX model maintained excellent predictive ability even when faced with a dataset containing a large number of missing values, achieving an accuracy of 84.62%. Conclusion: In summary, the RGX ensemble model not only provides clinicians with a highly accurate predictive tool but also promotes the understanding of stroke patient survival prediction, laying a solid foundation for the development of precision medicine.https://spj.science.org/doi/10.34133/bmef.0077
spellingShingle Jing Fang
Baoying Song
Lingli Li
Linfeng Tong
Miaowen Jiang
Jianzhuo Yan
RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients
BME Frontiers
title RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients
title_full RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients
title_fullStr RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients
title_full_unstemmed RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients
title_short RGX Ensemble Model for Advanced Prediction of Mortality Outcomes in Stroke Patients
title_sort rgx ensemble model for advanced prediction of mortality outcomes in stroke patients
url https://spj.science.org/doi/10.34133/bmef.0077
work_keys_str_mv AT jingfang rgxensemblemodelforadvancedpredictionofmortalityoutcomesinstrokepatients
AT baoyingsong rgxensemblemodelforadvancedpredictionofmortalityoutcomesinstrokepatients
AT linglili rgxensemblemodelforadvancedpredictionofmortalityoutcomesinstrokepatients
AT linfengtong rgxensemblemodelforadvancedpredictionofmortalityoutcomesinstrokepatients
AT miaowenjiang rgxensemblemodelforadvancedpredictionofmortalityoutcomesinstrokepatients
AT jianzhuoyan rgxensemblemodelforadvancedpredictionofmortalityoutcomesinstrokepatients