A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity

The global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has attained a level of 25.24%. The prevalence of NAFLD in China has exhibited an upward trajectory in parallel with the increasing incidence of obesity over the preceding decade. In order to comprehensively assess hepatic lipid depo...

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Main Authors: Jie Chen, Jiang Yue, Jingjing Fu, Shengyun He, Qianjing Liu, Minglan Yang, Wang Zhang, Hua Xu, Qing Lu, Jing Ma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Japan Endocrine Society 2023-10-01
Series:Endocrine Journal
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Online Access:https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/endocrj/70/10/70_EJ23-0227/_html/-char/en
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author Jie Chen
Jiang Yue
Jingjing Fu
Shengyun He
Qianjing Liu
Minglan Yang
Wang Zhang
Hua Xu
Qing Lu
Jing Ma
author_facet Jie Chen
Jiang Yue
Jingjing Fu
Shengyun He
Qianjing Liu
Minglan Yang
Wang Zhang
Hua Xu
Qing Lu
Jing Ma
author_sort Jie Chen
collection DOAJ
description The global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has attained a level of 25.24%. The prevalence of NAFLD in China has exhibited an upward trajectory in parallel with the increasing incidence of obesity over the preceding decade. In order to comprehensively assess hepatic lipid deposition in individuals with overweight or obesity, we have devised a pioneering prognostic formula that capitalizes on clinical parameters. To this end, we have conducted a cross-sectional cohort study involving 149 overweight or obese subjects. Magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) has been employed to evaluate the extent of liver fat accumulation. Through univariate analysis, we have identified potential factors, and the definitive elements in the prediction model were selected utilizing the forward stepwise regression algorithm. The Shang Hai Steatosis Index (SHSI) incorporates alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), fasting insulin, and 1-h postload glycaemic levels, thereby furnishing the capability to predict NAFLD with an area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) of 0.87. By establishing a threshold value of 10.96, determined through Youden’s index, we have achieved a sensitivity of 69.57% and a specificity of 88.24%. The Spearman correlation coefficient between liver fat fraction ascertained by MRI-PDFF and that predicted by the SHSI equation amounts to 0.74. Consequently, the SHSI equation affords a dependable means of predicting the presence of NAFLD and liver fat accumulation within the overweight and obese population.
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spelling doaj-art-62a8bad5af4d4fcc96365c276d98a6f62025-01-22T06:19:20ZengThe Japan Endocrine SocietyEndocrine Journal1348-45402023-10-01701097798510.1507/endocrj.EJ23-0227endocrjA prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesityJie Chen0Jiang Yue1Jingjing Fu2Shengyun He3Qianjing Liu4Minglan Yang5Wang Zhang6Hua Xu7Qing Lu8Jing Ma9Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200127, ChinaThe global prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has attained a level of 25.24%. The prevalence of NAFLD in China has exhibited an upward trajectory in parallel with the increasing incidence of obesity over the preceding decade. In order to comprehensively assess hepatic lipid deposition in individuals with overweight or obesity, we have devised a pioneering prognostic formula that capitalizes on clinical parameters. To this end, we have conducted a cross-sectional cohort study involving 149 overweight or obese subjects. Magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) has been employed to evaluate the extent of liver fat accumulation. Through univariate analysis, we have identified potential factors, and the definitive elements in the prediction model were selected utilizing the forward stepwise regression algorithm. The Shang Hai Steatosis Index (SHSI) incorporates alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), fasting insulin, and 1-h postload glycaemic levels, thereby furnishing the capability to predict NAFLD with an area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) of 0.87. By establishing a threshold value of 10.96, determined through Youden’s index, we have achieved a sensitivity of 69.57% and a specificity of 88.24%. The Spearman correlation coefficient between liver fat fraction ascertained by MRI-PDFF and that predicted by the SHSI equation amounts to 0.74. Consequently, the SHSI equation affords a dependable means of predicting the presence of NAFLD and liver fat accumulation within the overweight and obese population.https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/endocrj/70/10/70_EJ23-0227/_html/-char/ennon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (nafld)magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (mri-pdff)obeseoverweight
spellingShingle Jie Chen
Jiang Yue
Jingjing Fu
Shengyun He
Qianjing Liu
Minglan Yang
Wang Zhang
Hua Xu
Qing Lu
Jing Ma
A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity
Endocrine Journal
non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (nafld)
magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (mri-pdff)
obese
overweight
title A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity
title_full A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity
title_fullStr A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity
title_full_unstemmed A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity
title_short A prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among patients with overweight or obesity
title_sort prediction model of liver fat fraction and presence of non alcoholic fatty liver disease nafld among patients with overweight or obesity
topic non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (nafld)
magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (mri-pdff)
obese
overweight
url https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/endocrj/70/10/70_EJ23-0227/_html/-char/en
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