Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework

The purpose of this study is to evaluate Exogenous Risk Factors (ERFs) affecting Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) in automotive supply chains, aiming to enhance resilience against global disruptions. The primary research question focuses on identifying and prioritizing ERFs that pose the greatest t...

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Main Authors: Ishansh Gupta, Seyed Taha Raeisi, Sergio Correa, Hendro Wicaksono
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853125000241
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author Ishansh Gupta
Seyed Taha Raeisi
Sergio Correa
Hendro Wicaksono
author_facet Ishansh Gupta
Seyed Taha Raeisi
Sergio Correa
Hendro Wicaksono
author_sort Ishansh Gupta
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of this study is to evaluate Exogenous Risk Factors (ERFs) affecting Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) in automotive supply chains, aiming to enhance resilience against global disruptions. The primary research question focuses on identifying and prioritizing ERFs that pose the greatest threat to operational performance. A hybrid decision-making framework integrating Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) and Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS) is employed. Validation is ensured through insights from 18 supply chain professionals with diverse roles and a combined 318 years of experience. The study identifies 34 ERFs, including semiconductor shortages, pandemics, and information infrastructure disruptions, and evaluates their impact on KPIs such as missing parts, backlogs, special transports, and wrong deliveries. By extending the traditional PESTLE framework with Transportation and Material dimensions, this study provides actionable strategies to mitigate risks and strengthen supply chain resilience in volatile environments.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2199-8531
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity
spelling doaj-art-632423582b724c3cad4591529d9edeb12025-02-11T04:34:45ZengElsevierJournal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity2199-85312025-03-01111100489Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE frameworkIshansh Gupta0Seyed Taha Raeisi1Sergio Correa2Hendro Wicaksono3School of Business, Social & Decision Sciences, Constructor University, Campus Ring 1, Bremen 28759, GermanySchool of Business, Social & Decision Sciences, Constructor University, Campus Ring 1, Bremen 28759, GermanyBMW Group, Munich, GermanySchool of Business, Social & Decision Sciences, Constructor University, Campus Ring 1, Bremen 28759, Germany; Corresponding author.The purpose of this study is to evaluate Exogenous Risk Factors (ERFs) affecting Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) in automotive supply chains, aiming to enhance resilience against global disruptions. The primary research question focuses on identifying and prioritizing ERFs that pose the greatest threat to operational performance. A hybrid decision-making framework integrating Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP) and Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS) is employed. Validation is ensured through insights from 18 supply chain professionals with diverse roles and a combined 318 years of experience. The study identifies 34 ERFs, including semiconductor shortages, pandemics, and information infrastructure disruptions, and evaluates their impact on KPIs such as missing parts, backlogs, special transports, and wrong deliveries. By extending the traditional PESTLE framework with Transportation and Material dimensions, this study provides actionable strategies to mitigate risks and strengthen supply chain resilience in volatile environments.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853125000241Supply chain riskFuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP)Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS)Hybrid methodPolitical, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, and Legal (PESTLE)
spellingShingle Ishansh Gupta
Seyed Taha Raeisi
Sergio Correa
Hendro Wicaksono
Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework
Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market and Complexity
Supply chain risk
Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP)
Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS)
Hybrid method
Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, and Legal (PESTLE)
title Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework
title_full Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework
title_fullStr Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework
title_short Evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains: A hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS approach with extended PESTLE framework
title_sort evaluating risk factors in automotive supply chains a hybrid fuzzy ahp topsis approach with extended pestle framework
topic Supply chain risk
Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP)
Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS)
Hybrid method
Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, and Legal (PESTLE)
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2199853125000241
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AT sergiocorrea evaluatingriskfactorsinautomotivesupplychainsahybridfuzzyahptopsisapproachwithextendedpestleframework
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